Coal India Ltd.

NSE: COALINDIA | BSE: 533278 | ISIN: INE522F01014 |Industry: Coal
|Mid-range Performer

Coal India Ltd.    
08 Jan 2019
227.15
-0.81%
Motilal Oswal
8 January 2019 reached a point where growth of dispatches will suffer not only in FY19E, but also in FY20E. COAL builds inventories during 2H of any financial year in order to meet demand in the 1H of the next financial year, when production is usually lower due to seasonally high heat followed by monsoons. Various government agencies and COALs top management need to work on a war footing to address these issues, else production growth will suffer. Since inventories at power plants remain low, the restocking demand will continue to drive higher demand in FY20E as well. Therefore, we need to reduce E-auction volumes by 3% to 79mt in FY19E and by 25% to 69mt in FY20E. A scarcity of coal for non-power will ensure that E-auction prices remain high. EBITDA estimates by 5%/6% to INR242/274b for FY19E/20E on combined impact of reduction in volumes and increase in E-auction prices as discussed above.
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Coal India Ltd. is trading below it's 30 day SMA of 239.79
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