10162.0000 224.00 (2.25%)
NSE Dec 12, 2025 15:31 PM
Volume: 444.0K
 

10162.00
2.25%
HDFC Securities
Regulatory tailwinds like Institutional participation, Indices and tie-up with Retail bank subsidiaries can boost trading volumes further and increase depth in the long run. Globally Institutional clients account for ~50% of the total derivatives volumes. We continue to remain constructive on the long-term growth opportunities and the concern related to increase in competition is behind us. There has been no impact of the whistle-blower letter and the physical delivery mechanism remains robust. We estimate revenue/PAT CAGR of 19/22% over FY19-22E. We see value in MCX based on (1) Embedded non-linearity, (2) ADTV growth, (3) Market leadership and (4) Net cash of Rs 14bn (~28% of Mcap). Risks include regulatory delays, increase in competition and drop in Bullion volumes and commodity volatility. We maintain BUY on MCX based on in-line revenue and margin beat in 2QFY20. Market share (94%) is increasing despite rise in competition. Embedded non-linearity and cost control is leading to margin expansion. We assign 30x to core Sep 21 PAT and add net cash (20% discount) to arrive at SoTP of Rs 1,175 (16% upside).
Multi Commodity Exchange has gained 34.46% in the last 6 Months
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