Avenue Supermarts Ltd.

NSE: DMART | BSE: 540376 | ISIN: INE192R01011 | Industry: Department Stores
| Expensive Rocket
4201.6000 48.10 (1.16%)
NSE Jun 06, 2025 15:31 PM
Volume: 354.7K
 

4201.60
1.16%
HDFC Securities
We remain sellers on the counter as we believe 1) D-MART's throughput, cost and working capital efficiencies are near peak. 2) Cost of retailing is inching up. 3) Well capitalized e-grocers/online biggies (Amazon /Flipkart) are getting price-war-ready as can be seen from the significant bump up in their authorized capital. (This could increase cost of retailing in general for the industry over the medium to long term as offline retailers may be arm-twisted into taking fulfillment cost on their books not factored in). We largely maintain our estimates/TP and we bake Revenue/EBITDA/LTL APAT CAGR of 26/30/30% CAGR over FY19-22 and currently have a DCF-based TP of Rs. 1,250/sh, implying 24x Dec-21 EV/EBITDA. Stock currently trades at 42/34x FY21/F22 EV/EBITDA. While D-MART posted healthy growth in 3Q, the pace of growth has come off consistently over 9MFY20 courtesy 1. A heavier base, 2. Ever-heightening competitive intensity. What is more worrying is the dip in the anchor variable - sales velocity (revenue per sq. ft) over the last 9m partly due to larger-sized stores. This certainly warrants a closer look to assess how close is D-MART to its peak on throughput, cost and working capital efficiencies.
Avenue Supermarts Ltd. has gained 20.93% in the last 3 Months
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