KEI Industries Ltd. share price target

Core cables and wires business hampered by lack of capacity; likely to be addressed in coming quarters

Traction in cable business buoyed Q4 topline growth; EHV set to bounce back in FY24

Strong performance in cables aids Q3 topline growth of 14% YoY; EHV drag transient

KEI remains optimistic of demand environment aided by rising govt/ pvt capex & sustained growth in B2C sales. 3Q margins were under pressure due to execution of pending orders, however, with no legacy orders in back log & pricing action, margins are expected to bounce back. We remain structurally positive on KEI for longer term given 1) increased Infra, Industrial, Railways,...

We change our FY22/FY23/FY24 earnings by -2% / 1.2% / 2.6% and assign Accumulate rating largely on account of 1) RM volatility led near term margin pressure & 2) ~85% run up in stock price over past 6 months Given the strong demand outlook (Rs33bn order book) despite inflationary environment, management has revised its FY22 sales guidance upwards (from 20% to 25-30%) while maintaining LT CAGR of 17-18%. We remain...

We increase our FY22 / FY23 / FY24 earnings by 5.1% / 4.3% / 2.5% and reiterate our positive stance on KEI given 1) growing demand for cables and wires arising from Infra, Industrial, Railways, Solar & housing construction...

KEI Fastest growing brand with EHV capabilities......................................................4 Story in Charts ....................................................................................................................5 KEI Growth drivers in place for Wires & Cables ........................................................6 KEI gained 260bps market share over FY16-20 .......................................................7 Established relationships and strong pre-qualification credentials.........................8 47% CAGR in exports over FY16-20 ..........................................................................8 Amongst few Indian players with 220kV+ EHV capabilities ....................................9 NIIP led capex to drive demand for wires and cables ............................................... 10...

KEI saw revenues in line with estimates but EBIDTA and PAT came in better then estimates (Exhibit 1) led by gross margin expansion of 141bps. The pending order book was Rs26.6bn at the end of H1FY21, compared to Rs29.5bn at the end of Q1, a conscious decline in order...

The theme of resilience resounds across the KEI Industries Annual Report. It boasts of powering resilience through its strengths of having a large & diversified product portfolio, strong prequalification credentials, wide customer base, established relationships with institutions customers, robust distribution network, technology edge, strong balance sheet and experienced management. The company is also one of the few manufacturers of EHV (Extra High Voltage) cables and has strategically...

KEI has sufficient capacities to generate revenues of Rs 56bn, a strong execution record, pre qualifications with almost all leading institutional clients, pan India distribution network, sufficient room to borrow to fund the greenfield capex incase demand picks up sooner and fairly stable margins(~10%), we feel the company is well poised to capture growth when the cycle turns. However given the recent run up in price, we feel that the stock may not delivery any immediate returns and at 13.1x FY22E EPS appears richly valued and hence we revise our rating to Accumulate from Buy with a revised TP of Rs 386...

KEI has sufficient capacities to generate revenues of Rs 56bn, a strong execution record, pre qualifications with almost all leading institutional clients, pan India distribution network, sufficient room to borrow to fund the greenfield capex incase demand picks up sooner and fairly stable margins(~10%), we feel the company is well poised to capture growth when the cycle turns. However given the recent run up in price, we feel that the stock may not delivery any immediate returns and at 13.1x FY22E EPS appears richly valued and hence we revise our rating to Accumulate from Buy with a revised TP of Rs 386...