233.7700 -0.71 (-0.30%)
NSE Aug 06, 2025 15:31 PM
Volume: 7.6M
 

233.77
-0.30%
HDFC Securities
Upstream companies were out of flavour despite realizing market price for crude oil, mainly on account of lower provisioning of budgetary support in FY19 (Rs 248bn). The subsidy sharing concern allayed when the Govt. committed to settle Rs 430bn of subsidy from its own pocket. We do not foresee any subsidy sharing burden on upstream companies if crude oil prices remain below USD80/bbl. In the absence of overhang of subsidy sharing, upstream companies should be re-rated. Our TP is Rs 191/sh (8x Mar-21E standalone core EPS (adj. for dividend income), + OVL EPS and Rs 39 from other investments). Concerns over lack of crude oil production growth still persist. However, we expect re-rating of ONGC as fears of subsidy burden have allayed. Adjusting for its investments (OVL+ other) the stock is trading at 6.8x FY21E standalone EPS. This indicates strong pessimism and we expect re-rating of upstream companies. Maintain BUY.
Oil And Natural Gas .. has an average target of 302.83 from 6 brokers.
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