IndusInd Bank Ltd.

NSE: INDUSINDBK | BSE: 532187 | ISIN: INE095A01012 |Industry: Banks
|Momentum Trap

IndusInd Bank Ltd.    
10 Jan 2019
HDFC Securities
Near term outlook: We expect the stock to remain range bound given the uncertainty surrounding the recognition of and provision for the IL&FS exposure. IIBs 3Q was characterized by robust business growth and healthy operating performance ( PPOP up 27/6% YoY/QoQ). NIMs were sequentially stable at ~3.8% (down ~16bps). Driven by treasury gains (2x QoQ), other income grew ~12%. CASA remained sequentially stable at ~44%, w/w SA dipped ~2% QoQ. Fees (% of loans) dipped by 10bps QoQ to 3%. While overall asset quality deteriorated sequentially, (GNPAs at 1.13%, ~Rs 19.7bn, +11% QoQ) the exposure to IL&FS; remained std (Rs 30bn). Even as IIB additionally provided ~Rs 2.55bn (total provisions ~Rs 6bn incl. floating provisions), it will have to incur further provisions of at least ~Rs 4bn toward the holdco exposure. Our constructive thesis on IIB remains unaltered as it continues to display strong growth and operating performance, which we expect will continue. While asset quality will be adversely impacted by its exposure to IL&FS;, in the near term; we expect IIB to be back on track to achieve RoAAs of 1.62% by FY21E post its acquisition of BAFIN. Maintain BUY with a TP of Rs 1,935 (3.5x Dec-20 ABV of Rs 553).
LKP Securities decreased Buy price target of IndusInd Bank Ltd. to 1693.0 on 28 May, 2019.
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