362.8500 10.45 (2.97%)
NSE Aug 11, 2025 15:31 PM
Volume: 122.8K
 

362.85
2.97%
HDFC Securities
After a mixed bag in FY19, this year was expected to be solid for revenue acceleration and recovery in margins. 1HFY20 has seen margin recovery but revenue growth was challenged due to various issues. We expect partial recovery in revenue growth in 2HFY20. We believe various disruptions (Demon, GST, Floods) over the last 2 years delayed the benefits from its non-south investment. Co had taken a hard decision last year to invest significantly on branding to grow its consumer business. We believe over the next 3 years (FY19-22E), V-Guard will be able to expand its EBITDAM by 200bps. We expect co's up-front investments on newer products to start accruing benefits. V-Guards 2Q performance was mixed with miss in revenue but beat in margins. Cables and Stabilizers were the outliers, while other products were under pressure owing to floods, short term supply issue, competition and weak macros. Adjusted EBITDA grew by robust 35% led by 39 quarter high gross margin at 33.8%. We expect a pickup in revenues in 2HFY20 and margin expansion. However, we cut EPS by 4% to factor muted south performance, slower consumer durables and higher tax rate. We value V-Guard at 35x on Sep-21 EPS, with TP of Rs 242. With limited upside, we downgrade to NEUTRAL.
V-Guard Industries Ltd. is trading below all available SMAs
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