Radico Khaitan Ltd.

NSE: RADICO | BSE: 532497 | ISIN: INE944F01028 | Industry: Breweries & Distilleries
| Expensive Star
2748.2000 29.90 (1.10%)
NSE Jul 14, 2025 15:31 PM
Volume: 425.9K
 

2748.20
1.10%
HDFC Securities
During FY17-19, Radico enjoyed an earnings upcycle which is expected to moderate in FY20. However, co is investing in new launches, driving premiumisation and deleveraging B/S which keeps the story alive. Robust cash flow generation over the last 2 years (Rs 4.4bn cumulative FCF) was redeployed to repay debt (Rs 3bn in Jun-19 vs. 7.9bn in Mar-17). We expect deleveraging to sustain, making the co debt free by FY22. We expect the stock to re-rate as premiumisation and deleveraging continues. Radico Khaitans 1Q performance was mixed with beat in volume growth but in-line EBITDA. Hardening of RM cost led to crack in GM margins. Consistent market share gains and scaling new launches drives our revenue upgrade by 6% over FY19-21E. However, sustained RM pressure leads to only 1% EBITDA upgrade over FY19-21E. We value Radico at 26x (35% discount to UNSP) on Mar-21 EPS, arriving at a TP of Rs 492. Maintain BUY.
Radico Khaitan Ltd. is trading above all available SMAs
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