Suzlon’s 1QFY17 volumes of 204MW (flat YoY) was below our estimates, leading to a loss of Rs 2.6bn (higher than expected). Loss could have been lower (by Rs 1.2bn) had it not been for the new Ind AS norm. With an order book of 1,205MW (to be entirely executed in FY17E), the company remains confident of meeting its FY17E volume guidance of 1.5 - 1.6 GW. The same should also aid in balance sheet healing (primarily debt reduction).
Muted order announcements, so far in FY17E, have cast pressure on the WTG stocks. However we expect the order flow momentum to pick up as most states have finalized their tariffs. Visibility on volumes over the longer run also remains high given continued government thrust, improvement in technology and expected tender based bidding in wind. In this backdrop, we reiterate BUY on Suzlon with a TP of Rs 28/share (10x FY18E EV/EBITDA).