Astral Ltd. share price target

Astral Poly Technik Ltd. (ASTRAL) reported sales of INR 607cr grew by 27.2% YoY (4.4% above our estimates).

Margins impacted due to RM volatility. Story remains intact. Maintain BUY Astral Poly Technik (ASTRA) Q1FY20 numbers were in line with estimates on revenue and profitability parameters. Piping segment (including Rex) reported volume growth of 41.2% YoY and revenue growth of 37% YoY. Adhesive segment reported flattish growth due to few structural changes in Resinova, which will be corrected in current quarter and management has guided for double digit growth for FY20. Margins got impacted due to inventory losses of approx. ` 70-80 mn. We believe that inventory losses...

Astral Poly Technik (ASTRA) reported marginally better consolidated revenue growth than expected at 27% YoY in Q1FY20.

We believe that ASTRA is in the investment phase and will reap long-term benefits of this strategy in the next five years. We believe that revenue growth and margin profile should rise. The company's growth trajectory remains high and return ratios are also expanding, therefore valuation...

One off events impact profitability. Story remains intact. Maintain BUY. Astral Poly Technik (ASTRA) Q4FY19 results were lower than our estimates on profitability parameters. The profitability was impacted, due to one-off events, such as inventory loss (in both divisions pipe and adhesive) and the Rex acquisition. We believe that inventory losses will be reversed to a large extent, as PVC prices have trended upward in 1QFY20. As the Rex acquisition cost is already reflected in the balance sheet, profitability should improve from the current level. The piping volume grew 23% YoY...

Astral Poly Technik's (Astral) Q4FY19 result was largely in-line to our forecast. Revenue grew by 19% YoY to Rs7.7bn. While EBITDA remained flattish on a YoY basis at Rs1.2bn owing to higher other expenses, Adj. PAT declined 13% YoY to Rs611mn. Plastic segment (Inclusive of Rex) witnessed volume growth of 23% YoY to 38,877mt whereas EBITDA just grew by 9.7% YoY to Rs977mn owing to higher expenses. Further, Adhesive business revenue increased by 19% YoY to Rs1.8bn while EBITDA declined by 22% YoY to Rs250mn due to higher branding expenses. We largerly keep our estimates unchanged and introduce FY21 financials and expect its revenue/EBITDA/PAT to see a...

Astral Poly Technik Ltd. (ASTRAL) reported sales of INR 775cr grew by 21.3% YoY over Q4FY18 (3% below our estimates).

Astral Poly Technik (Astral) is the domestic market leader in the niche CPVC pipes & fittings market.

Astral's consolidated revenue growth of ~24% YoY in Q3FY19 was led by consolidation of Rex Polyextrusion (Rex) in the topline. Piping and adhesive segment recorded revenue growth of ~14% and ~15%, respectively. Piping segment volume growth at ~4% YoY was impacted by liquidity issue and systemic corrections (like channel financing and installation of billing software). On the adhesive segment, Resinova (domestic business) recorded slow revenue growth of 7% YoY on account of a high base...

Astral is engaged in the business of manufacturing and marketing of PVC and CPVC plumbing systems for residential as well as industrial applications. It has also ventured into adhesives category in 2014 by acquiring Resinova and Seal It (UK and USA). Astral is expanding capacities in both pipes & fittings and adhesives which will help the company in capturing incremental demand and also aid in reducing logistics cost. Implementation of GST will provide an edge to organised players (market share of 60%/70% in pipes/adhesives) like Astral due to its strong distribution network and widespread geographical presence leading to market share gains....