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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    13 Feb 2017
    Infosys calls for press conference to address concerns

    Infosys calls for press conference to address concerns

    Infosys has called for a press conference today to address issues raised by co-founders on oorporate governance and high executive pay at the company. While the company is expected to show investor letters of support, CEO Sikka will have to address the issues raised by Narayana Murthy, including thequestions of high severance payouts and the appointment of Jayant Sinha's wife as a director.

    Deceleration from demonetization: India’s monthly oil demand in January fell the most since May 2003 as the government’s demonetization of high value Rs. 500 and Rs. 1000 notes continue to drag on the economy.

    Fuel consumption fell 4.5% to 15.5 million tonnes in January from 16.2 million tonnes a year ago, the oil ministry’s Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell said. Indian companies have been expecting that the fourth quarter will mark a recovery for the economy from demonetization, but Jan numbers suggest that caution is still recommended.

    Stock in spotlight: Midcap company L&T Finance Holdings has hit a new 52 week high today. The firm saw better than expected profitability and return ratios in its Q3 results. 

    Photo of the day: Eye on the ball, or ball on the eye? A football fan at the match between Burnley and Chelsea. Jason Cairnduff/Reuters

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    The Baseline
    10 Feb 2017
    Founder versus CEOs: fighting it out in the media

    Founder versus CEOs: fighting it out in the media

    The comments by Infosys founder and ex-Chairman Narayana Murthy have pushed Infosys into the headlines for all the wrong reasons. A exemplar for decades for its corporate governance norms, the company has now come under fire for high severance payouts to departing employees, and the appointment of the wife of Union Minister Jayant Sinha to the board. 

    Last year, the Infosys board gave Sikka $11 million in compensation, higher than the previous $7.08 million. NRN has long been critical of very high executive pay - under him, the software company had a rule governing CEO compensation. The top executive salary would not exceed 25 times that of an entry-level employee. CEO Vishal Sikka's pay in his first year however, was 300 times that of former Infosys CEO S D Shibulal's. 

    Orient Green, which was recently in the news after signing an exclusivity deal with IL&FS while exploring a potential merger, announced its Q3 results today, showing a 46% growth in revenues for the quarter compared to the same period last year. The company's interest payments however continue to be a drag on profits, although the firm has narrowed its losses from Rs. 109.5 crore in last year's quarter to Rs. 68 crore this Q3. The company's wind business vertical however, turned profitable. 

    Stock in spotlight: Bharat Forge Ltd, which has hit a new 52 week high today. 

    Photo of the day: A bull throws its rider during the annual jallikattu event in Madurai Arun Sankar/AFP/Getty

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    The Baseline
    09 Feb 2017
    Who will head India's new largest telecom company?

    Who will head India's new largest telecom company?

    As the Idea-Vodafone merger becomes increasingly likely, talk has turned to who will head India's new largest telecom company. The name doing the rounds is Kumar Mangalam Birla, for Chairman of the merged entity. While talks are in the early stages, Kumar Mangalam Birla is seen to have the influence and the experience to lead the company at a time of upheaval in the sector, with the entry of Reliance's Jio. 

    Hinduja Global Solutions has announced robust Q3 results. Revenue for the quarter grew by 8.3% y-o-y while EBITDA was up by 40.6% and Net Profits by 136.4%. The company saw significant volume growth from its top ten clients as well as gains from Open Enrollment in the healthcare sector.

    The company has over 65% of its revenues coming in from the US, with nearly half from the healthcare sector, which is a potential risk going forward, since the new US administration has targeted affordable healthcare and Medicare for reforms. Significant cuts in public spending here is likely to impact the company's revenues. 

    Stock in spotlight: Ajanta Pharma, which has received a procedural note from the US FDA after the inspection of its Paithan manufacturing facility. 

    Photo of the day: Schoolchildren play at the water's edge during sunset. Lakruwan Wanniarachchi/AFP/Getty Images

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    The Baseline
    08 Feb 2017
    Corporate governance concerns at Infosys

    Corporate governance concerns at Infosys

    Three Infosys founders - Murthy, Kris Gopalakrishnan and Nilekani - have raised concerns with the Infosys board on corporate governance, including the pay hikes for CEO Vishal Sikka, the high severance packages for former senior employees and the appointment of the wife of Union Minister Jayant Sinha as independent director. While Infosys has publicly defended these decisions, the Infosys founders still have substantial influence on company direction, with their ownership amounting to 12.75% of the firm.

    As H1B norms tighten in the US, other countries like UAE and Japan are taking the opportunity to announce visa regimes to attract talent. The UAE council has announced an opening up of visa and visit regulations and additional sops for startups and entrepreneurs looking to expand into the region, while Japan has identified IT as an investment priority, and is introducing a new law to reduce the waiting time for skilled Indians to only 24-48 months, before obtaining a “green card” with permanent residency status.

    Stock in spotlight: Tata Steel, which announced a profit for the first time in five quarters. While realizations have improved for the company, some of the upside in performance has been helped by advance purchases made by dealers ahead of a price hike in January, as well as some purchases to get rid of demonetized currency.

    Photo of the day: Elaborate campaigning gear takes the form of helmets and magnets at Uttar Pradesh election rallies. Rajat Gupta/EPA

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    The Baseline
    07 Feb 2017
    Stock markets upbeat, await rate cut from RBI

    Stock markets upbeat, await rate cut from RBI

    Ever since the Union Budget, stock markets have turned optimistic, with the Q3 results season also indicating that demonetization wasn't as bad as expected for sectors such as auto, lending and consumer goods. Also driving the gains are the expectations that the RBI will announce a repo rate cut tomorrow of 25 basis points. Even if Governor Patel decides to hold off the rate cut however, investors are unlikely to panic - with companies posting healthy results and the Budget giving a big boost on infrastructure, many are turning bullish on the economy.

    Blackberry has announced a significant change to its strategy in Asia, with the company licensing the production of secure BlackBerry Android handsets to a third party. For India, Sri Lanka, Nepal and Bangladesh, the company has signed a long-term, exclusive licensing agreement with Optiemus Infracom Ltd, which will design, manufacture, sell and provide customer support for the handsets. Optiemus stock is strongly bullish today on the news. 

    Stock in spotlight: Tata Motors has recorded its best ever January sales performance for Jaguar Land Rover, with sales up 4% globally compared to the previous year. Growth has been sharpest in North American markets, where sales are up 29%.

    Photo of the day: At the Ghaziapur flower mandi, in Delhi. Pallavi Juneja/Curious Jalebi

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    The Baseline
    06 Feb 2017
    The next big auto-partnership

    The next big auto-partnership

    In a boost to R&D for Maruti Suzuki, Toyota and Suzuki are set to announce a partnership that will give the companies a bigger platform for R&D, eco-friendly car manufacturing, and fuel efficiencies. Maruti in India has been working on developing a low-cost, hybrid car, and the partnership is likely to boost its goal to be the first to launch a mass-market hybrid. 

    Adani Power confirmed that it along with other companies may be in talks with JSPL to buy the Jindal Steel and Power's 2,400 mw electricity plant, although no agreement has been reached. JSPL, after eight quarters of losses, is being pressured by banks and lenders to cut its debt through selling some assets. The company is valuing the plant on the block at approximately Rs. 10,000 crore, or $1.5 billion. 

    Stock in spotlight: Ashok Leyland, which posted healthy Q3 results (but at 7.7% growth YoY, below analyst estimates) has won a Rs. 70.3 crore order of 135 buses in the West Africa market. 

    Photo of the day: A passenger feeds seagulls on a ferry in Turkey. Bulent Kilic/AFP/Getty Images

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    The Baseline
    05 Feb 2017
    Stock Research Reports for the week: Jan 30 - Feb 4

    Stock Research Reports for the week: Jan 30 - Feb 4

    Over 70 stock research reports have landed this week, from ICICI Securities, Axis Direct and others.

    Stock pick for the week is Tech Mahindra (while Nirmal Bang issued a SELL report, other analysts are bullish), which has beat industry averages in its recent results, with the help of enterprise segment revenue. The company expanded its profits by 11.4% YoY, with Q3 profits jumping to Rs. 856 crore. Keep in mind however that the company benefited this quarter from other income in net foreign exchange gains, which was Rs. 90.4 crore in Q3 this year

    DateStockTargetUpside
    (%)
    TypeCMPBrokerChange in
    past 6M
    2017-02-03CCL Products (India) Limited 363.0016.59%Buy311.35Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-02-03Swaraj Engines Limited 1679.0017.13%Buy1433.45Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-02-03Ashok Leyland Limited 114.0020.63%Buy94.50Chola Wealth Direct and 1 other2x
    1x
    2017-02-03Geojit BNP Paribas Financial.. 41.004.73%NEUT.39.15Chola Wealth Direct
    2017-02-03Housing Development Finance .. 1555.0011.39%Buy1395.95Chola Wealth Direct and 1 other
    2017-02-03Sun TV Network Limited 730.006.75%Buy683.85ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-02-03Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited 165.009.74%Hold150.35ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-02-03Oil & Natural Gas Corporatio.. 215.006.99%Hold200.95ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-02-03Firstsource Solutions Limited 46.0017.35%Buy39.20ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-02-03Taj GVK Hotels & Resorts Lim.. 150.0013.64%Buy132.00ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-02-03Grindwell Norton Limited 390.0020.74%Buy323.00ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-02-03Shoppers Stop Limited 350.0019.07%Buy293.95ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-02-03Tata Global Beverages Limited 147.003.81%Hold141.60ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-02-03Indian Oil Corporation Limited 420.008.43%Hold387.35ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-02-03Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Lim.. 1155.0021.93%Buy947.30ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-02-03Century Plyboards (India) Li.. 250.0015.77%Buy215.95ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-02-03Marico Limited 303.0018.43%Buy255.85ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-02-02Larsen & Toubro(L&T) Limited 1357.00-8.28%Hold1479.45Axis Direct and 1 other1x
    2017-02-02ITC Limited 280.002.77%Buy272.45Axis Direct and 1 other1x
    1x
    2017-02-02Coromandel International Lim.. 370.009.40%Buy338.20Axis Direct and 1 other
    2017-02-02Colgate Palmolive (India) Li.. 840.00-7.18%Hold904.95Axis Direct and 1 other1x
    1x
    2017-02-02Cholamandalam Investment and.. 1075.003.10%Hold1042.70Axis Direct and 1 other1x
    2017-02-02Arvind Limited 426.0012.73%Buy377.90Axis Direct and 1 other
    2017-02-02Bharti Airtel Limited 275.0022.24%Sell353.65Axis Direct 1x
    2017-02-02Biocon Limited 1000.00-5.45%Hold1057.60Axis Direct and 1 other
    2017-02-02Exide Industries Limited 209.000.07%Hold208.85Axis Direct and 1 other1x
    2017-02-02Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited 810.005.88%Hold765.00Axis Direct 1x
    2017-02-02Maruti Suzuki India Limited 6735.0010.08%Buy6118.00Axis Direct and 1 other3x
    2017-02-02Supreme Industries Limited 1062.009.60%Buy969.00Axis Direct and 1 other1x
    2017-02-02Syngene International Limited 515.00-4.33%Hold538.30Axis Direct 1x
    1x
    2017-02-02UPL Limited 740.000.04%Hold739.70Axis Direct
    2017-02-02Wipro Limited --%Sell456.70Axis Direct and 1 other1x
    2017-02-02Subros Limited 202.008.25%Hold186.60Karvy 1x
    2017-02-02Kajaria Ceramics Limited 668.0014.69%Hold582.45Karvy 1x
    2017-02-02Cummins India Limited 1034.0016.18%Buy890.00Karvy
    2017-02-02Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited 415.0016.82%Buy355.25ICICI Securities Limited and 1 other1x
    1x
    2017-02-02WABCO India Limited 6350.0015.25%Buy5510.00ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-02-02Bajaj Finserv Limited 3620.005.32%Buy3437.05ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    1x
    2017-02-02Bajaj Auto Limited 3000.006.84%Hold2807.95ICICI Securities Limited and 1 other1x
    1x
    2017-02-02Wonderla Holidays Limited 460.0021.71%Buy377.95ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-02-01Shriram Transport Finance Co.. 1150.0019.60%Buy961.50Prabhudas Lilladhar and 1 other1x
    2x
    2017-02-01ICICI Bank Limited 310.0010.16%Buy281.40Prabhudas Lilladhar and 1 other1x
    2x
    2017-02-01Thyrocare Technologies Limited 1067.0045.96%Buy731.00Prabhudas Lilladhar
    2017-02-01KEC International Limited 177.0017.06%Buy151.20Nirmal Bang Institutional and 1 other
    2017-02-01Shriram City Union Finance L.. 1990.004.25%NEUT.1908.85Chola Wealth Direct
    2017-02-01Dabur India Limited 324.0020.31%Buy269.30ICICI Securities Limited and 1 other1x
    2017-02-01JSW Steel Limited 200.004.71%Hold191.00ICICI Securities Limited and 1 other
    2017-02-01Info Edge (India) Limited 900.007.29%Hold838.85ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-02-01TTK Prestige Limited 4880.0015.60%Sell5782.10ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-01-31Godrej Consumer Products Lim.. --%Hold1583.00Way2Wealth
    2017-01-31Shree Cements Limited 17000.006.12%ACC.16019.85Prabhudas Lilladhar and 1 other2x
    1x
    2017-01-31Oil India Limited 227.00-34.29%ACC.345.45Prabhudas Lilladhar and 1 other1x
    2017-01-31Navneet Education Limited 138.003.76%Buy133.00Prabhudas Lilladhar 1x
    2017-01-31Bharat Financial Inclusion L.. 1070.0028.21%Buy834.55Nirmal Bang Institutional and 1 other
    2017-01-31INOX Leisure Limited 320.0041.91%Buy225.50Nirmal Bang Institutional and 1 other1x
    2017-01-31Tech Mahindra Limited 383.0020.29%Sell480.50Nirmal Bang Institutional and 1 other3x
    2017-01-31Cadila Healthcare Limited 422.0015.73%Buy364.65Reliance Securities
    2017-01-31Bajaj Finance Limited 1020.00-2.56%NEUT.1046.75Chola Wealth Direct 1x
    2017-01-31Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited 1844.005.31%Hold1751.00ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-01-31Bharat Electronics Limited 1651.006.99%Hold1543.20ICICI Securities Limited and 1 other1x
    2x
    2017-01-31Dish TV India Limited 90.003.21%Hold87.20ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-01-31Oberoi Realty Limited 333.00-0.36%Hold334.20ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-01-31Hindustan Media Ventures Lim.. 289.004.56%Hold276.40Karvy
    2017-01-31Astra Microwave Products Lim.. 129.0011.54%Hold115.65Karvy 1x
    2017-01-31FIBERWEB (INDIA) LTD. 275.0034.28%Buy204.80BOB Capital Markets Ltd.
    2017-01-30Idea Cellular Limited --%-109.20Motilal Oswal 2x
    2017-01-30Sagar Cements Limited 750.000.23%Buy748.30Reliance Securities
    2017-01-30Trident Limited 80.0016.45%Buy68.70Dynamic Levels
    2017-01-30UltraTech Cement Limited 3500.00-6.35%Hold3737.50Axis Direct 1x
    2017-01-30Adani Power Limited --%Buy36.50Axis Direct
    2017-01-30Amara Raja Batteries Limited 918.000.90%Hold909.80Axis Direct 2x
    1x
    2017-01-30Karur Vysya Bank Limited 88.00-0.45%NEUT.88.40Chola Wealth Direct 1x
    2017-01-30MPS Limited 736.006.83%Hold688.95Karvy 1x
    2017-01-30Somany Ceramics Limited 655.008.91%Hold601.40ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-01-30Alembic Pharmaceuticals Limi.. 615.0010.81%Hold555.00ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-01-30Sterlite Technologies Limited 140.006.54%Buy131.40ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-01-30IRB Infrastructure Developer.. 260.0011.13%Hold233.95ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-01-30Indoco Remedies Limited 315.0015.81%Buy272.00ICICI Securities Limited
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    The Baseline
    03 Feb 2017
    Indian IT leaders meeting Trump to lobby against H1B changes

    Indian IT leaders meeting Trump to lobby against H1B changes

    Nasscom and Indian IT services leaders are set to meet US President Donald Trump to lobby against the proposed changes to the H1B visa program. A bill introduced in the Congress, which Trump is said to support, plans to clamp down on the program by doubling the salary paid to H-1B visa holders. US workers in the tech industry have complained that H1B allows US companies to outsource work to H1B visa holders at much lower costs. Indian IT leaders and Nasscom however, had said that H1B is addressing a labour shortage in he US in this sector. 

    The special CBI court has dropped all charges against the Maran brothers in the 2G case, givingSun TV a boost in the stock markets today, with the stock trading up as much as 20% as of this writing. Sun TV has long been surpassing industry averages, in P/E and return on assets, but the legal issues had held the stock price down.  However the fate of the merger deal between Reliance Communications and Aircel still depends on the Supreme Court order due today, with that case being separately dealt from the Maran brothers case.

    Stock in spotlight: Dr. Lal Pathlabs, which fell sharply yesterday after its Q3 results announcement showed a decline in net profit compared to last year's quarter. A closer look however shows that the decline is due to an ESOP reversal in last year's Q3 which inflated previous year numbers, and reported profits before taxes and sales growth look strong.

    Photo of the day: A man and his camel take part in a camel-decoration competition in Nagaur, Rajasthan. Himanshu Sharma/Reuters

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    The Baseline
    02 Feb 2017
    Allocation to infrastructure a boost to companies in the sector

    Allocation to infrastructure a boost to companies in the sector

    India's infrastructure sector gets to run, jump and fly: The Union Budget has provided a big boost to logistics and infrastructure firms, with the government earmarking Rs. 2.41 trillion for the transportation sector, across roads, railways, waterlinks and aviation. The National Highways allocation has increased to Rs. 64,900 crore from Rs.57,976 crore in 2016-17.

    India imports 80% of its oil, but has been weak in bidding and winning oil assets globally. Consequently the price of oil has long been a drag on the economy and consumption, and the Finance Minister, hoping to change that, says that the government is looking to combine them to form an integrated oil company that has the capacity to take bigger risks, and participate in large global oilfield bids. Such a combine could likely include ONGC, OIL, HPCL, BPCL and IOC. 

    Stock in spotlight: Cummins India, which posted strong Q3 results yesterday, and is up 6.21% in the stock markets on performance that boosted incomes 18% YoY. 

    Photo of the day: A farmer carries a water pump to irrigate his field, in Kolkata. The Budget has boosted spending for the agriculture sector, and proposed reforms that enable farmers to sell directly to markets. Rupak De Chowdhuri/Reuters

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    The Baseline
    01 Feb 2017
    Jaitley cuts taxes for the middle class, small businesses

    Jaitley cuts taxes for the middle class, small businesses

    Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has announced some tax sops to individuals and companies in his budget speech - a reduction in the tax rate from 10% to 5% for those in the Rs. 2.5 lakh - Rs 5 lakh income tax slab. Higher individual earners will however feel the pinch, with a new surcharge of 10% on those earning an income between Rs 50 lakh to Rs 1 crore.

    The tax rate for companies with an annual turnover of upto Rs 50 crore has been brought down to 25% from 30%. The government is hoping that a lower tax rate for these SMBs will improve tax compliance, helping clean up the black money economy post-demonetization. Moody's called the budget "fiscally prudent" and that it would support reforms if well-implemented. 

    Against the new Trump ethos: In a boost to markets and more open investments, the FM has proposed abolishing the FIPB, which clears proposals for foreign investments up to Rs. 5,000 crore. This, Jaitley said, would be replaced with a simpler e-filing process aimed towards creating a better investment environment for FIIs, 

    Stock in spotlight: Suven LifeSciences announced a net profit jump of 34.3% for Q3 compared to the same quarter last year, with operating margins boosted by lower expenses and finance costs. QoQ for the company saw net profits fall 8.6%, although for the nine month period the company's incomes are up overall by 9.98% and profits up 32.77% compared to the previous year. 

    Photo of the day: Arun Jaitley with ministry officials, to take part in the Halwa Ceremony that marks the beginning of the printing of budget documents. PTI

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