Supreme Industries Ltd. share price target

Background: Supreme Industries (SI) is a plastic product manufacturer and the largest plastic processor in India, processing over 0.37mn MT annually. Company has four business verticals i.e. Plastic Piping (55%), Packaging Products (21%), Industrial Products (16%) and Consumer Products (7%). SI has 22 manufacturing plants situated across India. Company enjoys a significant market share across its business verticals; Plastic Piping (9.48%), Industrial Products (15%) and...

Supreme Industries Ltd (SIL) is India's leading player in plastic products; the wide range of offering includes Plastic Piping system, Packaging, Industrial and Consumer products . We upgrade to Accumulate, given improvement in margin profile driven by better product mix & lower cost. We expect revival in revenue growth from H2FY21E, led by rural & agri demand. Q4FY20 Revenue de-grew by 6% YoY, but PAT grew by 4% YoY on account of higher operating margin....

Supreme's packaging, industrial business performance in FY20 (down 8%, 24% YoY in FY20E, respectively) was impacted by low pricing in cross laminated films products, slowdown in the automotive industry. However, the strong performance of piping business in H1FY20 helped the company to clock segment revenue growth of 9% in FY20 and helped mitigate poor show of industrial segments, to some extent. We believe low construction and infra spending coupled with slow demand recovery of industrial products categories would weigh on volume growth in FY20-22E (we model...

Supreme Industries (SI) reported below-estimated Q4FY20 revenues (7% YoY) due to a 9% lockdown-led volume decline.

Supreme Industries Limited (SIL) delivered in-line revenue and net profit performance, while EBITDA margin beat our estimates led by lower input cost, higher contribution of value-added products and price hike in CPVC. Revenue declined by 6.6% y-o-y to Rs. 1,430.5 crore, in-line with our expectations, owing to substantial reduction of operations at various plants due to outbreak of COVID-19. EBITDA margins improved by 590 BPS y-o-y to 19.1%, exceeding our estimates, led by better product mix, higher contribution of value-added products, good inventory gains and support...

Our interaction with managements and dealers indicates significant prebuying activity of consumer goods during January-February 2020 on fears of supply related issues from China. While companies have secured supplies to avoid any disturbance in sales in Q4FY20, demand was negatively impacted in March 2020 owing to holiday and post that lockdown across countries. We also believe a late recovery in demand for consumer goods will also impact Q1FY21 performance due to 1) shortage of workers (due to heavy migration), 2) shift in focus on essential goods compared to discretionary products and 3) streamlining of supply chain....

Buttressed by propitious raw material prices, operating profit surged by an blistering 25.8% to Rs 220.93 crs last quarter compared to Rs 175.65 crs in the same quarter a year ago, unwearyingly resuscitating OPMs to 16.9% from 12.5%, Not immodest rise in depreciation (Rs 51.54 crs Vs Rs 45.48 crs) help pretax earnings to expand by 25.3% and post tax...

Supreme Industries Ltd (SIL) is India's leading player in plastic products; the wide range of offering includes Plastic Piping system, Packaging, Industrial and Consumer products. We upgrade to Hold, given improvement in margin profile driven by...

Supreme Industries' non-core business viz. industrial & consumer product business reported revenue decline of 21.3% and 3.4% YoY (25% and 5% YoY in 9MFY20), respectively. On the other hand, the packaging product category reported flattish revenue growth in the packaging product category during Q3FY20 (down 3% YoY in 9MFY20). While the industrial product category was marred by muted demand for automotive components, the consumer & packaging segments were impacted by competition in the respective product categories, respectively. On the piping front, despite...

Background: Supreme Industries (SI) is a plastic product manufacturer and the largest plastic processor in India, processing over 0.37mn MT annually. Company has four business verticals i.e. Plastic Piping (55%), Packaging Products (21%), Industrial Products (16%) and Consumer Products (7%). SI has 22 manufacturing plants situated across India. Company enjoys a significant market share across its business verticals; Plastic Piping (9.48%), Industrial Products (15%) and...