ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Ltd. share price target

ICICI Prudential (IPRU) reported a volume decline of 5% YoY in total APE vs 10.2% YoY growth for private industry in Q1FY26. While volume growth was weak in Q1FY26 (retail APE down 9.2% YoY), margin performance was better (VNB margin improved to 24.5% in Q1FY26 from 22.8% in FY25) driven primarily by product mix change and cost optimisation.

We value IPRU at 1.5x Mar’27 EVPS, implying a target price of INR 714. IPRU is
currently trading at 62.6x FY26 P/E, lower than the peer average of 68.6x FY26 P/E, led by lower growth in net profitability. We upgrade our rating from “HOLD” to “ACCUMULATE” on the stock.

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (IPRU) reported a decline of 5% YoY in new business APE to INR18.6b (in-line) in 1QFY26, largely impacted by the base effect and a slowdown in ULIP momentum due to market volatility.

Distribution Diversified, Growth Amplified

IPRU continues to demonstrate a strong and sustainable growth trajectory, supported by a well-diversified product portfolio, consistent profitability and a customer-centric approach. The company's focus on customer-centricity, operational efficiency and prudent risk management strengthens its competitive edge. With a resilient balance sheet, strong solvency position and effective risk management, it is well - equipped...

ICICI Prudential (IPRU) has successfully accelerated volume growth (5%/15% growth in total APE FY24/FY25; 22.3% growth in retail WRP vs 17.4% growth for the private industry in 11MFY25) backed by well-executed distribution/product initiatives.

APE declines 3% YoY Q4FY25 vs our expectation of moderate growth, grew 15% YoY in FY25

APE declined 3% y-o-y in Q4FY25, while VNB grew by 2% y-o-y. For FY25, APE grew 15% y-o-y, Individual APE grew by 13% and value of new business (VNB) grew by 6% y-o-y. VNB margins improved to 22.7% (up 120 bps y-o-y/ up 150 bps q-o-q) versus estimates of 21.9% in Q4 driven by product mix changed towards non-par segment and retail protection.

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (IPRU) reported a slight decline of 3% YoY in new business APE to INR35b (in line) in 4QFY25. For FY25, APE grew 15% YoY to INR104.1b.

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (IPRU) reported a 28% y-o-y growth in APE in Q3FY25 although it lagged estimates. For 9MFY25, APE grew 27% y-o-y. Value of New Business (VNB) grew by 19% y-o-y in Q3 (~7% below estimates).

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (IPRU) reported new business APE growth of 28% YoY to INR24.4b (6% miss). For 9MFY25, APE grew 28% YoY to INR69.1b.

APE grew 28% YoY in Q3 (27% YoY in 9M); RWRP APE rose 18% YoY above the industry growth is a key positive

IPRU Life reported NBP of INR49.3b in 2QFY25, up 13.1% YoY. For 1HFY25, NBP grew 17.4% YoY to INR86.98b.

ICICI Prudential premium income growth was reported higher than our estimates as the company’s retail segment remained healthy during the quarter. Along with premium income, its income from investments too remained strong on YoY basis, however, margin remained weak sequentially.

Strong growth continued across its proprietary and banca channel which resulted in APE growth of ~21% / y-o-y in Q2FY25 although APE growth lagged estimates.

Higher APE growth from agency/direct channel is leading to market share gains and driving strong APE growth (higher than industry) for the third consecutive quarter albeit on a low base.

ICICI Pru Life (IPRU) hosted its Analyst Meet 2024, where it introduced its 3C framework of Customer Centricity, Competency, and Catalyst that will enable it to deliver sustainable VNB growth.

IPRU held an analyst meet to outline its granular strategy that has helped it deliver industry-beating growth in the past few months and will be key to maintaining the growth momentum in the medium term.