Indoco Remedies Ltd. share price target

overall increase in exports by 40% YoY in Q2FY20 as UK sales gradually ramping up post re-instating GMP compliance by UK MHRA. The plant related manufacturing issues (mainly delay in re-approval of Goa Unit-2 by UK MHRA) are guided to have resolution in near to medium term. Exports in nonregulated markets increased by 36% with the benefits of lower base YoY. While management achieved US FDA resolutions in Goa Unit-2 and 3, as well as...

Domestic formulations (~57% of FY18 revenues) have grown at 9% CAGR in FY13-18. The subdued growth can be attributed to high concentration of acute therapies that account for ~80% of overall formulations. With a market share of ~0.7% and overall rank of 31, the company is still a marginal player with some top brands in smaller categories like stomatologicals. However, with a positive outcome of restructuring exercise and improvement in MR productivity, we expect FY20E Indian formulations to deliver ~9% growth in FY18-20E to | 706 crore....

Net sales, adj. EBITDA and PAT all miss estimates by big margin. India Change in Estimates | Target | Reco normalized base (as it grew only 8% YoY in Q3FY18). The sales in regulated...

Q2FY19 numbers were substantially lower than I-direct estimates on all fronts. Revenues de-grew 17.3% YoY to | 235.6 crore (I-direct estimate: | 262.9 crore). Domestic formulations declined 15.5% to | 159 crore (I-direct estimate: | 169.4 crore) led by the high base of restocking post GST implementation. Export business declined 28.9% to | 52.8 crore (I-direct estimate: | 70.2 crore) EBITDA margins were at 5% against 14.5% in Q2FY18 (I-direct estimate of 14.5%) due to negative operational leverage. EBITDA...

Revenues grew 4.1% YoY to | 217.5 crore (I-direct estimate: | 277.1 crore). The 50.1% YoY growth in domestic formulations to | 149.7 crore (I-direct estimate: | 159.5 crore), led by lower base of GST impact in Q1FY18, was largely offset by 51.8% YoY decline in export formulations to | 41.4 crore (I-direct estimate: | 88.3 crore) EBITDA margins rose 470 bps YoY to 5.3% but lower than I-direct estimate of 15.8% mainly due to poor export formulations revenues Net loss fell 44.7% YoY to | 12.0 crore (I-direct net profit estimate:...

ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Revenues declined 2.6% YoY to | 270 crore (I-direct estimate: | 275 crore). Export formulations declined 17% YoY to | 88 crore (I-direct estimate: | 101 crore) while domestic formulations grew 16.1% to | 151 crore (I-direct estimate: | 154 crore) EBITDA margins increased 718 bps YoY to 18.9% (I-direct estimate of 14.0%) due to lower operational expenditure across line items. EBITDA rose 56.8% YoY to | 51 crore (I-direct estimate: | 39 crore)...

ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Revenues remained flat YoY at | 278 crore (I-direct estimate: | 296 crore). Miss vis--vis I-direct estimates was due to lower-thanexpected growth in domestic formulations, which grew 8% to | 156 crore (I-direct estimate: | 180 crore). Export formulations declined 8% to | 100 crore (I-direct estimate: | 94 crore) EBITDA margins improved 133 bps YoY to 15.5% (I-direct estimate of 14.8%) mainly on account of higher gross margins (67.5% in Q3FY18 vs. 64.7% in Q3FY17). EBITDA increased 9% YoY to | 43...

For 2QFY2018 Indoco Remedies sales came in at `280cr, in line with expectations, posting a yoy growth of 1.3%. The growth was impacted by lower exports, mainly on the back of US (` post a 69.5% yoy dip in sales). Indian Formulation sales posted 11.5% yoy growth. On operating front, the EBITDA margins came in at 12.9% (11.8% expected)...

ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Revenues remained flat YoY at | 285 crore (I-direct estimate: | 291 crore). Export formulations declined 20% YoY to | 74 crore (I-direct estimate: | 94 crore) while domestic formulations grew 12% to | 188 crore (I-direct estimate: | 177 crore) EBITDA margins declined 56 bps YoY to 14.4% (I-direct estimate of 14.2%) mainly on account of lower gross margins (64.8% in Q2FY18 vs. 65.5% in Q2FY17). EBITDA declined 2.4% YoY to | 41 crore (Idirect estimate: | 41 crore)...

For 1QFY2018 Indoco Remedies posted poor set of numbers. Sales came in at `204cr (`214cr expected) v/s. `253cr in 1QFY2017, a yoy de-growth of 19.1%. The company witnessed a disruptive 1QFY2018, with domestic as well International sales getting affected adversely due to GST implementation in India and voluntary stoppage of ophthalmic prod..