PCBL Chemical Ltd. share price target

PCBL's Q2FY26 profitability was below our expectations. Carbon black sales declined 3% YoY, primarily due to an 11% YoY drop in realizations driven by weak demand amid global uncertainty. Domestic volumes increased by 10% YoY, while export volumes grew by 6% YoY. The Consolidated EBITDA margin contracted 450bps YoY to 12.3%, reflecting margin compression in both the carbon black and Aquapharm segments, largely due to pricing pressure on falling crude prices. EBITDA/t for carbon black segment fell 24% QoQ to Rs13,489 amid high input tariffs imposed by US. Consequently, we revise our...

Recently acquired speciality chemical company i.e. Aquapharm Chemicals Q2FY26 Result: On the consolidated basis, at PCBL, net sales for Q2'26 came in at 2,164 crore with carbon black sales volumes at 162 kt (up 9% YoY & 5% QoQ) and realisation at 99/kg (vs. 108/kg in Q1FY26). EBITDA for the quarter came in at 266 crore with margins at 12.3% (down 280 bps QoQ). PAT for Q2FY26 stood at 62 crore, down 50% YoY. EBITDA/tonne in carbon black space for Q2'26 stood at ~ 14,250/tonne vs. ~17,800 clocked Q1FY26. Global uncertainty to weigh on near term performance: For Q2'26;...

PCBL Chemicals has shared its Vision 2030 at the group Analyst Day event held on 8th Sep'25, wherein it intends to 2x the revenues by 2030 vs. 2025, grow EBITDA to 3x and target PAT of 5x. All this will be achieved amidst calibrated capex spends (~ 3,000 crore over a 5-year period) with Net...

PCBL's Q1FY26 revenue and PAT came in below our expectations. Carbon black sales declined 4% YoY, primarily due to 4% YoY drop in realizations driven by weak crude oil prices. Domestic volumes decreased by 1% YoY, while export volumes grew by 2% YoY. Consolidated EBITDA margin contracted 162bps YoY to 15.1%, reflecting margin compression in both carbon black and Aquapharm segments, largely due to increased freight costs and pricing pressures. EBITDA/t for carbon black remained flat QoQ to Rs17,791 impacted by lower realizations amid weak demand and oversupply caused by an influx of Russian supplies in...

flat both on QoQ and YoY basis. In the CB segment, volumes grew 3% stable QoQ, but lower YoY, primarily due to pricing pressure from increased dumping by Russian players in the domestic market. Going forward, realization is expected to remain largely stable. Power segment delivered strong...

Company has total installed capacity of 678,000 MTPA of Rubber Black and 92,000 MTPA of Specialty Black which is set to cross total 1,000,000 MTPA by FY27 (increase of ~30%) spread across 5 locations in India.
Blended margins (EBITDA / MT) has been increasing Y-o-Y on account of increase in exports as well as product mix (performance and specialty chemicals).

PCBL’s Q1FY25 volume growth accelerated with new capacity addition alongside spreads remaining favourable. The company expects volumes to grow at a CAGR of 11–12% p.a. over the next five years.

Business diversification & industry tailwinds to propel growth

PCBL’s volume growth has accelerated with new capacity addition and higher contribution from specialty grade. Despite spot volumes sales from its Chennai facility, PCBL was able to maintain gross profit/kg. Going forward, it expects spreads to improve by INR 1/kg.