VRL Logistics Ltd. share price target

VRL Logistics' (VRLL) Q2FY21 print beat our estimates on all fronts.

Registered Office:Rukmini Towers, 3rd& 4th Floor, # 3/1, Platform Road, Sheshadripuram, Bangalore - 560 020,...

Weekly Wrap: Global yields rise as recovery continues. VRLL: Insipid Q1 but steady recovery bodes well. MTLM: Q1 revenues slump; outlook improving

VRL Logistics (VRLL) reported a weak topline in Q1FY21, as the lockdowns and other headwinds put pressure on both goods and bus segments. Improvement seen in July on operational front. Management highlighted the following: (1) Targets nominal profit in FY21E, PAT positive in July (2) No major capex for FY21 (3) Price hikes taken to offset volume fall. (3) Focus on client addition (4) Cost control measures taken like pay cuts (5) Improvement in availability of workers and drivers (6) Asked for rent waiver for April month (7)...

Lockdown-induced disruptions catalysed a steep 70% YoY decline in VRL Logistics' (VRLL) Q1FY21 topline to Rs 1.6bn.

VRL Logistics reported the muted revenue growth for FY20 as the difficult macroeconomic conditions put pressure on both Goods Transport (~81% of revenue) and Bus Segment (~16% of revenue). Both the segments were hit badly by COVID-19. The asset ownership model operated by the company along with ~20,000 employee base and fluctuation in diesel cost attracts has affected monthly fixed costs which is expected to put huge pressure on margin and expect to incur the losses in FY21. Recovery is...

VRL Logistics' (VRLL) Q4FY20 print was weak.

We initiate coverage on VRL Logistics (VRLL) with BUY and a Mar'21 TP of Rs 330, set at 22x FY22E P/E.

Maintains 10% tonnage growth guidance for FY19 For Q2FY19, the revenue from operations grew 14.4%YoY to ` 5,169.9mn; de-grew 2.2% QoQ from ` 5,284.7mn. EBITDA declined 3%YoY to ` 541mn; declined 10.2% QoQ from ` 602mn. EBITDA Margin decreased by 188Bps YoY to 10.5%; a decrease of 94bps QoQ. Operating expenses increased 19.2% YoY to ` 3,651mn, a decrease of 2.1% QoQ. The increase in operating expenses was primarily due to increase in fuel cost with overall fuel cost to sales grew from 23% to 26% YoY and the fuel procurement cost...

VRL reported Q2FY18 numbers, marginally below our expectation with de-growth in both trucking as well as the bus segment. Trucking segment was impacted by weak volumes in July 2017 due to GST implementation, while the bus segment was weak due to seasonality. Sales was reported at Rs 4.52 bn (-8% QoQ and flat YoY) with YoY improvement in EBIDTA margin at 12.3% (+120 bps YoY) on the back of improving turnaround time for trucks with removal of interstate check post. Interest cost has further decreased with prepayment of debt in the quarter. Consequently the company has reported PAT of Rs 216 mn (+27% YoY)...