VST saw 17% volume decline in FY21 on the back of supply problems due to lockdown in Q1FY21 and subsequent demand destruction due to reduced out of home activity. We were expecting volumes to recover significantly in FY22E but with the second wave of Covid-19, we believe recovery would be prolonged. We expect 6%, 3% volume growth in FY22E, FY23E, respectively. We believe taxation on cigarettes would be stable for the next few years given the industry is facing stiff challenges. The company is looking to increase contribution from its high price cigarettes, which would...