Motilal Oswal
Shilpa Medicare (SLPA) recently decided to end its joint venture (JV) with ICE S.P.A Italy (ICE) - a move that would help it garner proceeds of INR1.3b, as against its investment of INR800m toward the JV. Furthermore, the amount of annual business with ICE via CRAMS may be reduced by ~INR500m. The decision was premised on the increasing uncertainty over the profitability of the JV. Accordingly, for FY19/FY20, we reduce our (i) sales estimate by 5% to INR10b/INR12b and (ii) earnings estimate by 8.5% to INR2.1b/INR2.7b. Consequently, our price target is lowered to INR686 (25x 12M forward earnings). We, however, remain positive on SLPA and re-iterate our Buy rating, given the promising outlook for the US formulations business (31 ANDAs pending for approval)and minimal medium-term regulatory risk.
Shilpa Medicare Ltd. is trading at high volume of 518.3K with price gain of 5.95.
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