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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    16 Mar 2017
    Bharti Airtel to sell/transfer 400 million shares of Bharti Infratel

    Bharti Airtel to sell/transfer 400 million shares of Bharti Infratel

    Bharti Airtel has been evaluating monetizing a significant stake in Bharti Infratelto raise additional funds. The Airtel Board has now decided to undertake a sale / transfer of upto 400 million Infratel equity shares owned by Airtel -  a non-controlling stake in Infratel - in tranches to its wholly-owned subsidiary, Nettle Infrastructure Investments, as well as other potential investors. 

    The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates in the US by 25 basis points, but said further raising of rates would be "gradual", causing investors across Asia to heave a sigh of relief and had the dollar register losses against the main Asian currencies. The Fed now projects two more rate increases over 2017. 

    Stock in spotlight: Zee Entertainmentis amping up its digital focus with the acquisition of tech startup Margo Networks for Rs. 750 million. Zee said that it will subscribe fresh shares of Margo at a post-issue valuation of Rs. 95 crore.

    Photo of the day: A staff worker blows on an Arabian camel at the Berlin zoo. John Macdougall/AFP/Getty Images

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    The Baseline
    15 Mar 2017
    Interest rate increases in US threatens stock market rallies

    Interest rate increases in US threatens stock market rallies

    The US Federal Reserve has promised a rate hike which is likely to be announced today, with more rate hikes in the coming months. This means that the advantages that India, China and other Asian markets have may be pared down as money leaves Asian shores for the US to take advantage of higher interest rates. While the immediate rate hike in March is likely priced in by the markets, investors will be waiting to hear what Fed Chief Janet Yellen says about future hikes. The Federal Reserve has previously hinted that more hikes may be forthcoming. 

    The income tax department has launched criminal prosecutions against alleged tax evaders by initiating 570 cases, 3x more than the previous year. An estimated 1,200 applications from people accused of evading taxes have also been filed, "seeking mercy" from authorities. One such case according to the department is from a Telangana MLA with approximately Rs. 500 crore in unaccounted income. 

    Stock in spotlight: JSW Steel, which announced its February production numbers today, marking a production growth of 25% compared to February 2016 in crude steel, and growth of 23% and 8% in flat and long rolled steel products. 

    Photo of the day: Students in Thailand feed elephants with pineapple during National Elephant Day celebrations. Chalwat Subprasom/Reuters

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    The Baseline
    14 Mar 2017
    Nifty scales new heights post BJP win in UP

    Nifty scales new heights post BJP win in UP

    The Nifty rose as much as 2.11% to a record high on Tuesday morning, as investors saw Prime Minister Narendra Modi's landslide victory in Uttar Pradesh as endorsing his economic reform agenda. The win in India's largest state election cements the BJP mandate at the Centre, likely enabling the government to push through critical reforms like the GST and labour reform. Markets are high despite the dampening impact of the expected US Federal interest rate hike this month, a move that might suck money out of Asian markets and back to the US. 

    Calling TVF - The Viral Fever - an "Indian Uber", an ex-employee posted an account of numerous instances of sexual harrasment by TVF chief Arunabh Kumar. Following her blog on Medium, two more women have come forward with similar accounts, even as TVF has tried to dismiss the charges as "ludicrous". 

    Stock in spotlight: Ramco Systems, which has just announced a new order with New Zealand company Ravensdown Aerowork, to deploy Ramco's software for automation and maintenance for its fixed-wing aircraft. 

    Photo of the day: Auto-rickshaw drivers clean the windscreens of their vehicles after an unexpected spring snowfall in Dharamshala, India, on Saturday. Ashwini Bhatia/AP

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    The Baseline
    12 Mar 2017
    Research reports for the week - March 6-10

    Research reports for the week - March 6-10

    Stock reports for the week from analysts! Stock pick this week is Tech Mahindra, which has received four upgrades from brokers, with Nirmal Bang, Motilal Oswal and HDFC Securities all issuing upgrades on the stock. 

    DateStockTargetUpside
    (%)
    TypeCMPBrokerChange in
    past 6M
    2017-03-10Wipro Limited 427.0012.39%Sell487.40Nirmal Bang Institutional 1x
    2017-03-09Infosys Limited 1230.0020.58%Buy1020.10Prabhudas Lilladhar 2x
    1x
    2017-03-09Escorts Limited 540.006.00%Hold509.45ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-03-09Natco Pharma Limited 926.0018.52%Buy781.30Angel Broking
    2017-03-08Deepak Nitrite Limited 144.0021.21%ACC.118.80CD Equisearch 1x
    2017-03-08Trent Limited 290.0020.96%Buy239.75ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-03-07Tech Mahindra Limited 580.0021.94%Buy475.65Motilal Oswal and 1 other4x
    2017-03-07Bharat Financial Inclusion L.. 1130.0036.42%Buy828.30Nirmal Bang Institutional and 1 other1x
    2017-03-07Bhartiya International Limited 697.0032.26%Buy527.00ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-03-07CCL Products (India) Limited 365.004.24%Hold350.15ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-03-07PREMCO GLOBAL LTD. 675.0038.89%Buy486.00ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-03-07DCB BANK LIMITED 150.00-6.16%Hold159.85ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2x
    2017-03-07Suprajit Engineering Limited 230.008.54%Buy211.90Axis Direct and 1 other1x
    2017-03-06Mahindra CIE Automotive Limi.. --%ACC.205.90Way2Wealth
    2017-03-06Larsen & Toubro(L&T) Limited 1660.0011.26%Buy1491.95Motilal Oswal 1x
    2017-03-06Aurobindo Pharma Limited 915.0039.71%Buy654.95Motilal Oswal 1x
    2017-03-06Dishman Pharmaceuticals and .. 143.0038.04%Sell230.80Angel Broking 1x
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    The Baseline
    10 Mar 2017
    Markets get the jitters before UP poll results

    Markets get the jitters before UP poll results

    Election worries: Markets tend to value stability and pro-market parties, and the upcoming UP election results have traders and investors worrying about the implications of an SP-Congress win. With exit polls predicting BJP wins or that BJP will emerge as the single largest party in a majority of states, markets are poised expectantly a win - a loss for Modi and the BJP parties would mean sharp losses for the markets in the following days. 

    The Indian government's UPI payments app, as well as the launch of Aadhaar Pay, which enables banking transactions with Aadhaar+fingerprint, have forced electronic payment providers like PayTM and MobiKwik to cut fees and transaction costs. Executives are acknowledging that e-wallets as a standalone business are not viable, and adding additional services such as providing interest on deposits, to stay viable. 

    Stock in spotlight: Jindal Steel and Power is rising strongly on news that the government plans local procurement from Indian companies of steel for government infrastructure and construction contracts. 

    Photo of the day: Another in our Holi series: an elderly man covered in holi powder during festival celebrations in UP. Cathal Mcnaughton/Reuters

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    The Baseline
    09 Mar 2017
    Dr. Reddy's hit by 13 observations from the FDA

    Dr. Reddy's hit by 13 observations from the FDA

    Dr. Reddy's oncology formulation plant in Visakhapatnam has received 13 observations from the USFDA for violation of norms. The stock is now close to its two year low, falling over 4% just today and down 10% since the beginning of the year. The 13 observations in the Form 483 issued by FDA investigations mean multiple violations at the plant of the US Food Drugs & Cosmetics Act. 

    After Maruti Suzuki and Toyota, its now Tata Motors and Volkswagen's turn. The two companies have signed an in-principle agreement to explore the possibility of working together, to develop a new range of products. The Tata-Volkswagen alliance has been under negotiation for over a year, and the two companies will look at sharing of components and technologies. 

    Stock in spotlight: Yes Bank, which hit a new 52 week high today in stock markets. The stock has been barrelling up since strong quarter results, with 38.7% YoY growth in advances, 63.3% YoY improvement in CASA deposits, and profitability growth at 30.6% YoY. 

    Photo of the day: A student gets smeared with colored powder in Kolkata. Dibyangshu Sarkar/AFP/Getty

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    The Baseline
    08 Mar 2017
    H1B spouses may lose the right to work in the US

    H1B spouses may lose the right to work in the US

    Spouses of H1B visa holders may not be able to work in the US, in a potential reversal of the Obama administration's position that had permitted spouses of H1B visa holders to take up US jobs. The move by the Obama administration that permitted spouses to work had been challenged by American groups in court.

    The Department of Justice, now headed by Jeff Sessions, who is known for his strong anti-immigration views, has requested 60 days from the court to study the case, a move observers say may indicate that the new administration will reverse the previous government's stance.

    Steel companies including JSW Steel and Tata Steel are likely to benefit from a move the Indian government is considering, that would mandate the use of local steel for government infrastructure projects. Government sources said that the move is a WTO-compliant measure meant to curb low-cost steel imports from China. The Indian government has budgeted $59 billion for 2017-18 for steel-intensive infrastructure projects such as ports, roads, railways and power. 

    Stock in spotlight: Jain Irrigation Systems, which has won a Rs. 189 crore order from the Indira Gandhi Nahar Project (IGNP) in Rajasthan to provide end to end water solutions for the state's farmers.  

    Photo of the day: A woman poses for photographs during Holi celebrations in UP. Cathal McNaughton/Reuters

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    The Baseline
    07 Mar 2017
    Tech Mahindra buys US firm CJS Solutions

    Tech Mahindra buys US firm CJS Solutions

    Tech Mahindra, India's fifth-biggest software services exporter, is buying US-based healthcare IT firm CJS Solutions for a value of $110 million. Tech Mahindra said it will make an upfront cash payment of $89.5 million for an 84.7% stake in CJS with the remaining 15.3% to be acquired over three years. CJS specializes in electronic medical records software. 

    The IPO offering of Music Broadcast Ltd (MBL) a Jagran company that owns RadioCity FM, was subscribed 51% on the first day of the offer yesterday, with the retail investor portion fully subscribed. The IPO launched amid bullish recommendations from most analysts, who estimated the IPO to be competitively priced. The portion for non-institutional investors was subscribed 3%.

    Stock in spotlight: Bharat Financial Inclusion, which on Monday informed investors in an analyst call that 4.5% of its gross loan portfolio is under risk of slipping into bad loans in the fourth quarter, compared to 0.2% the previous quarter. 60% of overdues, the company said, was from UP and Maharashtra, with over 1,000 centres seeing zero repayment since demonetization. 

    Photo of the day: A worker sifts coloured powder (gulal) at a factory in Siliguri, which will be sold in packets for Holi. Diptendu Dutta/AFP/Getty Images

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    The Baseline
    06 Mar 2017
    Upcoming Fed rate hike spooks markets

    Upcoming Fed rate hike spooks markets

    The US Federal Reserve is set to increase rates faster than expected, with Fed Chair Janet Yellen saying that interest rates would be raised in the Fed's meeting in March if "conditions stay favorable". This has heightened worries among Asian and Indian investors that money will move back to the US to take advantage of higher interest rates. China in the meantime has lowered its growth target to "around 6.5%" in the midst of an economy struggling with industrial overcapacity and rising debt. 

    Subscription for the Music Broadcast Limited IPO starts today, with analysts bullish on the prospective IPO. The IPO for MBL (which owns RadioCity), analysts say, is discounted compared to the larger listed peer Entertainment Network India Limited (ENIL) which operates radio stations under Radio Mirchi name. The IPO shares are in the price band of Rs. 324-333 per share.

    Stock in spotlight: NALCO hits a new 52 week hightoday on a wave of good company news, including strong production numbers and an interim dividend announcement. 

    Photo of the day: Jack Mckendrick, carrying his partner, Kirsty Jones, wins the 10th UK Wife Carrying Race in the UK. Gareth Fuller/PA

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    The Baseline
    03 Mar 2017
    India services grows for first time in four months

    India services grows for first time in four months

    Indian services activity expanded for the first time in four months, returning to growth as firms say they are seeing customers return in the months after demonetization. Service providers across the country are reporting business growth for the first time since the start of November, and said they were able to raise prices to offset rising costs.

    The revolving-door of senior executives out of Indian startups, and the slow down in funding are discouraging new hires from joining unicorn firms. The 2014 goldrush appears to have come to an end, when senior business leaders from larger companies, banks and consulting were joining India's high-profile unicorn startups. Now with salaries being pared and pink slips handed out, the space is looking a lot less attractive. 

    Stock in spotlight: Alembic Pharmaceuticals, which has launched the generic equivalent of Pfizer's Pristiq, used to treat major depressive disorder. The market size for this drug in the US is estimated at $883 million. 

    Photo of the day: Boys battle for the ball at soccer practice in Mumbai. Shailesh Andrade/Reuters

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