Tata Communications Ltd. share price target

We now remove the land value of | 263/share from our target price and value the residual company (TCL) at an SOTP target price of | 260/share. We value GDS business at 5x FY21 EV/EBITDA while the voice business is...

Data business reported a robust performance during the quarter on the back of a strong performance in traditional as well as growth services. Traditional services, past the operator consolidation impact and aided by efficient churn management led profitability with margins of 36.2%. On growth services, the order book for the quarter grew 17% YoY, which provides revenue visibility for the segment. The overall order book remained stable at US$1.4 billion. However, on account of continued investment in innovation services, EBITDA margins are expected to be capped in the near term. We build in 70...

Traditional impresses but other segments subdued: Performance was steady in the first quarter of the year, with consol. EBITDA growth of 10% QoQ to INR7.6b (20% beat) on a pre-Ind-AS 116 basis (at INR8.3b on postInd-AS 116 basis). Traditional segment (part of Data) impressed, with sequential EBITDA growth of 15% and margin improvement of 490bp (36.2% v/s management guidance of ~30%). As a result, Data EBITDA grew 19% QoQ to INR6.7b. However, the quarter was also characterized by the dismal performances of the small but promising segments of Growth (EBITDA down 50% QoQ), Innovation (loss of INR1.4b) and Transformation (-24% QoQ)....

Re-spells guidance; Destination 21 seems uphill task The company spelt out its guidance on the data business indicating that it expects the traditional business to witness 2% YoY growth in FY20E, as the impact of operator consolidation seemed to have normalised. On the transformation and growth services, expected growth is ~18-20% for FY20E. On the margins front, the company expects traditional and growth business to clock 29-30% and 5-7%, respectively. Transformation services is expected to witness profitability uptick as execution picks up, with...

for 3Q/4Q one-offs of INR2.1b/INR0.2b, data EBITDA inched up marginally by 1% QoQ. This was due to benefits of Growth Services that turned EBITDA positive, being largely offset by (a) higher investments in the innovation segment, and (b) ~70% QoQ decline in Transformation/Payment business EBITDA. Headline consol. revenue/EBITDA stood flat/-19% QoQ at INR42.4b/INR6.9b, while adj. consol. revenue/EBITDA grew 1%/4% QoQ (2%/3% miss). Adj. for (INR1.7b) impairment losses from associates, net loss stood at INR271m (v/s INR231m profit in 3QFY19; est. of INR737m). For...

Revenues came in at | 4269.5 crore vs. our estimate of | 4117 crore. Reported revenues included one-time revenue of | 91 crore, owing to new regulation on the access facilitation charges for cable landing stations. Data revenues (including one-time revenues) reported growth of 14.1% YoY to | 3325.9 crore (vs. our expectation of 10% YoY growth), with adjusted revenue growth a tad higher at ~11%. Continued weakness in voice revenues resulted in a decline of 23.3% YoY (in line with our estimate of 23.1%)...

Headline consolidated revenue/EBITDA grew 5%/34% QoQ to INR42.7b/INR8.4b, led by strong growth in the data business, partly offset by voice. Adjusting for one-offs, key growth levers data revenue/EBITDA grew 5%/4%. Yet, weak voice 31 January 2019 business offset consolidated revenue/EBITDA growth of 3%/flat QoQ to INR41.8b/INR6.3b. (1) Traditional services FY20 EBITDA margin to be in the range of 29-30%, (2) Growth services deal pipeline grew 85% to USD619m, indicating robust growth going forward and turning EBITDA positive in 4QFY19, (3) TTSLs Enterprise business deal could fructify in 2-4 quarters, post conclusion of the Bharti-TTSL transaction. EBITDA/data EBITDA CAGR over FY19- 21 on healthy order pipeline in Growth & Innovation (G&I;) services, which is partly offset by higher investments in the G&I; services segment and margin pressure in the traditional segment. We rollover estimates to FY21E, deriving a target price (SOTP-basis) of INR630 (prior INR670) ascribing 6x/3x on FY21E Data/Voice EBITDA and INR176 to the land bank (likely to be hived off in the ensuing quarters).

ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Revenues for the quarter came in at | 4068.2 crore vs. our estimate of | 4010.1 crore. We note that from now onwards, the company has re-aligned rental revenues (previously shown in other income) as part of data segment revenues. Therefore, our estimates are not comparable. Data revenues reported growth of 9.1% YoY to | 3069.1 crore. Data revenue growth more or less compensates for continued weak voice revenues, which declined 30.4% YoY...

3 November 2018 After being restricted by two quarters of subdued performance in Data segment, consol. for rental income) growth came in at a healthy 8% QoQ (at INR6.0b 5% beat), supported by both Data and Voice businesses; EBITDA margin, too, expanded 65bp QoQ to 14.8%. revenue grew 3% QoQ (-4% YoY) to INR40.7b (2% beat), primarily led by strong growth in Data revenue. PAT came in at INR16m items, PAT was at INR1m. Revenue fell 6% YoY, while EBITDA grew 6% YoY. EBITDA margin expanded 170bp YoY to 15.2%. For 2HFY19, we expect revenue/EBITDA growth of 3%/11% YoY. Adjusted for rental income, Data revenue/EBITDA grew by 5% QoQ to INR30.4b/INR5.

Revenues for the quarter came in at | 3912.3 crore vs. our estimate of | 4047.1 crore. The miss was mainly due to lower voice revenues, which came in at | 1026.8 crore (down 33% YoY) vs. our estimate of | 1113.2 crore, with volumes of 8.7 billion minutes (down 19.4% YoY) and realisation of | 1.18 (16.9% YoY decline). Data revenues came in at | 2885.5 crore (up 3.9% YoY) EBITDA came in at | 555.4 crore, with margins of 14.2% vs. our estimate of | 550.4 crore (13.6% margin). Both voice and data margins...