322.10
2.91%
Motilal Oswal
13 February 2020 Higher-than-expected volume offset the lower implied transmission tariff and led to in-line EBITDA in 3QFY20. The QoQ decline in volume was primarily led by the refinery/petrochemical segments. We expect low LNG prices to spurt demand, especially from the power segment post monsoon. The company is a direct beneficiary of the upcoming LNG terminals in Gujarat and the renewed focus on reducing industrial pollution. GUJS reported in-line EBITDA of INR3.8b (3% miss; +8% YoY, -13% QoQ) as higher-than-expected transmission volume of 36.9mmscmd offset the lower implied tariff. Implied tariff declined from INR1,420/mscm in 3QFY19 and INR1,461/mscm in 2QFY20 to INR1,331/mscm in the quarter. PAT of INR2.2b was in line with our estimate (+28% YoY, -51% QoQ). The company had written back tax in the previous quarter as it moved to the new lower tax regime. Consumption from the refinery/petrochem segment continued to be the highest at 32% but slid from 12.9mmscmd in 2QFY20 to 11.8mmscmd in the quarter.
Gujarat State Petronet Ltd. is trading above its 150 day SMA of 312.1
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