Suzlon Energy Ltd. share price target

We initiate coverage on Suzlon Energy (SUEL) with a BUY rating and a target price of INR70/share, implying 21% upside. SUEL is a global leader in wind energy with an installed capacity of ~20.9GW across 17 countries.

Great business but not at a great price

The Indian power grid needs more wind in its mix. The need to enhance wind capacity addition (post subdued activity in the recent past) has finally dawned upon the stakeholders. Grids are looking for a solution to meet demand effectively while containing carbon emissions.

We recently interacted with the management of Suzlon Energy (SUEL) to gauge the business prospects.

Suzlon Energy Ltd Q2FY18 results comment Revenue fell by 71.58% to Rs. 637.81 Cr in Q2FY18 when compared to the previous quarter. Also, it decreased by 67.12% when compared with Q2FY17.

Revenue fell by 46.62% to Rs. 2665.26 Cr in Q1FY18 when compared to the previous quarter Revenue fell by 46.62% to Rs. 2665.26 Cr in Q1FY18 when compared to the previous quarter

Company Update

Revenue increased by 50.56% to Rs. 4992.59 Cr in Q4FY17 when compared to the previous quarter.

Suzlons (SUEL) 4QFY17 result was a beat on all counts, with volume at 554MW ( 25% YoY) and realisations at Rs 82.2 mn/MW. EBITDA margins also improved ( 70bps YoY to 14.1%), leading to an APAT of Rs 2.7bn (ahead of our estimate of Rs 2.3bn). SUEL ended FY17 with volumes of 1,573 MW ( 39% YoY).

We initiate coverage on Suzlon Energy Ltd as a BUY with a price objective of Rs 42.8 which represents a potential upside of 115% from the CMP of Rs 19.9

Suzlon Energy Ltd. (SEL) is the largest renewable company in India as well as the largest wind equipment manufacturer. It is market leader in India with global footprints across Asia, Australia, Europe, Africa, North and South America. The company has a capacity to manufacture 3.6GW WTG. SEL operates through three segments namely; sale of WTG (Wind Turbine Generators), foundry & forging and operations and maintenance services. SEL' services range from feasibility studies to manufacturing of wind turbine components and installation and commissioning of wind farms as well as long term operations and maintenance. The company has 15 manufacturing facilities spread...

Revenue increased by 30.91% to Rs. 2548.0 Cr in Q3FY17 when compared to the previous quarter. Also, it increased by 92.47% when compared with Q3FY16.

EBITDA margin expanded by 800 bps y/y to 21.6% due to higher capacity utilization The raw material cost and other expenditure yoy increased by 80 % and 24% respectively. Staff expenditure stood at `2,555 mn( +26.6% y/y; -1.3% q/q) Depreciation was at `1094mn (+15.5% q/q; +12.2% y/y). Interest expense stood at `3391 mn (+18.6% y/y; +13.7% q/q) .This increase was mainly due to higher working capital requirement during the quarter. Consolidated net term debt (excluding FCCB)...

Suzlon Energys (SUEL?s) 3QFY17 result was a beat on all counts with volumes of 462MW ( 80% YoY) and EBITDA margins of 22.5% ( 490bps YoY) - leading to a higher-than-expected APAT of Rs 3.0bn. Improvement in EBITDA margins was led by operating leverage benefit and a favourable revenue mix (lower EPC).

Depreciation stood at `947.6mn (+13.3% q/q+23.7% y/y).Interest expense stood at `2981 mn (+7.7% y/y;-2% q/q). This decrease -q/q was mainly due to repayment of debt during the quarter. Consolidated net term debt (excluding FCCB) stood at `66460 mn; a reduction of `2300 mn q/q. Working capital debt stood at `31,930 mn Tax expense stood at `9.8 mn (-75.3% q/q). Consequently, PAT stood at `2423 mn. Total outstanding order book positition-1136 MW valued at `7,165 Cr Senvion was fully divested by Suzlon group on 29th April 2015.Hence, 2Q FY 16...

Suzlons 2QFY17 result was a beat on all counts with volumes of 353MW ( 56% YoY) and EBITDA margins of 21.3% ( 460bps YoY) - leading to an APAT of Rs 2.0bn (higher than expected). EBITDA margin improvement was led by (a) contribution from larger turbines, (b) benefit of low RM cost and (c) favorable mix (lower EPC).

EBITDA margin decreased by 620 bps q/q to 7.4% % due to lower capacity utilization The raw material cost and other expenditure q/q decreased by 56% and 29.7%...