4633.9000 -37.30 (-0.80%)
NSE Sep 23, 2025 15:31 PM
Volume: 398.7K
 

4633.90
-0.80%
HDFC Securities
Extended lockdown drives estimates/TP downgrades for FY21/22E: Despite sharp correction in retail stocks, we see few value buys as for most, price performance is reflective of reduction in earnings power, esp. in apparel. (EBITDA cuts for FY21/FY22 range from -14 to 57%/-7-30% across universe). Subsequently TP cuts across universe range from -6 to -42%. We maintain our BUY rating on V-MART & ABFRL and SELL rating on D-MART. Impact of Covid-19 and FY21 template: Retail is likely to be among the worst hit sectors by COVID-19. Revenue declines across coverage is likely to range between 3-14% in 4Q. Impact on profitability (EBITDA) will be even higher (-14% to severe losses in FY21 ex-DMART) given the high fixed cost base in biz models. In this backdrop, Assessing 1. Foregone vs recoverable revenue, 2. Inventory fungibility/quality across seasons, 3. Capital to cover fixed costs and 4. Leverage position will assume centre stage.
Avenue Supermarts Ltd. has an average target of 4246.00 from 6 brokers.
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