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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    23 Oct 2019
    When Senior Executives go, they rarely say why

    When Senior Executives go, they rarely say why

    by Ritmbarah Arora

    One trend that tends to pick up towards the end of a quarter, are senior executive resignations. This happens typically when there are internal disagreements about company performance, or when senior management don't like how the numbers are looking, and decide to exit. And sometimes, it is just time for a change.

    Executives at high levels - Chief Executive Officer/Chairman, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer - usually resign citing 'personal reasons' rather than airing dirty laundry, and since these resignation letters must be disclosed in stock exchange filings, we can take a look at senior management who put in their papers in just the last month. (You can search for any terms inside filings using Discover).

    Company Name

    Executive Resigning

    Share Price Change Since Resignation
    Quick Heal Technologies  COO5.28%
    Chemcrux EnterprisesCFO5.1%
    Dollar IndustriesCFO-3.05%
    Expleo SolutionsChair & Director-0.31%
    Cox & KingsCFO-18%

    • Mr. Vijay Mhaskar, COO of Quick Heal Technologies: Headquartered in Pune, Maharashtra, Quick Heal Technologies Ltd is an IT security solutions company. The company develops security software for consumers, servers, cloud computing environments and small and medium enterprises and sells products directly to customers or through its partner channel. Quick Heal develops its own security suite, Quick Heal Total Security which uses the BitDefender scanning engine. Mr. Vijay Mhaskar, the Chief Operational Officer of the company, resigned from his position on account of personal reasons, effective from October 11, 2019. 
    • Mr. Premchand V. Tiwari, CFO of Chemcrux Enterprises: Based out of Ankleshwar, Gujarat, Chemcrux Enterprises is a manufacture of intermediates for bulk drugs, dyes and pigments. The esteemed clientele in India of the company include many multinationals, reputed pharmaceutical organization and regular exports to many countries. Mr. Premchand, the Chief Financial Officer of the company resigned from his position due to personal reasons effective October 12, 2019. The company has appointedMr. Sushilkumar B. Tripathi as the new CFO, effective from October 12, 2019.
    • Mr. Lalit Chand Sharma, CFO of Dollar Industries: Headquartered in Kolkata, West Bengal, Dollar Industries Ltd is into hosiery, apparel and textiles business. The company has 15% market share along with exports of their production across the globe which emerged as the highest selling Indian innerwear brand in the Middle East and Gulf countries. Mr. Lalit Chand Sharma, Chief Financial Officer of the company, resigned from his position on October 14, 2019 on account of personal reasons, effective from November 1, 2019.
    • Mr. Rene Gawron, Chairman & Director of Expleo Solutions: Based out of Chennai, Tamil Nadu, Expleo Solutions Ltd is a public incorporated company on June 8, 1998. The company is active in a variety of industries including banking & financial services, automotive & manufacturing, insurance, retail & logistics, telecommunications, energy & utilities and public services. Mr. Rene Gawron, Chairman & Director of Expleo Solutionsresigned from his position on October 15, 2019 due to personal reasons, effective immediately.
    • Mr. Anil Khandelwal, CFO of Cox & Kings: Headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, Cox & Kings is one of the longest established travel companies. The company has historically been an army agent, a travel agent, a printer and publisher which also worked as a news agent, cargo agent, ship-owner, banker, insurance agent and dealer of several travel-related activities. Its core activities now include the sale of packaged holidays. Mr. Anil Khandelwal, Chief Financial Officer of Cox & Kingsresigned from his position due to personal reasons, effective from October 14, 2019.
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    The Baseline
    23 Oct 2019
    Top Recommendations by Analysts this Week

    Top Recommendations by Analysts this Week

    Warren Buffett once said, “Forecasts may tell you a great deal about the forecaster; they tell you nothing about the future”. This is a rational message for investors in the stock market - many experts have burned their fingers on stock market predictions. An investor doesn’t need to be a genius to be good at stock picks, but there is a lot of hard work and due diligence involved. Though no one can predict the future, brokerages try to offer their expert opinion about the best stock in the market. Here are some of the top recommendations this week: 

    • Wipro Recommended by Geojit BNP Paribas, HDFC Securities and ICICI Direct: Bangalore, Karnataka headquartered Wipro Ltd is a multinational corporation that provides information technology, consulting and business process services. Because of good performance and consistent revenue generation, Wipro has been recommended by Geojit BNP Paribas, HDFC Securities and ICICI Direct. Geojit BNP Paribas recommends buying this stock as revenue for Q2FY20 rose to Rs 15,126 crore (4.0% YoY), beating the street estimates by 1.6% despite delay in renewal of major contracts.

    Operating profit margin expanded 350bps YoY to 17.7% resilient to decline in IT services margins to 18.1% (vs 18.4% in Q1FY20). Net profit for the quarter surged to Rs 2553 crore (35.8% YoY), driven mainly by lower tax-rate for the quarter of 18.3% (vs 22.1% in Q2FY19). 

    Geojit reiterates their HOLD rating on the stock with a revised target of Rs 266 based on 15.5x FY21E EPS. This stock buy recommendation was made when the price was at Rs 248.90. Since then the price of the stock has seen an incremental growth of 6.87%. Abidali Z Neemuchwala, CEO and MD of Wipro commented, "We had a good in-quarter execution on both revenues and margins. The overall growth was broad-based with 6 out of 7 industry verticals growing on a YoY basis and we signed a large deal in India aligned to our strategy of taking global offerings to India customers". 

    • Mastek Recommended by HDFC Securities: Headquartered at Mumbai, Maharashtra, Mastek Ltd is a global technology company offering enterprise level digital transformation services and software for large public and private enterprises in the UK, US and India. HDFC Securities recommends purchase of Mastek managed flat growth in CC terms despite challenging macro environment. 

    Though revenue was GBP 28.1 mn, in CC terms it was flat QoQ and de-grew 2.3% YoY. But  Mastek is recovering its US business and managing Brexit uncertainty. The company will benefit from the off-shoring opportunity arising with UK public sector. HDFC Securities expect GBP growth for FY20/21/22E at 0.1/9.6/11.0% and 5.4% EPS CAGR for FY19-22E. The recommendation was made at the price of Rs 342.70 and the target price is Rs 505. Since the time of recommendation, the stock has increased by 47.36%. 

    • Cyient Ltd. Recommended by Motilal Oswal: Hyderabad, Telangana headquartered Cyient Ltd is focused on engineering, manufacturing, data analytics and network & operations. The company is featured among the top 30 outsourcing companies in the world as of 2018 data. Motilal Oswal recommends the purchase of this stock as revenue grew by 4.9% QoQ vs estimate of 3.1% QoQ with an increased momentum in organic revenue growth. Though EBIT margin was 9.6%, growth was driven by the services verticals of Energy and Natural Resources (9.8% QoQ), Portfolio (+6.9% QoQ), Transportation (+3.3% QoQ) and Medical (8.6% QoQ). DLM revenue at USD23.8m was higher than the estimate of USD22m. The buy recommendation was made at the price of Rs 447.65 with a target price of Rs 600. Since the recommendation was made, the price of the stock has increased by 33.90%. 

    • ACC Ltd Recommended by IDBI Capital: Headquartered at Mumbai, Maharashtra, ACC Ltd is one of the largest producers of cement in India. The stock price of the company contributes in calculating BSE Sensex. This is the only company to get Superbrand status in India. IDBI Capital recommends buying this stock as the company reported good set of 3QCY19 results. EBITDA was 3.2% while PAT was lower by 7.4%. IDBI Capital recommended a buy Rs 1,535.10 with a target price of Rs 1,702. Since the time of recommendation, the stock price has seen an upside of 9.56%. IDBI Capital has revised its CY20 EBITDA estimates upwards by 6.6% based on which the target price has been revised at Rs 1,702 as against the earlier target of Rs 1,598. 

    • Hindustan Unilever Ltd by Axis Direct: Headquartered at Mumbai, Maharashtra, Hindustan Unilever Ltd is a British-Dutch manufacturing company. Its products include foods, beverages, cleaning agents, personal care products, water purifiers and consumer goods. Axis Direct recommends a buy as the company delivered a strong Q2FY20 despite challenging scenario. EBITDA grew 16% YoY to Rs 2,443 crore led by 290 bps expansion in margin while recurring PAT grew 20% YoY to Rs 1,848 crore to led by corporate tax rate cuts. Axis Direct recommended a buy at Rs 2,103.85 with a target price of Rs 2,175. Since the recommendation was made, the stock price has increased by 3.23%. 

    With the beginning of Q3, major ups and downs have been observed in the share market. A sample of 69 companies which declared results for September quarter reported a 12.5% YoY rise in aggregate net profit. With respect to the performance of the companies in the second quarter, Deepak Jasani, Research Head of HDFC Securities commented, “In Q2FY20, although corporates would have lower base of profits (in the year-ago quarter), lower operating leverage in Q2FY20 (due to slow demand) would mean that margins may not show a jump.”

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    The Baseline
    22 Oct 2019
    Results Screener: Stocks with results in past two days, showing profit growth

    Results Screener: Stocks with results in past two days, showing profit growth

    As results roll in, this Results Screener (subscription, but screenshot above) identifies stocks whose results appeared in the past two days, and delivered both YoY and QoQ net profit growth. Stocks in the list include Kotak Mahindra Bank (whose results arrived today), LIC Housing Finance, GlaxoSmithKline Pharma, and others. See all results screeners.

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    The Baseline
    21 Oct 2019
    Markets closed for elections, results will continue

    Markets closed for elections, results will continue

    Elections in Maharashtra mean that exchanges are closed today. Earnings announcements will continue, with Axis Bank, Ultratech Cement, Hindustan Zinc among others scheduled to release their quarterly results today. Keep an eye out on the results analyzer. 

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    The Baseline
    16 Oct 2019, 03:56PM
    What are Porinju, Kacholia, Mohnish Pabrai and others buying and selling?

    What are Porinju, Kacholia, Mohnish Pabrai and others buying and selling?

    by Ritmbarah Arora

    The main aim behind investing - the big dream - is to have multibaggers in your portfolio, but everyone is not always successful. Some investors however, have had better luck and timing than others, and are closely followed for the large sizes of their portfolios, and their stock picks. The Superstar feature on Trendlyne analyzes the portfolios of Superstar investors who have large portfolio holdings in the stock market.  Let’s take a quick look in the September quarter changes of the portfolio of the Superstars so far (see related screener), as filings have started coming in:

    • Rakesh Jhunjhunwala: Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is an Indian investor and trader who manages the asset firm Rare Enterprises. He has been described as India’s Warren Buffett whose stocks are closely watched by the media. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala publicly holds 32 stocks with a net worth of over Rs 19,486.7 crore, as per the latest corporate shareholdings. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala has so far cut his stake in Titan Company, Ion Exchange (India), Firstsource Solutions and Lupin. He has upped his stake in Agro Tech Foods with a holding value of Rs 95.2 crore. 

    • Ashish Kacholia: Fondly called the ‘Big Whale’ by media, Ashish Kacholia started with Prime Securities and later joined Edelweiss before incorporating his own broking firm, Lucky Securities in 1995. He also co-founded Hungama Digital with Rakesh Jhunjhunwala in 1999 and started to build his own portfolio from 2003. He is widely known for his absence from the media cycles, avoiding journalists. Ashish Kacholia publicly holds 19 stocks with a net worth of over Rs 533.1 crore, as per the latest corporate shareholdings filed. After the last quarter results, he has put in Rs 10 crores with 2.01% holding share in Apollo Pipes which is his new investment. He has also invested Rs 1.4 crores in Beta Drugs amounting to 2.08% of holding shares. He has cut stake in V2 Retail and Hikal Ltd. while exiting Birlasoft, NIIT and GTPL Hathway. He has upped his investments in Majesco and DFM Foods. 

    • Mohnish Pabrai: Born on June 12, 1964, Mohnish Pabrai is the founder and Managing Director of the Pabrai Investment Funds and founder and CEO of Dhandho Funds. He founded Pabrai Investment Funds in 1999. He publicly holds 6 stocks with a net worth of over Rs 1,587.9 crore, as per the latest corporate shareholdings filed. Mohnish Pabrai has upped his investment in Indian Energy Exchange with a holding value of Rs 102.3 crore. Rest of the portfolio remains unchanged, awaiting more filings.

    • Dolly Khanna: Chennai based large investor Dolly Khanna, is known for best lesser-known stock picks that tends to go on to overperform in the stock market. Her portfolio is managed by her husband Rajiv Khanna. Dolly Khanna has been investing in the stock market since 1996. She publicly holds 5 stocks with a net worth of over Rs 159.4 crore, as per the latest corporate shareholdings filed. She has so far, cut her portfolio stake in NOCIL and Rain Industries while exiting Muthoot Capital Services. 

    • Vijay Kishanlal Kedia: Based out of Mumbai, Vijay Kishanlal Kedia is involved in the stock market since he was 19. Vijay Kedia and his company Kedia Securities are the largest shareholder in several listed companies. He is well known for his value picks and his thought process. He publicly holds 11 stocks with a net worth of over Rs 278 crore, as per the latest corporate shareholdings filed. Vijay Kedia has cut his stake in Everest Industries and Vaibhav Global while exiting Apcotex Industries. He holds 6.23% shares in Repro India, 1.56% in Cheviot Company, 1.24% in Panasonic Energy India Company, 1.08% in Cera Sanitaryware and 1.01% in Kokuyo Camlin. 

    • Porinju Veliyath: Born on June 6, 1962, Porinju Veliyath manages his own portfolio and the portfolio of investors in his fund management Equity Intelligence India Private Limited. He is also known as small cap czar in the investor community as he focuses more on small-cap stocks. Porinju Veliyath publicly holds 11 stocks with a net worth of over Rs 22.6 crore, as per the latest corporate shareholdings filed. In the latest purchase, he has invested Rs 2.2 crores in Archies Ltd with a holding of 3.55%. He holds 2.36% of Shalimar Paints, 1.91% of Eastern Treads, 1.33% of Kerala Ayurveda and 1.04% of BCL Industries.  
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    The Baseline
    15 Oct 2019
    Live Results Screener: Companies with September results showing growth in margin, profits

    Live Results Screener: Companies with September results showing growth in margin, profits

    The Live Results Screener (subscription, but screenshot above) tracks companies that have delivered both net profit and operating profit margin growth, and declared results within the past two weeks. This screener updates in real-time, as results come in. Stocks that have qualified for this screener include casino company Delta Corp, Hindustan Unilever, andAvenue Supermarts (DMART).

    These three companies in particular, delivered upwards of 20% net profit YoY growth despite India's choppy economy, and Hindustan Unilever and DMART saw double digit profit margin growth, despite the inevitable discounting near festival season, and to drive volumes. 

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    The Baseline
    14 Oct 2019
    While Dolly Khanna cuts stake in NOCIL and Rain, Kacholia bullish on two stocks

    While Dolly Khanna cuts stake in NOCIL and Rain, Kacholia bullish on two stocks

    Superstar investors have made changes to their portfolios as the markets turned volatile, with investor Dolly Khanna cutting stake in NOCIL and Rain Industries, and exiting Muthoot Capital, whose share price took a beating this year. Investor Ashish Kacholia has upped his stake in DFM Foods, and put Rs 9.8 crore - over 2% - in Apollo Pipes. He cut his stake marginally in V2Retail. 

    Porinju Veliyath, who was in the news recently for a bulk purchase of shares in struggling Manpasand Beverages (which he later denied, attributing it to 'fat finger'), upped EQIndia's stake in Archies to 3.55%. 

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    The Baseline created a screener RSI test
    11 Oct 2019

    RSI test

    Positive breakout Third resistance ( LTP > R3)
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    The Baseline
    11 Oct 2019
    Result Analyzer: Signs of slowdown in earnings, operating margins

    Result Analyzer: Signs of slowdown in earnings, operating margins

    Some of the larger companies have started announcing their results for the September quarter, with 10+ firms announcing numbers in the past two days. The Result Analyzer, which tracks these results in one place, shows where the companies are hurting in their quarter numbers. From TCS to breweries to paper firms, earnings before interest, depreciation and taxes are down, as operating margins take a hit. 8/10 companies are seeing operating margin declines in the September quarter of the results declared so far. 

    IndusInd Bank was one of the few exceptions to the rule, but investors nonetheless were unhappy, due to the sharp fall in loan growth for the bank to a multi-year low. Share prices consequently fell despite the bank recording a 50% jump in profit YoY for the quarter. For the full result analyzer click here.  

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    The Baseline created a screener Stocks and Indices Trading …
    11 Oct 2019

    Stocks and Indices Trading Below Day's High

    Screener for stocks trading below day's high
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