Divi's Laboratories Ltd.

NSE: DIVISLAB | BSE: 532488 | ISIN: INE361B01024 | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
| Expensive Star
5960.5000 -187.50 (-3.05%)
NSE May 08, 2025 15:31 PM
Volume: 364.9K
 

5960.50
-3.05%
HDFC Securities
We had downgraded Divi's after it reported one of its strongest quarters in a decade in 2QFY19, as we had realized that the performance was driven by shortages in certain molecules (like Valsartan) and currency erosion of ~10% during that quarter. For the last 2 quarters, our thesis of margin contraction is playing out and we have further cut our FY20/21E estimates by 8-9% as we are yet to see the impact of ongoing capex. We believe it would be a challenging task for Divi's to cross 36-37% margin in FY20/21E. Still, with our generous estimates of 11/10/11% revenue/EBITDA/PAT CAGR over FY20-21E, Divi's is trading at 32.3/27.7x FY20/21E EPS, a ~50% premium to peer-avg and ~40% above its historical avg, much of which corresponds to periods of 40% plus return ratios. Even so, valuations have rarely crossed 25x one-year forward P/E. With return ratios falling below 20%, current valuations look unsustainable. We maintain SELL on DIVI, following a second consecutive quarter of dismal performance. With sustained erosion in profitability, we have cut our FY20/21E EPS estimates by 8-9%. At 22x FY21E EPS, our revised TP is at Rs 1,320.
Number of FII/FPI investors increased from 826 to 922 in Mar 2025 qtr.
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