Motilal Oswal
14 August2020 Shriram Transport Finance (SHTF)s 1QFY21 PAT halved to INR3.2b (6% miss). While growth was muted, collection efficiency improved MoM. SHTF also cut opex by 30% QoQ. We modestly increase FY21 estimates to factor higher AUM and lower opex. Our credit cost estimate of 3.5% for FY21 remains unchanged. on the books stood at INR115b as of 12 Aug20. With the COVID-19 provisions, SHTF has increased its Stage-3 PCR from 35% to 39% and Stage-1/2 PCR from 3.1% to 3.7% QoQ. Less than 10% of customers would need restructuring, according to management. Due to a change in accounting policy, the fair value of hedges is now routed through OCI rather than the P&L.; Since the IL&FS; crisis, the company has diversified into new borrowing sources such as retail NCDs and ECBs. The share of ECBs in total borrowings increased meaningfully to 18% YoY from 10%.
Motilal Oswal increased Buy price target of Shriram Finance Ltd. to 800.0 on 03 Jun, 2025.
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