Apollo Pipes Ltd. share price target

Weak Q1FY25 as APOLP continued to lose market share even after selling its products at a discount to its peers

Weak Q4 performance on loss of market share due to rise in competitive intensity in the sector

NAM: Strong growth but upside capped cut to HOLD. APOLP: Disappointing result on all fronts. ITC: Cigarette and paperboard businesses disappoint. LT: Order inflow guidance raised; maintain BUY. NTPC: Normal quarter, aggressive expansion; maintain BUY. MRCO: Domestic business still lacklustre. UTIAM: Core earnings miss estimates. ASTRA: Mixed quarter, guidance broadly intact

Apollo Pipes (APOLP) is engaged in manufacturing of PVC pipes, HDPE products and fittings since the last two decades. In the last 5 years, revenues/EBITDA/PAT grew 32.2%/37.8%/15.7% on back of 15% volume growth. The key takeaways from our discussion with the management are: 1) Expect 30% volume CAGR over FY19-21 on back of industry growth of 78% driven by government investment in irrigation, housing & sanitation. 2) The Nal se Jal campaign (operational from FY21) will benefit PVC pipe manufacturers as it will be used for last mile connectivity. APOLP is in the process of registering with state boards such as Punjab, Uttaranchal,...

Apollo Pipes (APOLP) is engaged in manufacturing of PVC pipes, HDPE products and fittings since the last two decades. In the last 5 years, revenues/EBITDA/PAT grew 32.2%/37.8%/15.7% on back of 15% volume growth. The key takeaways from our discussion with the management are: 1) Expect 30% volume CAGR over FY19-21 on back of industry growth of 78% driven by government investment in irrigation, housing & sanitation. 2) The Nal se Jal campaign (operational from FY21) will benefit PVC pipe manufacturers as it will be used for last mile connectivity. APOLP is in the process of registering with state boards such as Punjab, Uttaranchal,...