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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    23 Oct 2017
    Stock reports for the week of October 16 - 22

    Stock reports for the week of October 16 - 22

    Stock reports for the week of October 16 - 22 is now live. As the September quarter results roll in, analysts from HDFC Securities, Axis Bank, Motilal Oswal and others are reviewing their buy/sell calls.  Stock pick of the week from analysts is Federal Bank, which delivered strong Q2 results with a 31% net profit increase, amid lower NPAs. 

    DateStockTargetUpside
    (%)
    TypeCMPBrokerChange in
    past 6M
    2017-10-20UltraTech Cement Limited 3835.00-7.99%NEUT.4168.00HDFC Securities 1x
    2017-10-18Bajaj Auto Limited 3598.0013.14%Buy3180.00HDFC Securities
    2017-10-18Axis Bank Limited 504.0011.55%NEUT.451.80HDFC Securities and 1 other1x
    2017-10-18Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited --%Results Update490.55HDFC Securities
    2017-10-18Colgate Palmolive (India) Li.. --%Results Update1056.65HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2017-10-18Dewan Housing Finance Corpor.. --%Results Update589.00HDFC Securities
    2017-10-18Bajaj Finance Limited --%Results Update1825.00HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2017-10-18Reliance Industries Limited .. --%Results Update930.60HDFC Securities and 1 other1x
    2017-10-18The Karnataka Bank Limited --%Results Update155.80HDFC Securities
    2017-10-18TV18 Broadcast Limited --%Results Update39.75HDFC Securities
    2017-10-18The South Indian Bank Limited --%Results Update31.95HDFC Securities
    2017-10-18IndusInd Bank Limited --%Results Update1698.65HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2017-10-18Gruh Finance Limited --%Results Update506.00HDFC Securities
    2017-10-18Wipro Limited 280.00-4.75%NEUT.293.95HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2017-10-18ACC Limited 1542.0013.12%Sell1774.95HDFC Securities and 1 other1x
    2017-10-18Tata Consultancy Services Li.. 2610.000.82%Hold2588.75JM Financial
    1x
    2017-10-18APL Apollo Tubes Limited 1850.00-0.63%Hold1861.80Choice India
    1x
    2017-10-18Jindal Stainless Limited --%Buy114.40Edelweiss
    2017-10-18CRISIL Limited 1785.00-0.64%ACC.1796.50Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-10-18Oberoi Realty Limited 315.0032.35%Sell465.65Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-10-18Solar Industries India Limited 1185.0019.70%Buy990.00Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-10-18DCB BANK LIMITED 223.0023.44%Buy180.65Reliance Securities and 1 other
    2017-10-17Federal Bank Limited 137.009.38%Buy125.25HDFC Securities and 1 other1x
    2017-10-17Persistent Systems Limited 715.007.92%Buy662.55HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2x
    2017-10-17HT Media Limited 113.008.92%NEUT.103.75Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-17Avenue Supermarts Limited 873.0022.77%Sell1130.40Motilal Oswal and 1 other
    2x
    2017-10-17Delta Corp Limited 257.009.11%Buy235.55Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-17SIMMONDS MARSHALL LTD. 100.0020.55%Buy82.95Choice India
    2017-10-17Bodal Chemicals Limited 249.0043.97%Buy172.95BP Wealth
    2017-10-17V-Mart Retail Limited 1797.0026.55%Buy1420.00Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-10-17Britannia Industries Limited --%Not Rated4657.20Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-10-17Bajaj Corp Limited 519.0019.13%Buy435.65Reliance Securities and 1 other1x
    2017-10-17Zee Learn Limited 80.0073.54%Buy46.10Edelweiss
    2017-10-17Can Fin Homes Limited 644.0020.41%ACC.534.85CD Equisearch
    1x
    2017-10-16Strides Shasun 1200.0040.85%Buy852.00HDFC Securities
    2017-10-16Hindustan Media Ventures Lim.. 302.0023.77%Buy244.00Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-16Prime Focus Limited --%Buy102.50Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-16Cyient Limited 610.0011.63%Buy546.45JM Financial
    2017-10-16Reliance Nippon Life Asset M.. --%IPO Note-Choice India
    2017-10-16Tata Steel Limited --%Mgmt Note711.45Axis Direct 1x
    2017-10-16Steel Strips Wheels Limited 1007.0013.80%Buy884.85Axis Direct
    2017-10-16Natco Pharma Limited 1240.0025.06%Buy991.50Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-10-16Endurance Technologies Ltd 1277.0018.37%Buy1078.85Angel Broking
    1x
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    The Baseline
    20 Oct 2017
    For India, the dynamics of oil imports are changing fast

    For India, the dynamics of oil imports are changing fast

    Price-conscious Indian buyers, hit by OPEC supply cuts and higher prices, have started to look for alternatives to Gulf oil imports this year. Indian buyers of crude oil have turned to Russia and Venezuela, and most recently, the United States to meet its oil requirements. 

    For India, this is a welcome diversification, with the potential to reduce uncertainty in oil pricing and supplies. The ‘Fragile Five’ petrostates – Iran, Iraq, Libya, Nigeria and Venezuela – remain politically unstable, with Iraq dealing with a Kurdish uprising, Iran under threat of new sanctions, and Venezuela struggling with internal discontent as its local infrastructure remain in a state of collapse. OPEC cuts have limited India's ability to consistently procure crude supply from the Middle East, and the body is set to expand its cuts for another nine months, well into 2018. 

    Enter the United States. Earlier this month, India received its first ever shipment of US crude, with a massive crude carrier docking at a port in Odisha. This is a remarkable renewal of ties since India stopped importing oil from the United States in 1975.

    India and the US have pledged towards stronger ties economically and politically, with US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson saying that India would be a key ally for the country's administration. Both Indian Oil Corporation and Bharat Petroleum have placed orders for over 2 million barrels from the United States.

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    The Baseline
    18 Oct 2017, 12:01PM
    On eve of muhurut trading, Diwali picks from analysts

    On eve of muhurut trading, Diwali picks from analysts

    The BSE and NSE are conducting a special Muhurat trading session on Thursday, 19 October. The trading session, which is conducted to mark Diwali, is held between 6.30pm and 7.30pm. The pre-opening session will start at 6.15pm.

    In the leadup to this trading event, multiple analysts including Edelweiss, HDFC Securities, Axis Direct and Motilal Oswal have announced their Diwali picks. A summary of some popular picks is below. 

    Granules India (HDFC Securities, Motilal Oswal), target price Rs. 200 - 240

    Hyderabad-based pharmaceutical company Granules India is a company that analysts are bullish about due to the large number of ANDA approvals the company is filing for over the next couple of years. The company according to analysts is a strong performer, delivering earnings growth consistently over the past few years. It has also seen rising profitability on its products. ort.

    Dilip Buildcon (Axis Direct, IIFL, Edelweiss) target price: Rs. 867

    One of the largest and fastest growing EPC contractors for roads saw management raise the company's FY18 revenue guidance after a strong Q1 performance. Elections coming up in multiple states mean rapid clearance for road projects. 

    The company is selling off its entire BOT portfolio, a move to reduce the debt on its balance sheet, giving DBL the chance to participate in HAM projects to the tune of Rs. 15,000 - 25,000 crore in FY18. The company's order backlog worth Rs. 15,600 crore at the end of Q1 gives it a long runway.

    Birla Corp (HDFC Securities, Motilal Oswal) target price: Rs. 1150 - Rs. 1450

    Birla Corp, with its impressive cash flow yields and growing size, is another company that has drawn the attention of multiple analysts. The company's footprint across North, Central and East India bodes well for growth, with states in these regions looking to ramp up infrastructure spending. Birla Corp's scale currently is comparable to Ramco thanks to rapid growth in the past several quarters. 

    Steel Strips Wheels (Axis Direct) target price: Rs. 1061

    SSWL's investments in heavier wheels has been paying off for the firm in sales. In the most recent month, the company achieved total wheel rim sales of 72.92 lakh versus 12.09 lakh in September 2017, representing a growth of 7% YoY. The company has also recently expanded capacity in production lines to meet growing commercial demand in South India, and the firm also commenced production in its first alloy wheel plant in Gujarat in August 2017. EBITDA margins are projected to expand (analyst projections) by 1.5%+ thanks to investments in heavier wheels and alloy wheels. 

    Rain Industries (Dolly Khanna pick)

    The final stock in the list is one where superstar investor Dolly Khanna has been increasing her stake. Khanna raised her stake in Rain Industries to 2.04% in the September quarter from 1.27% in the previous quarter. The carbon-products manufacturer saw mutual funds decrease their holdings in the company even as FII/FPIs and Dolly Khanna raised it for their portfolio investments.
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    The Baseline
    16 Oct 2017
    Stock reports for the week of October 9 - 15, and a familiar stock delivers a strong performance

    Stock reports for the week of October 9 - 15, and a familiar stock delivers a strong performance

    Stock research reports for the week of October 9 - 15 are live! This week's reports include calls from Motilal Oswal, Axis Direct and more, as well as Diwali picks from Edelweiss and HDFC Securities. Stock pick of the week from analysts is Cyient Limited, which has managed significant operational efficiencies and strong revenue growth to increase margins, despite weak macroeconomic fundamentals in the tech space. Cyient was highlighted by Trendlyne earlier this year, in July for its strong fundamentals. The company's share price hit a year high on Friday after its results. 

    DateStockTargetUpside
    (%)
    TypeCMPBrokerChange in
    past 6M
    2017-10-14Multi Commodity Exchange of .. 1342.0018.49%Buy1132.55HDFC Securities
    2017-10-13IndusInd Bank Limited 1809.003.49%Buy1748.00HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2017-10-13Bharti Airtel Limited --%Not Rated431.60HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2017-10-13Cyient Limited 587.008.82%Buy539.40HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2017-10-13Tata Consultancy Services Li.. 2570.000.52%NEUT.2556.75HDFC Securities and 1 other1x
    2x
    2017-10-13Lupin Limited 889.0016.24%Sell1061.40Prabhudas Lilladhar
    2x
    2017-10-12Ajanta Pharma Limited 1605.0036.36%Buy1177.00Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-12Century Plyboards (India) Li.. 325.0021.25%Buy268.05Bonanza
    2017-10-12The South Indian Bank Limited 40.0023.46%Buy32.40Dolat Capital and 1 other
    2017-10-12TV18 Broadcast Limited 57.0040.57%Buy40.55KRChoksey
    2017-10-12Natco Pharma Limited 1240.0025.82%Buy985.55Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-10-12Deepak Nitrite Limited 245.0012.54%ACC.217.70CD Equisearch
    2017-10-11City Union Bank Limited 196.0021.55%Buy161.25HDFC Securities
    2017-10-11General Insurance Corporatio.. --%IPO Note-HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2017-10-11Nilkamal Limited 2097.0028.52%Buy1631.65Religare 1x
    2017-10-11Kaveri Seed Company Limited 738.0034.06%Buy550.50Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-11Bajaj Finance Limited 2300.0017.65%Buy1955.00Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-11Crompton Greaves Consumer El.. 270.0028.66%Buy209.85Prabhudas Lilladhar 3x
    2017-10-11Future Retail Ltd 630.0017.54%Buy536.00Yes Securities
    2017-10-11Can Fin Homes Limited --%Buy558.60Geojit BNP Paribas
    1x
    2017-10-11Apar Industries Limited --%Buy764.00Choice India
    2017-10-11Cochin Shipyard Ltd 690.0020.57%Buy572.30Choice India
    2017-10-11National Buildings Construct.. --%Mgmt Note242.80IDBI Capital
    2017-10-11Indian Energy Exchange Ltd IPO --%IPO Note-IDBI Capital and 1 other
    2017-10-11Birla Corporation Limited 1300.0029.87%Buy1001.00Edelweiss
    2017-10-11Biocon Limited 246.0033.51%Sell370.00Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-10-10Bank of Baroda 206.0047.56%Buy139.60HDFC Securities
    2017-10-10Alkem Laboratories Limited --%Top Picks1824.05HDFC Securities 1x
    2017-10-10Coal India Limited 335.0016.30%Buy288.05Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-10Larsen & Toubro(L&T) Limited 1400.0022.97%Buy1138.50Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-10Tata Motors Limited 562.0032.41%Buy424.45Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-10SH Kelkar and Co. Ltd. 348.0025.63%Buy277.00Edelweiss
    2017-10-10GAIL (India) Limited 513.0017.46%Buy436.75Prabhudas Lilladhar
    2017-10-09Shriram Transport Finance Co.. 1150.005.02%Buy1095.05Religare 1x
    2017-10-09Nesco Limited 755.0043.24%Buy527.10BP Wealth
    2017-10-09Zee Entertainment Enterprise.. 630.0023.46%Buy510.30Motilal Oswal
    3x
    2017-10-09Capital First Limited 920.0021.85%Buy755.00Axis Direct 1x
    2017-10-09ICICI Bank Limited --%Mgmt Note271.40Axis Direct
    2017-10-09ITC Limited 330.0024.13%Buy265.85Axis Direct 2x
    2x
    2017-10-09BSE Mid-Cap --%Top Picks15966.69Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-10-08Atul Auto Limited 716.0052.11%Buy470.70Ventura
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    The Baseline
    09 Oct 2017
    Stock reports for the week of October 1 - 8

    Stock reports for the week of October 1 - 8

    Stock reports for the week, from Motilal Oswal, Axis Direct, HDFC Securities and more are live. Besides the cascade of IPO reports coming in, stock pick of the week from analysts is Tata Steel, post Tata Steel and ThyssenKrupp AG having signed an MOU to form a 50:50 joint venture of their European operations.

    Tata Steel expects the venture to commece by March 2019. The move is expected to payoff for the company and share price in the coming quarters, with TSteel now shifting focus to the India growth opportunity. 

    DateStockTargetUpside
    (%)
    TypeCMPBrokerChange in
    past 6M
    2017-10-06MAS Financial Services Ltd IPO --%IPO Note-HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2017-10-06Kajaria Ceramics Limited 900.0021.29%Buy742.00Religare
    2017-10-06Indian Energy Exchange Ltd IPO --%IPO Subscribe-Choice India and 1 other
    2017-10-05Gujarat Gas Limited 712.0021.44%Sell906.30Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-05Shilpa Medicare Limited 805.0027.98%Buy629.00Motilal Oswal
    2017-10-05Birla Corporation Limited 1006.008.29%Buy929.00Axis Direct
    2017-10-05Godrej Agrovet Limited IPO --%IPO Subscribe-Prabhudas Lilladhar and 1 other
    2017-10-04United Spirits Limited 2060.0012.72%Sell2360.10HDFC Securities
    1x
    2017-10-04Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Lim.. 2400.000.93%NEUT.2377.85Motilal Oswal
    1x
    2017-10-03AU Small Finance Bank 530.00-13.53%NEUT.612.95HDFC Securities
    2017-10-03Hindalco Industries Limited 259.003.31%Buy250.70Emkay 1x
    2017-10-03Aurobindo Pharma Limited 730.00-1.89%Buy744.10Emkay 1x
    2x
    2017-10-03ITC Limited 323.0021.41%Buy266.05Bonanza 2x
    2x
    2017-10-03Akzo Nobel India Limited 2269.0022.32%Buy1855.00Bonanza
    2017-10-03Cadila Healthcare Limited 506.001.52%Buy498.40Geojit BNP Paribas 1x
    1x
    2017-10-03Viaan Industries Ltd 45.0034.93%Buy33.35Joindre Capital Services
    2017-10-03Divi's Laboratories Limited 1080.0025.11%Buy863.25Axis Direct 1x
    1x
    2017-10-03Persistent Systems Limited 664.002.87%Hold645.45Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-10-03Shoppers Stop Limited 550.007.17%Buy513.20Axis Direct
    2017-10-03Tata Steel Limited 765.0010.65%Buy691.40Axis Direct 2x
    2017-10-03Tech Mahindra Limited 447.00-1.83%Hold455.35Axis Direct 1x
    2x
    2017-10-03Whirlpool of India Limited 1190.00-12.49%Hold1359.90Axis Direct
    2017-10-03APL Apollo Tubes Limited 2195.0018.07%Buy1859.10Axis Direct
    2017-10-03Multi Commodity Exchange of .. 1195.0012.41%Buy1063.05Axis Direct
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    The Baseline
    29 Sep 2017
    High volumes and gains: GAIL India, Radico Khaitan, Gujarat Gas

    High volumes and gains: GAIL India, Radico Khaitan, Gujarat Gas

    As sentiment rebounded today, with the government saying that they would stick to fiscal deficit targets, some stocks took off on high volumes. Gail India is close to the top of the high volume high gain screener, nearing a five month high in share price on the back of analyst rating upgrades, and a proposal for a higher, unified tariff across pipelines that would directly contribute to the profit numbers for the company. 

    Other gainers in the list include Wadia group company Bombay Burmah Trading, brewery Radico Khaitan and energy firm Gujarat Gas. To see the full screener, click here. 

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    The Baseline
    26 Sep 2017
    Bounce-back stocks in a nervous market: Future Consumer, Avanti Feeds, Edelweiss Financial Services

    Bounce-back stocks in a nervous market: Future Consumer, Avanti Feeds, Edelweiss Financial Services

    As foreign investors sold substantially over the past few days, stock markets grew more volatile, falling from the peaks of last week. Some stocks have held on to recent gains, tending to bounce back from share price drops as investors quickly snap them up again. Such stocks include Avanti Feeds, Future Consumer, Indiabulls Real Estate and Edelweiss Financial Services. 

    These four stocks also have another factor in common, having seen triple digit increases in share price over the last one year. While these stocks all saw falls over the last week, they have been among the top gainers during a day the stock market has remained muted. For the full gainers screener, click here.

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    The Baseline
    24 Sep 2017
    Stock reports for the week: September 16 - 24

    Stock reports for the week: September 16 - 24

    Stock reports for the week of September 16 -24, from Axis Direct, HDFC Securities and more! Analyst pick of the week is Mold-Tek Packaging, which posted good Q1 results despite GST driven destocking, and whose growth plans have analysts excited. 

    DateStockTargetUpside
    (%)
    TypeCMPBrokerChange in
    past 6M
    2017-09-22Jubilant Life Sciences Limited --%Not Rated665.20HDFC Securities
    2017-09-22Hindustan Unilever Limited (.. 1363.009.96%Buy1239.55HDFC Securities 2x
    2017-09-22Dilip Buildcon Limited 690.0019.06%Buy579.55Choice India
    2017-09-22Prataap Snacks Limited IPO --%IPO Avoid-Choice India and 1 other
    2017-09-22Bharat Electronics Limited 214.0018.30%Buy180.90Prabhudas Lilladhar
    1x
    2017-09-21Sanghi Industries Limited 98.004.09%Buy94.15HDFC Securities
    2017-09-21Tata Steel Limited 818.0024.97%Buy654.55HDFC Securities and 1 other2x
    1x
    2017-09-21United Breweries Limited --%Sell809.00Motilal Oswal 1x
    2017-09-21Suprajit Engineering Limited 326.0017.80%Buy276.75Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-09-21Vedanta (Sesa Sterlite Limit.. 362.0017.49%Buy308.10Axis Direct 1x
    2017-09-21Voltas Limited 500.00-2.75%Hold514.15Axis Direct
    2017-09-20Reliance Industries Limited .. 750.00-8.26%NEUT.817.50Motilal Oswal
    2017-09-20Lupin Limited 1125.0011.00%Buy1013.55Motilal Oswal
    2x
    2017-09-20SBI Life Insurance Company L.. --%IPO Note-Way2Wealth and 1 other
    2017-09-20KNR Constructions Limited 250.0017.37%ACC.213.00Choice India and 1 other
    1x
    2017-09-20Whirlpool of India Limited 1560.0024.01%Buy1258.00Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-09-19Mahanagar Gas Limited 1360.0025.58%Buy1083.00CD Equisearch 1x
    2017-09-19Shankara Building Products Ltd 1575.0011.70%Buy1410.00Edelweiss
    2017-09-18Talwalkars Better Value Fitn.. 346.0023.97%Buy279.10Religare
    2017-09-18S Chand and Company Ltd (SC.. --%ACC.451.40Way2Wealth
    2017-09-18Idea Cellular Limited --%Buy78.20Nirmal Bang
    2017-09-18Divi's Laboratories Limited 720.00-25.70%NEUT.969.00Motilal Oswal
    1x
    2017-09-18CMI LTD. 251.0030.39%Buy192.50Choice India
    2017-09-18Man Infraconstruction Limited 79.0027.83%Buy61.80Choice India
    2017-09-18Mold-Tek Packaging Limited 315.0013.15%Hold278.40Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-09-18Astral Poly Technik Limited 791.007.47%Buy736.00Axis Direct 1x
    2017-09-18Sadbhav Engineering Limited 336.0016.55%Buy288.30Axis Direct 1x
    2017-09-18Time Technoplast Limited 304.0060.00%Buy190.00Ventura
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    The Baseline
    21 Sep 2017
    Latest movement in the Golden Cross, Death Cross screeners

    Latest movement in the Golden Cross, Death Cross screeners

    The Golden Cross and Death Cross screeners saw some interesting additions in the past few days. A couple of stocks saw a Golden Cross (where the short term price average moves above the long term average, indicating momentum), including cement company Gujarat Sidhee.

    On September 20, nine companies saw the Death Cross (which happens when the short term price average falls below the long-term), including Simplex Realty and Alembic Limited. Alembic however, saw its share price recover somewhat on high volumes today. 

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    The Baseline
    20 Sep 2017
    Maximum recovery from year lows: TV Today, Lakshmi Machine Works, Divi's Labs

    Maximum recovery from year lows: TV Today, Lakshmi Machine Works, Divi's Labs

    The maximum recovery screener identifies those stocks that have seen recent, rapid recovery from their year lows (Click on the last column, and you can also see maximum recoveries over the last year).

    Among these stocks is recent overperformer Divi's Labs.  The stock is rising after previous observations imposed by the FDA on unit 2 of its Vizag plant were "completed and resolved" by the Authority. This could potentially lead to a lifting of the import alert from its Vizag facility. The import alert had been imposed on the Divis Lab facility in March, and the FDA had issued another warning letter in May. This had limited Divi's exports to the US, and the FDA had also mandated random testing of all products imported from the plant. 

    Other stocks that have seen recent sharp recoveries include TV Today Network and Lakshmi Machine Works. Lakshmi Machine Works has been previously written about, as a key stock in superstar shareholder Nemish Shah's portfolio. For the full screener click here. 

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