Dilip Buildcon Ltd. share price target

Dilip Buildcon Ltd (DBL) is one of the largest road construction company in India. The company is also an established player in irrigation, urban development and mining segments. As per the media news, CBI team on 31st Dec conducted raids at the DBL office and residential premises. When we contacted the company, DBL clarifies and reiterate that the news is based on hearsay and no Executive Director of the company is involved in any media-based allegations. Further, DBL stated that all the operations of the company including its core operations at construction and mining sites all over India are functioning without any impediment and continue to remain fluent....

Dilip Buildcon Ltd (DBL) is one of the largest road construction company in India. The company is also an established player in irrigation, urban development and mining segments. Delay in commencement of projects due to covid & extended...

Dilip Buildcon Ltd (DBL) is one of the largest road construction company in India. The company is also an established player in irrigation, urban development and mining segments. Q4FY21 revenue grew by 17% YoY led by better labour availability and more sites opened for execution....

Q4FY21 snapshot: DBL revenue increased by 17% YoY to Rs29bn. But EBITDA margin was lower by 90bps YoY at ~16%. And is led by accounting of Rs400mn CSR expenses of previous years, adjusted EBITDA margin stood at 17%. PAT at Rs1.3bn and was up...

Dilip Buildcon Ltd (DBL) is one of the largest road construction company in India. The company is also an established player in irrigation, urban development and mining segments. Q2FY21 revenue grew by 6.4% YoY while monsoon and availability of manpower impacted a full fledged execution. EBITDA margin declined by 187bps YoY to 15.9% due to nonabsorption on fixed costs and higher other expenses (54% YoY). Order book remain healthy at Rs25,620cr (2.9x TTM revenue) supported by strong inflow of Rs11,128cr, further DBL is expecting ~Rs4,000cr of inflow in H2FY21....

Dilip Buildcon Ltd (DBL) is one of the largest road construction company in India. The company is also an established player in irrigation, urban development and mining segments. Q1FY21 revenue declined by 17.5% YoY due to limited availability of workforce and disruptions in supply chain owing to Covid....

DBL reported results above estimates on all fronts. DBL posted 17.5%/ 28.2%/ 73.1% YoY de-growth in revenue/ EBITDA/ Adj. PAT to Rs18.9 bn/ Rs3.0 bn/ Rs337 mn in Q1FY21. We increase our revenue estimates by 20.6%/ 9.8% for FY21E/ FY22E factoring Q1FY21 results and execution from inflows won in Q1FY21. We maintain EBITDA margin estimates for FY21E/ FY22E. Accordingly, we increase our APAT estimates by 119.5%/ 26.1% for FY21E/ FY22E. We factor higher debt of Rs34 bn in FY21E vs. Rs32.6 bn in FY20. We...

Dilip Buildcon Ltd (DBL) is one of the largest road construction company in India. The company is also an established player in irrigation, urban development and mining segments....

Dilip Buildcon Ltd (DBL) is one of the largest road construction company in India. The company is also an established player in irrigation, urban development and mining segments. Q3FY20 revenue was declined by 4% YoY due to delay in getting appointed date and extended monsoon. Gross margin improved by 1.89bps YoY to 23.8% while EBITDA...

DBL has a strong execution engine which was impacted due to financial constraints owing to high equity outlay on HAM projects. This has been sorted out with Shrem and Cube Highways deal and likely closure of residual 7HAM projects monetization by 1QFY21. We believe that non roads share in the order book will de-risk growth concerns. Balance sheet healing augurs well for multiple re-rating. DBL is in talks with credit rating agencies for a possible rating review and has indicated 2QFY21E timeline for a possible outcome. We have cut down FY20/21E EPS estimates by 21.7/6.2% to factor in rev cut, high interest expense and taxes. We maintain BUY. Key risks (1) Further debt build-up; (2) Deterioration in NWC days and (3) Delay in balance 7 HAM monetization. We maintain BUY on DBL, with a reduced TP of Rs 681/sh (vs. Rs 717/sh earlier). We retain our target EPC multiple at 12x FY21E EPS to factor a marginal cut in FY20 revenue estimates. We have revised our FY20/21 EPS estimates lower by 21.7/6.2% respectively.