PCBL Chemical Ltd. share price target

PCBL's Q1FY26 revenue and PAT came in below our expectations. Carbon black sales declined 4% YoY, primarily due to 4% YoY drop in realizations driven by weak crude oil prices. Domestic volumes decreased by 1% YoY, while export volumes grew by 2% YoY. Consolidated EBITDA margin contracted 162bps YoY to 15.1%, reflecting margin compression in both carbon black and Aquapharm segments, largely due to increased freight costs and pricing pressures. EBITDA/t for carbon black remained flat QoQ to Rs17,791 impacted by lower realizations amid weak demand and oversupply caused by an influx of Russian supplies in...

flat both on QoQ and YoY basis. In the CB segment, volumes grew 3% stable QoQ, but lower YoY, primarily due to pricing pressure from increased dumping by Russian players in the domestic market. Going forward, realization is expected to remain largely stable. Power segment delivered strong...

Company has total installed capacity of 678,000 MTPA of Rubber Black and 92,000 MTPA of Specialty Black which is set to cross total 1,000,000 MTPA by FY27 (increase of ~30%) spread across 5 locations in India.
Blended margins (EBITDA / MT) has been increasing Y-o-Y on account of increase in exports as well as product mix (performance and specialty chemicals).

PCBL’s Q1FY25 volume growth accelerated with new capacity addition alongside spreads remaining favourable. The company expects volumes to grow at a CAGR of 11–12% p.a. over the next five years.

Business diversification & industry tailwinds to propel growth

PCBL’s volume growth has accelerated with new capacity addition and higher contribution from specialty grade. Despite spot volumes sales from its Chennai facility, PCBL was able to maintain gross profit/kg. Going forward, it expects spreads to improve by INR 1/kg.

PCBL witnessed healthy Q1FY24 volume growth of 12.5% YoY in carbon black driven by 22.6% rise in export volumes, which indicates that the strong overseas market opportunity is playing out.