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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline created a screener Revenue growth companies with …
    04 Jul 2017

    Revenue growth companies with broker upgrade

    Companies with consistent revenue growth, which brokers upgraded in the last three months.
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    The Baseline
    04 Jul 2017
    Increasing dividend stocks: Neyveli Lignite, SJVN, NALCO

    Increasing dividend stocks: Neyveli Lignite, SJVN, NALCO

    The dividend stock screener (updated in realtime) identifies high-dividend stocks, and the trailing one year dividend total has some interesting players. Of no surprise is the fact of Hindustan Zinc and Vedanta's presence in the list, companies which have worked to unlock investor value in the form of dividends, and are also under pressure from the government, which has a significant stake, to make large payouts. 

    A few companies in the screener have also been tagged with "increasing dividend" payouts. These include Lloyd Electric and Engg, SJVN, and Neyveli Lignite. Neyveli Lignite also gained over 40% in share price over the past year. The company has hit substantially higher power and lignite output in the past year.

    Another firm with increasing dividend payouts and gains in share price is NALCO, which has gained over 53% in the past one year. The company recently announced that it had put all its overseas projects on hold to focus on expanding its domestic capacity, setting up smelters in India to increase output and amp up exports. 

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    The Baseline
    02 Jul 2017
    Research reports for the week - June 25 - July 2

    Research reports for the week - June 25 - July 2

    Stock research reports for the week are here, from Axis Direct, Motilal Oswal, ICICI Securities and more. Stock pick of the week from analysts is power utility firm CESC Limited. Analysts expect CESC’s announced demerger plan to unlock fair value in assets, and expects that it would help isolate critical cash flows, and would help the company invest in a pure-play power distribution business.

    DateStockTargetUpside
    (%)
    TypeCMPBrokerChange in
    past 6M
    2017-06-30Persistent Systems Limited 710.004.63%Buy678.60Prabhudas Lilladhar and 1 other1x
    2017-06-29Tata Power Company Limited 68.0015.58%Sell80.55Motilal Oswal
    2017-06-29Tech Mahindra Limited 465.0021.94%Buy381.35Motilal Oswal
    2017-06-29Aurobindo Pharma Limited 877.0028.32%ACC.683.45Prabhudas Lilladhar
    1x
    2017-06-28AU Financiers IPO (AU Small .. --%IPO Note-Way2Wealth and 1 other
    2017-06-28Bank of Baroda 200.0024.15%Buy161.10ICICI Securities Limited 2x
    2017-06-27CESC Limited 1176.0035.01%Buy871.05HDFC Securities 1x
    2017-06-27Titan Company Limited 525.000.21%NEUT.523.90Motilal Oswal
    2x
    2017-06-27United Spirits Limited 2415.000.78%NEUT.2396.35Motilal Oswal
    2x
    2017-06-27Tata Steel Limited 590.008.39%Buy544.35Prabhudas Lilladhar 2x
    2017-06-27Hexaware Technologies Limited 210.0013.35%Sell242.35Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-27Multi Commodity Exchange of .. 1326.0021.97%Buy1087.15Axis Direct
    2017-06-27Endurance Technologies Ltd 967.0010.19%Buy877.55Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-27Shankara Building Products Ltd --%Mgmt Note810.80ICICI Securities Limited
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    The Baseline
    01 Jul 2017
    Saturday Roundup: GST's midnight launch, RBI report predicts pain for banks, Trump on Twitter

    Saturday Roundup: GST's midnight launch, RBI report predicts pain for banks, Trump on Twitter

    GST launched at midnight, and both the Prime Minister and President emphasize "cooperation" and the contribution of previous governments. The Prime Minister calls the transition "freedom" from cumbersome regulations and black money, echoing Nehru's midnight tryst with destiny. Is the reform however, significant or not for growth? Former Infosys Chairman Narayana Murthy says that GST will boost growth substantially, while economist Bibek Debroy said that the notion of GST boosting the GDP by at least 1% was "rubbish". Link

    An RBI report sounds pretty bearish for banks, saying that the NPA situation is set to worsen, and that a severe credit shock is likely. Asset quality as well as profitability will worsen. The report has predicted that the banking system’s gross bad loan ratio will rise from 9.6% to 10.2% of the total loan book a year later, if economic conditions don't improve. Link

    US President Donald Trump has waded into yet another controversy, using Twitter to mock TV anchors Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski. Trump alleged that Mika was "bleeding from a facelift" when they came to visit Trump. The anchors responded by denying his allegations, calling them "laughable" and calling his behavior "fascinating, frightening and sad for the US." Link

    US markets: Wall Street strategists are predicting that the S&P rally in US markets happening now will diminish, and are urging investors to not chase gains. They say falling profit growth is an indicator that the momentum will not be able to sustain itself. Link

    Photo of the day: A baby sleeps in a hammock near a construction site. Abhishek Chinnappa/Reuters

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    The Baseline
    30 Jun 2017
    LIVE: GST launch, PM Modi Speaks, President says teething troubles inevitable

    LIVE: GST launch, PM Modi Speaks, President says teething troubles inevitable

    The Goods and Services Tax (GST) was rolled out at midnight with the 'press of a button' from the Central Hall of Parliament. The President Pranab Mukherjee, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, FM Arun Jaitley and other Cabinet ministers were present. Some of the opposition parties attended, while the Congress and the Left parties gave it a miss.

    11:20 pm: "India will chart a new direction with GST," says PM Modi. Acknowledges that "this was not the work of any one government."

    11:25 pm: "Central Hall is the perfect place for launch of GST. Today at midnight we will decide India's future course."

    11:27 pm: "India is a perfect example of cooperative federalism."

    11:30 pm: "This is the pinnacle, the height of Indian democracy."

    11:32 pm: "Einstein said once that "income tax regulations are hardest to understand. I wonder what he would have said if he came to India."

    11:35 pm: "We are now getting freedom from this complicated regime. All the difficulties you have been experiencing, you are getting freedom from those via GST."

    11:45 pm: President Pranab Mukherjee begins his address

    11:45 pm: President Mukherjee says that "this is the culmination of a 14 year journey", noting the role of the previous UPA government. Rahul Gandhi had said earlier in the day that the GST was a reform that the UPA government had actively championed. Former Prime Minister Manmohan Singh skipped GST launch event owing to the Congress’ boycott of the ceremony.

    11:50 pm: "This is a moment of satisfaction for me personally."

    11:55 pm: "In the many meetings so far on the GST, the government representatives took decisions with consensus and good counsel between centre and states." 

    11:56 pm: "This system is a disruptive change no doubt, which is often met with initial resistance. There are bound to be teething troubles in the initial stages."

    11:58 pm: "My deep appreciation to all those who helped implement this path-breaking change," the President says as he finishes his speech to applause.  

    Midnight: Dignitaries, Prime Minister, President and other officials invited to press the button initiating the GST system.

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    The Baseline
    30 Jun 2017
    Stocks gaining in momentum over the last week: Rain Industries, IndiGo, Welspun

    Stocks gaining in momentum over the last week: Rain Industries, IndiGo, Welspun

    The technical score screener- which looks at multiple technical indicators to identify momentum stocks - looks at the companies that gained in share price and bullishness over the past week and prior to the GST rollout.

    Jaiprakash Associates in particular saw sharp gains ast the Ultratech-Jaiprakash deal has been finalized, in a significant relief to lenders and bankers. A big midcap gainer has been petrochem company Rain Industries. with the increase in petcoke prices aiding its rise. NBFC company SREI Infrastructure, as well as Welspun have also seen gains this week.

    Indigo saw an uptrend during the week, but concerns among investors that the company may take on Air India's debt along with an acquisition pushed its share price sharply down today, until the CEO clarified that the acquisition would only be pursued if it made financial sense for the firm.  For the full screener click here. 

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    The Baseline created a screener Companies with Net Profit …
    29 Jun 2017

    Companies with Net Profit TTM 5X that of Net Profit in FY16

    Identifies all stocks where net profits TTM are greater by 5X of net profits in previous financial year
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    The Baseline created a screener Companies with Net Profit …
    29 Jun 2017

    Companies with Net Profit TTM 5X that of Net Profit in FY16

    Identifies all stocks where net profits TTM are greater by 5X of net profits in previous financial year
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    The Baseline created a screener Companies with Net Profit …
    29 Jun 2017

    Companies with Net Profit TTM 5X that of Net Profit in Previous Financial Year

    Identifies all stocks where net profits TTM are greater by 5X of net profits in previous financial year
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    The Baseline
    28 Jun 2017
    As buildup to quarterly results begins, the best performers from Q4 will be closely watched: Bajaj Finserv, JSW Steel, Container Corp

    As buildup to quarterly results begins, the best performers from Q4 will be closely watched: Bajaj Finserv, JSW Steel, Container Corp

    Among the midcap companies on the BSE, some firms had delivered especially stellar results in their fourth quarter, and will be watched in this Q1 to see if they can follow through. The result dashboard for BSE Midcap highlights the top companies for revenue growth YoY, net profit growth and operating profit growth YoY.

    The top company in revenue growth YoY (BSE Midcaps) in the previous quarter, was Bajaj Finserv. This NBFC's operating margins declined sharply due to smaller growth in the Life Insurance business, and low new business premiums. The company is also seeing rising competition from other NBFCs in a growing market. Revenue growth at 174% YoY however put it at the top of the heap. 

    Ashok Leyland was the top performer among BSE Midcaps in net profit growth last quarter. However, it did benefit from a one time tax reimbursement which boosted the net profit number, and therefore we move to the next firm, JSW Steel, which saw a net profit growth of 489% for Q4 YoY. JSWSteel delivered on higher export sales, and benefited from higher steel prices. Outlook looks very strong for Indian steel firms like JSW Steel thanks to the anti-dumping duties on Chinese steel, and prioritising of Indian steel for government projects. 

    The top performer in operating profit growth last quarter was the old standby Container Corporation of India. CONCOR's rising operating margins helped deliver operating profit growth of 151% YoY. The firm is expected to benefit in coming quarters from the transport consolidation post GST, thanks to its pan-India presence and its strong integration with rail freight. 

    The rankings will change in Q1 overall for MidCap since businesses like Life Insurance and Auto have stronger sales in the latter quarters. But the strong growth bodes well for YoY performance for these companies. 

    Photo: Elroy Serrao

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