23.75 0.45 (1.93%)
45,604 Volume
NSEJan 21, 2021 01:03 PM
The 8 reports from 2 analysts offering long term price targets for Music Broadcast Ltd. have an average target of 22.50. The consensus estimate represents a downside of -5.26% from the last price of 23.75.
Summary | Date | Stock | Broker | Price at Reco. | Target | Price at reco Change since reco(%) | Upside(%) | Type | Report | Discuss |
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2020-10-24 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | ICICI Securities Limited | 21.35 | 25.00 | 21.35 (11.24%) | Target met | Buy | |||
2020-10-24 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | Prabhudas Lilladhar | 22.90 | 20.00 | 22.90 (3.71%) | -15.79 | Hold | Q2FY21 Result Update - Volumes recover sequentially; yields hold key - HOLD
Prabhudas Lilladhar
Board has approved a bonus issue of non-convertible non-cumulative redeemable preference shares (NCRPS) of Rs100 each in the ratio of 1 NCRPS for every 10 equity shares held by non-promoter shareholders. MBL's operational performance (EBITDA loss of Rs30mn) was better than our estimates led by a revenue beat of 20%. Ad-volumes are increasing on a sequential basis with utilization levels in smaller markets almost back to preCOVID levels of ~50-55%. However, metros/tier-1 markets are still lagging...
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2020-07-24 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | ICICI Securities Limited | 16.00 | 15.00 | 16.00 (48.44%) | Target met | Hold | Music Broadcast
ICICI Securities Limited
The radio segment, already under pressure due to macroeconomic slowdown, was hit hard by the Covid-19 led lockdown. Ad spend by corporates/government has almost dried up. While MBL's liquidity position is healthy and ad volume picked up compared to April, we believe a recovery in ad revenue is still one to two quarters away. Hence, we maintain HOLD...
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2020-07-23 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | Prabhudas Lilladhar | 15.40 | 18.00 | 15.40 (54.22%) | Target met | Hold | Q1FY21 Result Update - Cost cutting initiatives yielding results - HOLD
Prabhudas Lilladhar
As cost cutting initiatives started bearing fruits, MBL's operational performance (EBITDA loss of Rs153mn) was better than our estimates. Total operating cost stood at Rs296mn for the quarter (down 37.5% YoY) translating into monthly run-rate of ~Rs100mn (in-line with the cost optimization guidance of ~Rs100-110mn given in 4QFY20). Further, with 50% of the cost savings having materialized from reduction in fixed cost which is...
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2020-05-26 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | ICICI Securities Limited | 12.95 | 15.00 | 12.95 (83.40%) | Target met | Hold | Music Broadcast
ICICI Securities Limited
The company indicated that MIB has still not approved the Big FM acquisition and the long stop date has expired, implying that the deal is off the table. They also indicated that post Covid-19, the valuations metrics have...
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2020-05-26 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | Prabhudas Lilladhar | 13.00 | 17.00 | 13.00 (82.69%) | Target met | Hold | Q4FY20 Result Update - Exceptional loss mars EBITDA - HOLD
Prabhudas Lilladhar
Operating cost optimized to Rs100-110mn per month during lockdown. Prelockdown monthly run-rate was Rs160-170mn. We cut our EBITDA estimates by 79%/29% for FY21/FY22 respectively as 1) we expect inventory utilization for 28 legacy/11 batch 1 stations to be at 36%/30% in FY21 and 55%/40% in FY22 respectively since COVID-19 is expected to have an adverse impact on the overall demand environment...
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2020-05-04 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | ICICI Securities Limited | 13.60 | 18.00 | 13.60 (74.63%) | Target met | Buy | Music Broadcast
ICICI Securities Limited
We interacted with Music Broadcast (MBL) to gauge the ramifications of Covid-19. MBL witnessed a steep fall in revenues amid the lockdown as ad volumes have dried up both from corporates and government barring few state governments' social message-based ads amid Covid-19 outbreak. We note that MBL already had a distressing year with 9MFY20 revenues and EBITDA decline of 17.8% YoY and 23.1% YoY, respectively, impacted by a steep decline in government as well as other major categories. On the positive side, a third party survey, however, has indicated that daily...
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2020-03-12 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | ICICI Securities Limited | 19.85 | 23.00 | 19.85 (19.65%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Hold | Music Broadcast
ICICI Securities Limited
Steep decline in government category leads to revenues drop The company has alluded to weak economic growth for its revenue decline and the same was seen across media segments. Ad volumes were down 20% while realisation were up 3% in 9MFY20. The higher realisations, in our view, are merely owing to a steeper decline in the government category, which are lower yielding. The company indicated that given fiscal stretch, central government category remained muted while non-government ad category has not shown a major improvement in festivities apart from auto...
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2019-11-11 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | ICICI Securities Limited | 30.00 | 32.00 | 30.00 (-20.83%) | Target met | Hold | Music Broadcast
ICICI Securities Limited
Music Broadcast (MBL) reported a weak set of numbers impacted by a steep decline in government & event segment. Revenues came in | 62.5 crore (decline of 22.5% YoY), much below our estimate of 10% decline as government and radio led events witnessed a steep decline of ~55% while non-government segment declined 6%. EBITDA came in at | 18.5 crore, down 30% YoY, with margin of 29.6%, down 350 bps, due to lower revenues. PBT at | 12.2 crore, witnessed a steep decline of 45% YoY. However, it reported profit of | 18.5 crore vs. our expectation of | 11.2 crore,...
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2019-11-11 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | Prabhudas Lilladhar | 30.00 | 39.00 | 30.00 (-20.83%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Buy | Q2FY20 Result Update
Prabhudas Lilladhar
We cut our PAT estimates by 37.4%/23.4% for FY20E/21E as 1) national advertisers continue to remain apprehensive due to weak macro-economic environment 2) government, the largest category, is witnessing unprecedented cut/delay in ad spends with no signs of revival at least in the near term and 3) there was no visible uptick in ad volumes in the festive season that just culminated. In the top 15 markets, all categories except for auto and finance have reported a de-growth in ad volumes during 1HFY20. Despite such challenging environment RADIOCIT IN maintained its share of...
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2019-07-30 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | ICICI Securities Limited | 46.15 | 53.00 | 46.15 (-48.54%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Hold | Music Broadcast
ICICI Securities Limited
Revenues came in at | 69.8 crore (decline of 7.8% YoY), lower than our expectation of 1% YoY growth at | 76.5 crore. The underperformance was on account of the company's emphasis on yield improvement (they reported 4% yield improvement). Subsequently, the company let go a few low cost opportunities, which resulted in ~12% volume decline for the quarter. EBITDA for the quarter came in at | 22.4 crore (vs. our expectation of | 25.3 crore) on account of negative operating leverage while margins came in at 32.1%, lower than our expectation of 33%. PAT came in at | 8.4 crore (vs....
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2019-07-29 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | Motilal Oswal | 47.25 | 65.00 | 47.25 (-49.74%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Buy | Weak ad market drags revenue - a first in many quarters
Motilal Oswal
Lower revenue weighs down EBITDA and PAT: Revenue decline of 8% YoY to INR698m (15% below est.) was a first in many quarters. Delayed national campaigns, decreasing low-yield local ads, and muted government/political advertisements led the revenue decline. Yield rose 4% in the top-12 markets. EBITDA declined 21% YoY to INR205m (22% miss) on pre Ind-AS 116 basis (EBITDA was INR18m on reported basis, down 14% YoY). EBITDA margins were down 500bp to 29.4%, (260bp miss), as opex remained flat QoQ. Subsequently, PAT declined 36% YoY to INR87m on pre Ind-AS 116...
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2019-05-29 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | HDFC Securities | 59.00 | 78.00 | 59.00 (-59.75%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Buy | Music Broadcast (4QFY19): 1 + 1 > 2 Maintain BUY
HDFC Securities
We like MBL owing to its superior execution, capital allocation, return ratios and cash flows. Acquisition of Big FM has the potential to add feather in the cap. Music Broadcast (MBLs) 4QFY19 was in-line. Key highlight is MBLs audacious acquisition of Reliance Broadcast Network (RBNLs) for Rs 10.5bn viz. 12.3x FY19E EBITDA. The multiple is in-line with MBLs current valuation; fair in our view. MBLs current EV is Rs 14bn (Mcap Rs 16.2bn). It would tantamount to acquisition of RBNLs brand Big FMs 40 radio stations vs. 39 of MBL. We foresee the acquisition to be positive from both strategic and financial perspective. It could potentially boost MBLs EPS by -4/+25/+46% in FY21/22/23E. We arent building the upside from acquisition. BUY with a TP of Rs 78 (25x FY21E FCFE).
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2019-05-28 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | Motilal Oswal | 58.50 | 70.00 | 58.50 (-59.40%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Buy | Leading industry consolidation as growth moderates
Motilal Oswal
EBITDA growth and partly offset by higher taxes. For FY19, revenue/EBITDA/PAT grew 9%/17%/19% YoY. Concall highlights: (1) Opportunity from the MBL-RBNL deal is not in crossselling' to advertisers, but in increasing utilization for RBNL acquisition (currently at 50-60%). (2) Cost synergies to be in the range of 2-3% of revenue. (3) Dividend policy will not change due to the acquisition. Moderation in revenue yet strong growth: Given the moderation in revenue growth seen in the last two years, we have reduced our revenue estimates by 2-3%. Yet, the inherent operating leverage should ensure steady PAT CAGR of...
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2019-02-20 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | ICICI Securities Limited | 54.55 | 68.00 | 54.55 (-56.46%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Buy | Music Broadcast
ICICI Securities Limited
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Music Broadcast Ltd board in its meeting on 31st Dec 2018 approved subdivision of equity shares. The Board approved the sub-division of equity shares of face value of | 10 each into five equity shares of face value | 2 each fully paid. The record date for the same is February 21, 2019 while the ex-date for the same is today i.e. February 20, 2019. Consequently, Music Broadcast's share price, as per yesterday's closing price, has adjusted to | 55.6/ share from | 278/share. Currently, the stock is trading at | 59/share. Our target price has also been revised to...
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2019-01-29 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | HDFC Securities | 287.50 | 402.00 | 287.50 (-91.74%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Buy | Music Broadcast (3QFY19): Healthy growth, sustainability key. Maintain BUY
HDFC Securities
Reiterate BUY with a revised TP of Rs 402 (25x Dec-20E FCFE/sh). Music Broadcast Ltds (MBL) 3QFY19 revenue /EBITDA/PAT grew by 14/22.6/38% YoY on a low base, in-line with our estimates. The growth recovery was driven by 11% rate hike in the legacy markets, festive advertising and contribution from the Govt, E-Com & Auto sectors. Revenue growth guidance of 12-14% remains intact on the back of recovering economy and political spends.
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2019-01-29 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | ICICI Securities Limited | 287.50 | 340.00 | 287.50 (-91.74%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Buy | Music Broadcast
ICICI Securities Limited
EBITDA came in at | 28.6 crore (margin of 32.9%, slightly higher than estimates of 32%), up 22.6% YoY, better than our estimate of | 27.6 crore, owing to healthy revenue growth and lower-than-expected employee expenses. EBITDA margins for new stations were at 8%, while that of 28 stations were at 38% The company reported a profit of | 16.4 crore, above our estimate of | 15.4 crore, owing to a healthy performance at the EBITDA level Election related tailwinds to boost FY20E ad growth...
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2019-01-29 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | Prabhudas Lilladhar | 287.50 | 405.00 | 287.50 (-91.74%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Buy | Q3FY19 Result Update - Best ever quarter of revenue performance
Prabhudas Lilladhar
Music Broadcast Ltd (MBL) reported healthy performance with revenues increasing 14.2% YoY to Rs870mn (PLe of Rs853 mn) due to rising inventory utilization in batch 1 stations (45% in 1QFY19, 50% in 2QFY19 and 53% in 3QFY19) and price hike of 11% taken in top 12 markets during the quarter. EBITDA margin expanded 230 bps YoY to 32.9% due to incremental...
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2018-10-30 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | Angel Broking | 330.00 | 475.00 | 330.00 (-92.80%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Buy | Result Updates
Angel Broking
For 2QFY2019, Music Broadcast (MBL) posted muted results both on top-line and bottom-line fronts. Revenues grew by ~5% yoy to `80cr on the back of equal contribution of volume and price hike. The companys operating margins improved by robust 120bps yoy. On the bottom-line front, MBL reported lower growth of ~5% yoy to`13cr on the back of..
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2018-10-26 | Music Broadcast Ltd. + | HDFC Securities | 326.20 | 387.00 | 326.20 (-92.72%) | Pre-Bonus/ Split | Buy | Music Broadcast (2QFY19): In-line but muted. Maintain BUY
HDFC Securities
Reiterate BUY with TP of Rs 387 (25x Sep-20E FCFE/sh). Music Broadcast Limited (MBL) 2QFY19 results were in-line but weak. Revenue/EBITDA/PAT grew by 5.7/9.7/5.1% YoY. PAT lagged EBITDA owing to higher tax expense (39% of PBT). Hope pinned on sharp revival in 2HFY19 led by festive season and elections. Mgmt reiterates its 12-14% YoY revenue growth guidance (1HFY19 7%).
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