Prince Pipes & Fittings Ltd. share price target

PRINCPIP's Q1 result came broadly in line with our estimate; gained market share even after tightening credit period in Q1

MM: Growth trajectory captured in the valuations. EIM: Powering growth momentum with new launches. VGRD: Early summer sparks a robust quarter. AMBER: Ongoing challenges; maintain SELL. PRINCPIP: Mixed Q4FY24; positive demand outlook

PRINCPIP: Faucetware acquisition to accelerate bathware growth engine

PRINCPIP acquired the faucetware brand Aquel and the manufacturing facility from Klaus Waren Fixtures for Rs 600mn

AL: Margins continue to improve, maintain BUY. GRLM: Soft quarter on tepid demand environment. ORCMNT: Topline muted as volumes decline. PRINCPIP: Lacklustre quarter on sustained market share loss

Q3 PAT came in 36% below our estimate on continued market share bleed and margin pressure

Prince Pipes and Fittings (PRINCPIP) reported Q2FY24 pipe volume growth of 8.0% YoY (4-year CAGR of 4.7%) whereas revenue grew 3.1% YoY as realisation declined 4.5% YoY. Pipe EBITDA/kg grew 86% QoQ to INR 22.7/kg (vs INR -3/kg YoY) on a low base, driven by improved product mix, resulting in EBITDA/APAT growth of 108%/191% QoQ, respectively.

We visited the largest plant of Prince Pipes and Fittings (PRINCPIP) situated in Haridwar (Uttarkhand) on Sep 13-14, ‘23, and interacted with its management and its biggest pipe dealer of Haridwar. The Haridwar plant caters to markets primarily in North and East India.

Prince Pipes’s Q1FY24 numbers failed to impress with Revenue declining by 8.3% YoY at ? 554 Cr (as against ? 604 Cr Q1FY23), although, the Volumes increased by 19% YoY at 37,155 MT as compared to 31,250 MT in Q1FY23. The EBITDA was flat, improving by 200bps YoY at ? 45 crore versus ? 44 crore in Q1FY23, with enhanced margins by 80bps YoY to 8.1%.

Prince Pipes and Fittings (PRINCPIP) reported Q1FY24 pipe volume growth of 18.9% YoY (4-year CAGR of 2.3%), while revenue fell 8.4% YoY due to realisation decline of 22.9% YoY. EBITDA/kg declined 13.1% YoY to INR 12.2/kg (-63.6% QoQ) due to adverse product mix (higher agri pipe sales that have lower margins), lower fitting-to-pipe ratio due to ERP issues and inventory loss of ~INR 100mn (adj. EBITDA/kg of ~INR 15/kg).