5930.5000 -27.50 (-0.46%)
NSE Apr 16, 2025 15:31 PM
Volume: 2.2M
 

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BSE Ltd.
12 Feb 2020
5930.50
-0.46%
HDFC Securities
BSE cash market share has slipped to 6.4% vs ~13/9% in FY18/19 and currency derivative segment is also facing tough competition. Investments in INX and newer initiatives (commodity & Insurance distribution) have impacted EBITDA margins (1.1% in 9MFY20, down ~7% YoY). We expect revenue growth of 12.0/10.4% in FY21/22E led by rebound in transaction revenue (better market condition, StAR MF and INX contribution). We expect operating leverage to play out with growth (EBITDA margin of 8.8/14.2% for FY21/22E). BSE has net cash of Rs ~20bn (~77% of MCap) and a dividend yield of ~5%, which limits downside. Risks include rise in competition, loss of market share and increase in investments. We maintain NEU on BSE based on revenue and margin miss in 3QFY20. The core revenue stream is under pressure, margin is in the negative territory due to ongoing investments in new initiatives (INX). BSE cash market share has declined to 6.4% but StAR MF platform is witnessing continued traction. We arrive at a SoTP based TP of Rs 590 by assigning 15x multiple to core Dec-21E PAT (Rs 46/sh), Rs 105/sh for the CDSL stake and adding net cash (Rs 439/sh).
Number of FII/FPI investors increased from 440 to 746 in Dec 2024 qtr.
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