Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd. share price target

Ramkrishna Forgings is well-positioned to benefit from sectoral growth due to its established presence, technological capabilities, and strategic access to resources.

Adjusted PBT at Rs 126.3 crore was in line estimates, but APAT missed estimates on higher tax provisions.

Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd (RKFL) missed revenue estimates by 5.8% but due to in-line adjusted margin
on a healthy rise in gross margins, APAT too met estimates.

Reported EBITDA margin at 22.7% against an estimate of 23.4%

JVs & acquisitions to fuel next leg of growth

On the cusp of recovery; Rising debt is a concern Ramkrishna Forgings (RMKF) Q1FY21 performance was dismal. A sharp decline in domestic M&HCV; sales due to lockdown adversely affected its domestic revenue (-82% YoY). Export revenue also plunged 46%...

Ramkrishna Forgings (RMKF) 4QFY20 performance was weak. A sharp decline in domestic M&HCV; sales adversely affected its domestic revenue (-54% YoY). Export revenue also plunged 40% YoY, driven by slowdown in the Class 8 truck segment. EBITDA margin contracted 363bps YoY to 16.5%, due to a negative operating leverage, while PAT (reported loss Rs 63mn) was suppressed by a higher depreciation and interest cost. The company is in the midst of a demand slump in the domestic CV and...

M&HCVs; Volume Bottoming Out; Recovery Likely by mid-FY21E Led by significantly lower volume, Ramkrishna Forgings (RMKF) has delivered a highly disappointing performance in 3QFY20 with its PAT falling by 95% YoY to Rs17mn (vs. our estimate of Rs33mn). Its revenue declined by 49% YoY and 3% QoQ to Rs2.5bn (vs. our estimate of Rs2.8bn), while its volume declined by 50% YoY (+1% QoQ) to 18,730 tons owing to sharp decline in M&HCV; sales in the wake of higher axle load norm and ongoing economic slowdown. While EBITDA dropped by 55% YoY (+0.5% QoQ) to Rs475mn (slipping our estimate by 7.6%), EBIDTA margin contracted by 270bps YoY (+69bps QoQ) to 18.8% owing to 722bps YoY (+93bps QoQ)...

M&HCVs; Volume Bottoming Out; Recovery Likely by mid-FY21E Led by significantly lower volume, Ramkrishna Forgings (RMKF) has delivered a highly disappointing performance in 3QFY20 with its PAT falling by 95% YoY to Rs17mn (vs. our estimate of Rs33mn). Its revenue declined by 49% YoY and 3% QoQ to Rs2.5bn (vs. our estimate of Rs2.8bn), while its volume declined by 50% YoY (+1% QoQ) to 18,730 tons owing to sharp decline in M&HCV; sales in the wake of higher axle load norm and ongoing economic slowdown. While EBITDA dropped by 55% YoY (+0.5% QoQ) to Rs475mn (slipping our estimate by 7.6%), EBIDTA margin contracted by 270bps YoY (+69bps QoQ) to 18.8% owing to 722bps YoY (+93bps QoQ)...

M&HCVs; Volume Bottoming Out; Recovery Likely by mid-FY21E Led by significantly lower volume, Ramkrishna Forgings (RMKF) has delivered a highly disappointing performance in 3QFY20 with its PAT falling by 95% YoY to Rs17mn (vs. our estimate of Rs33mn). Its revenue declined by 49% YoY and 3% QoQ to Rs2.5bn (vs. our estimate of Rs2.8bn), while its volume declined by 50% YoY (+1% QoQ) to 18,730 tons owing to sharp decline in M&HCV; sales in the wake of higher axle load norm and ongoing economic slowdown. While EBITDA dropped by 55% YoY (+0.5% QoQ) to Rs475mn (slipping our estimate by 7.6%), EBIDTA margin contracted by 270bps YoY (+69bps QoQ) to 18.8% owing to 722bps YoY (+93bps QoQ)...