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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    11 Jun 2021
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Firstsource Solutions: After a steady rise and gaining over 36% in just the past month, this software services company has hit a lifetime high in share price. Its RSI and MFI are both in the 80+ range, suggesting that the stock now is strongly overbought. 

    2. Godrej Agrovet: This agribusiness company saw its promoter Godrej Industries purchase 25,058 shares of the company in a market purchase at an average price of Rs. 559.9. The stock's momentum is currently mid-range, and its PE compared to its historical PE is in the neutral zone.

    3. Federal Bank: This Kerala-headquartered bank has multiple analysts bullish on its prospects, receiving six target price upgrades in the last month alone. Analysts at ICICI Securities noted that while the bank has "relatively less" buffer in case of asset quality issues, "valuations for the stock are benign, which factor in near term concerns".

    4. Redington India: This supply chain and distribution company has had a good month on the stock market, beating the Nifty50 by over 40% in share price over the past month. Investors have turned bullish on the stock following the company's strong Q4FY21 performance, which saw a recovery in its India vertical, which jumped 45% YoY.

    5. TV18 Broadcast: After muted interest in the stock throughout 2020, MFs have started noticing this broadcasting company in 2021. Mutual funds have bought shares in April and May this year. The company hit a new 52-week high in the past few days, and has outperformed the Nifty50 index by around 9% over the past year. 

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    The Baseline
    10 Jun 2021
    Chart of the Week: In a stressful FY21, SBI sees NPAs fall, Bandhan Bank's soar

    Chart of the Week: In a stressful FY21, SBI sees NPAs fall, Bandhan Bank's soar

    FY21 was a stressful year for lenders. Yet some private and public banks improved their asset quality by lowering net non-performing assets (NPAs). 

    Among Nifty Bank companies, State Bank of India's (SBI) saw NPAs drop the most to 1.5% of advances in FY21 (from 2.2% in FY20), a 13-year low for India's largest public sector bank. Axis Bank, the fourth largest private bank, lowered net NPAs to 1.1% in FY21 (from 1.6% in FY20). However, Bandhan Bank and Au Small Finance Bank's net NPAs rose by 290 and 137 basis points respectively, as SME and agricultural loans remained under stress.

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    The Baseline
    09 Jun 2021, 12:31AM
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Birlasoft: This smallcap IT services company’s stock has been on a rising trend for the past week, rising by over 21% in the period and ending at its 52-week high of Rs 376.75 rupees. On Tuesday, the stock rose nearly 10% on news that it inked a deal with a company called Regulativ.ai to co-develop cyber security assessment tools for banking, financial services and insurance customers. With the share price on an upward trend since the beginning of the calendar year, the company's PE is currently in the sell zone. 

    2. Bharat Forge: This forging company posted strong Q4FY21 earnings including a profit at the consolidated level for the first time in five quarters. Analysts at HDFC Securities and ICICIDirect are upbeat about the prospects of this company’s defence and class-8 trucks business. Growth in the latter segment however hinges on a spurt in infrastructure spending in the US and the success of US President Biden's infrastructure bill. 

    3. Greaves Cotton: This engineering company’s stock traded with the highest volumes on Tuesday compared to the past week. This stock saw the highest change in volumes on Tuesday among the Nifty 500 companies at four times its weekly average as 1.02 crore shares exchanged hands.

    4. Federal Bank: This private bank’s stock saw seven brokerages increase their target price over the past three weeks after the bank posted its best ever quarterly net profit. The stock has an average target price of Rs 94.20, which is an upside of 9.25% over its current market price.

    5. PNB Housing: This mortgage lender’s stock price doubled after it announced that it will raise Rs 4,000 crore by selling shares to a group of investors, including an affiliate of private equity firm Carlyle. Carlyle’s stake buy triggered an open offer which will lead to its promoter Punjab National Bank’s (PNB) stake falling below 26%. But the shareholders’ meeting on June 22 to approve the deal might not be smooth sailing as minority investors and a proxy advisory firm have flagged valuation concerns and the fall in PNB's stake.

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    The Baseline
    04 Jun 2021
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Aarti Drugs: This pharmaceutical company’s promoters recently sold shares via insider trades following a recent buyback. This week, promoters sold over 7,300 shares for Rs 52.3 lakh through two open market sales. These disposals were at a 27% discount to the company’s recent share buyback. In April 2021, the company’s promoters repurchased 6 lakh equity shares for Rs 60 crore via a buyback. Last week, 4.4 lakh shares of the buyback were disposed for Rs 44.2 crore.

    2. PVR: This cinema operator’s stock is up by 21% in one month despite several states imposing lockdowns and halting cinema operations for the past two months. Its Q4, earnings didn’t provide much hope either. In the March 2021 quarter, when cinemas operated with higher capacities than previous quarters of FY21, revenues fell by 18% QoQ and net losses rose five-fold.

    3. Shoppers Stop: Brokerages are optimistic about this apparel retailer even as the country battles the second Covid-19 wave. ICICI Direct, in a note, upgraded its rating on the company to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold’ and Motilal Oswal maintained its ‘Neutral’ rating. Despite a 17% rally in one month, the average broker target price is at an upside of 11%.

    4. ITC: This FMCG and cigarette maker reported strong Q4FY21 results, but this hasn’t helped its price. The FMCG revenues (of which 75% is staples, convenience foods, and health and hygiene products) grew by 16% YoY ahead of peers like Britannia Industries and Nestle India. Cigarette revenues were up by 7% YoY, ahead of the 5% growth estimated by brokerages. Its stock is down by 3% in the week and trades below its 50-day and 100-day simple moving average (SMA) but above the 200-day SMA.

    5. Mahindra CIE Automotive: The CEO of this auto-components maker’s forgings division penned his resignation to the company’s board. His stint at the company lasted less than 20 months. The markets have shrugged off this resignation, as the stock is up by 33% since April reaching a new 52-week high this week.

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    The Baseline
    03 Jun 2021
    Chart of the week - Rising two-wheeler exports

    Chart of the week - Rising two-wheeler exports

    With India facing a second Covid-19 wave from April 2021, two-wheeler makers turned to exports. In April and May, as several state governments imposed lockdowns, domestic two-wheeler wholesales slumped. But exports as a percentage of total sales in April and May jumped for Hero MotoCorp, TVS Motor Company, Bajaj Auto, and Eicher Motors' Royal Enfield.

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    The Baseline
    02 Jun 2021
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Cummins: This industrial machinery maker’s stock is down by 14% in two months. During this fall, its domestic institutional investor SBI Mutual Fund, reduced its stake. The mutual fund house sold 62,000 shares via a market sale last week. This is the first time the fund sold shares since it acquired a 5% stake in the company in October 2019.

    2. TCI Express: This logistics company’s stock is up by 54% in two weeks prompting an insider to take profits. Over the weekend, the company’s Vice President, Pabitra Mohan Panda, sold over 2,000 shares worth Rs 28 lakhs. Since the year began, the company’s top management has sold over 21,000 shares for Rs 2.1 crore across 11 market sales.

    3. PNB Housing Finance: This mortgage lender’s stock jumped this week by over 40% due to marquee foreign and domestic institutional investors buying a stake. The company’s board approved a fundraise of up to Rs 4,000 crore from private equity firm Carlyle Group and the former CEO of HDFC Bank, Aditya Puri. Post the fundraise, the new investors will become promoters of the company, holding a 32% stake.

    4. Eicher Motors: This two-wheeler and commercial vehicle maker reported a 33% growth YoY in revenues to Rs 2,930 crore and a 73% rise in net profits to Rs 526 crore. This top and bottom line growth has changed broker’s minds. Axis Direct upgraded its rating on the stock to ‘Hold’ from ‘Sell’ citing the strong growth in net profits despite rising input costs. Motilal Oswal maintained a ‘Buy’ rating and ICICI Securities a ‘Hold’ rating on the company’s stock.

    5. Tanla Platforms: This cloud communications company’s stock is down by 7% in one week, slumping to a two-month low. The falling price was accompanied by a delivery volume of over 80% of the total traded volume. Amid this fall, the company’s Managing Director Uday Kumar Reddy acquired 4.3 lakh shares for Rs 39 crore via a market purchase, increasing his holding to 21.4%.

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    The Baseline
    28 May 2021
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. IndusInd Bank: This private bank saw its promoter, the Hinduja Group, pledged more than one-third (36.4%) of its 16.6% holding to lenders at the end of March 2021. This is also the highest proportion of shares pledged by a promoter among the Nifty 500 companies. In the last quarter the promoters pledged shares stood at zero.

    2. Alkyl Amines Chemicals: This specialty chemicals maker gained the most (8%+) in trade on Thursday among the Nifty 500 companies, and also saw its traded volumes rise the highest today. Its traded volumes were 2.7 times the weekly average volumes on Thursday. The company has reported a near doubling of its Q4 net profit at Rs 92.5 crore on a 65% rise in revenues. In a year that saw specialty chemicals take centre stage, the company’s revenues rose 25% over FY20 to Rs 1,242.4 crore while its profits rose 37% to Rs 295.3 crore.

    3. Kalpataru Power Transmission: This power utility’s promoter group firm Kalpataru Properties sold 1.94% stake in the company through a bulk deal on Wednesday for Rs 122.8 crore. In another bulk deal on the same day, SBI Mutual Fund bought 1.90% stake in the power utility for Rs Rs 120.2 crore.

    4. BSE: Asia’s oldest exchange’s stock is now among the most strongly overbought stocks among the Nifty 500 companies according to technical indicators like RSI and MFI. BSE’s stock touched a 52-week high on Thursday.

    5. Bharat Petroleum Corporation: This public sector oil marketing company declared a record final dividend of Rs 58 per share for FY21, which includes a one-time special dividend of Rs 35 per share. This amounts to a Rs 12,581 crore dividend. This dividend payout comes ahead of the company’s privatisation by the Centre which has been pending for nearly two years. The Centre is expected to pocket Rs 6,665.76 crore from this final dividend payout.

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    The Baseline
    26 May 2021
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Motherson Sumi Systems: This auto component manufacturer is getting some love from the market, gaining more than 14% in the last month ahead of results and trading close to its 52 week high. The stock is technically bullish, with a strong momentum score and a fresh buy call from Edelweiss, whose analysts suggest upcoming gains from recent cost control initiatives, and strong recovery expected in global light vehicle demand led by markets in North America and Europe.

    2. Lux Industries: This apparel company (well-known for its ads featuring Varun Dhawan wandering around town in his underwear), has hit a lifetime high today on strong March quarter results. Revenue and net profit jumped 106.8% and 202.8% YoY respectively, with strong growth in mid-premium segments and a rise in the export and premium markets. 

    3. Allied Digital Services: This smallcap software infrastructure company has been rising sharply ahead of its results due on 31st May, and hit a new high today. The company's dramatic rise over the past year has made it a multibagger, as it gained over 475%. 

    4. Symphony Limited: This air cooler company has brokerage analysts enthusiastic on its prospects. but its technicals have been midrange relative to the market. The company's performance in the March quarter was strong - at the consolidated level, it witnessed its highest ever quarterly sales and highest ever profit after tax. Recent lockdowns however in summer, starting end of April, has impacted sales numbers although the management says that the June 2021 quarter "will not be a washout like June 2020". 

    5. Supreme Petrochem: This midsize petrochem company has caught fire in recent weeks, beating the Nifty50 by over 12% in the past month after its impressive net profit growth in the March quarter and fresh capex plans of Rs. 250 crore caught investor attention. CFO Rakesh Nayyar recently noted that the rise in demand from appliance OEM segments globally has aided the company's strong margin growth. 

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    The Baseline created a screener Potential investment companies - …
    24 May 2021

    Potential investment companies - Nifty200

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    The Baseline created a screener Potential investment companies
    24 May 2021

    Potential investment companies

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