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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    02 Aug 2019, 04:12PM
    Superstar investments in June: Jhunjhunwala, Ashish Kacholia, Dolly Khanna

    Superstar investments in June: Jhunjhunwala, Ashish Kacholia, Dolly Khanna

    by Rushali Srivastava

    As June shareholdings were released, superstar portfolios have grown more detailed. Some updates on what large investors bought and sold in the June quarter:

    Rakesh Jhunjhunwala publicly holds 32 stocks with a net worth of over Rs. 11,691.2 Cr. He bought shares and increased its holding in:

    • Agro Tech Foods- increased its holding by 0.51% increasing its total holding to 7.5% in the company with 1,828,259 number of shares amounting to Rs 92.3 Cr. 

    • Spicejet- increased its holding by 0.42% with total holding of 1.67% in the company with 10,000,000 shares amounting to Rs 135 Cr. 

    • Jubilant Life Sciences- increased holding by 0.27% with a total holding of 1.9% with 3,025,000 number of total shares amounting to Rs 132.4 Cr.

    He sold shares and decreased its holding in the following companies:

    • NCC- decreased the holding by 0.91% with the new holding percentage of 9.86%; 59,208,266 number of shares amounting to Rs 434.3 Cr .

    • Dewan Housing Finance Corporation - decreased holdings by 0.73% to 2.46% total holding with 7,720,000 shares amounting to Rs 36.8 Cr. 

    • Federal Bank- decreased holdings by 0.46% to 2.93% total holding with 57,221,060 shares amounting to Rs 513.6 Cr. 

    • Lupin - decreased holdings by 0.22% to 1.71% total holding with 7,723,605 shares amounting to Rs 596 Cr. 

    • Prakash Industries - decreased holdings by 0.07% to 1.46% total holding with 7,723,605 shares amounting to Rs 12.4 Cr.

    Ashish Kacholia who heads Lucky Investments  and is an active participant in company earnings calls, publicly holds 21 stocks with a net worth of over Rs. 537.9 Cr. The shares bought by him as per the shareholding data filed with the exchanges are as follows:

    • KPIT technologies- Bought 4,269,579 shares of the company which is 1.56% of holding in the company amounting to Rs 33.9 Cr. 

    • DFM Foods- increased holding by 0.34% with a total holding of 2.33% with 1,115,053 number of total shares amounting to Rs 27.8 Cr. 

    • Majesco- increased holding by 0.24% with a total holding of 2.59% with 736,123 number of total shares amounting to Rs 33.5 Cr. 

    He sold shares and decreased its holding in the following company:

    • CHD Developers- decreased holdings by 0.33% to 5.31% total holding with 6,833,322 shares amounting to Rs 2.1 Cr. 

     At present, Dolly Khannapublicly holds 6 stocks with a net worth of over Rs. 164.4 Cr. The shares sold by her due to constant decrease in the share price as per the shareholding data filed with the exchanges are as follows:

    • NOCIL- decreased holdings by 0.14% to 2% total holding with 3,310,025 shares amounting to Rs 28 Cr. 

    • IFB Agro Industries- decreased holdings by 0.19% to 1.11% total holding with 104,240 shares amounting to Rs 2.9 Cr. 

    • Muthoot Capital Services- decreased holdings by 0.25% to 1.28% total holding with 211,092 shares amounting to Rs 11.4 Cr. 

    • Radico Khaitan- decreased holdings by 0.28% to 1.13% total holding with 1,502,904 shares amounting to Rs 44.8 Cr. 

    • Rain Industries- decreased holdings by 0.31% to 1.91% total holding with 6,422,542 shares amounting to Rs 56.4 Cr. 

    • Nilkamal- decreased holdings by 0.34% to 1.49% total holding with 222,804 shares amounting to Rs 21 Cr.

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    The Baseline
    02 Aug 2019, 02:29PM
    Screener: Stocks seeing positive shifts in upcoming results

    Screener: Stocks seeing positive shifts in upcoming results

    The live Upcoming Results Screener identifies stocks that are gaining in share price ahead of results. As results season picks up, some investors are turning bullish on stocks, and this reflects in more bullish technicals. 

    Stocks seeing such share price gains ahead of results include Relaxo Footwears, Mangalam Seeds and Triveni Turbine. 36 such stocks are currently in this list. 

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    The Baseline
    30 Jul 2019
    Screener: Results in the past two days with both QoQ and YoY profit growth

    Screener: Results in the past two days with both QoQ and YoY profit growth

    The live results screener (subscription, but screenshot above) tracks companies that declared results in the past two days showing both YoY and QoQ net profit growth. 24 companies among the 42 announcing results on Monday and Tuesday made the list, including Piramal Enterprises,Cochin Shipyard and Shriram City Union Finance.

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    The Baseline
    29 Jul 2019
    Results Analyzer: Bank of Maharashtra, CPC fall on Q1 results

    Results Analyzer: Bank of Maharashtra, CPC fall on Q1 results

    by Rushali Srivastava

    30 results have been declared today for the quarter ending June 30, 2019 out of which 15 companies reported positive profit growth. Some of the companies which declared the results today are as follows:

    Bank of Maharashtrareported total revenue growth of 6.9% YoY at Rs 3,191.9 Cr against Rs 2,987.1 Cr in the year ago. The net profit growth was 107.3% YoY at Rs 81.1 Cr against loss of Rs 1,119 in June 2018 quarter.  Basic EPS  increased by 103.4% YoY at Rs 0.1 against Rs -4.3. 

    The operating profit in the quarter increased by 93.3% to Rs 239.2 Cr against Rs 123.8 Cr in the year ago. 

    Promoters have increased their holdings by 4.75% of holdings in Jun 2019 quarter.  Number of FIIs/FPIs holding stock  rose by 1 to 49.  Institutional Investors  have decreased their holdings by 4.55% of holdings in Jun 2019 qtr.

    Bank of Maharashtra’s price crossed below its 200 day SMA  today. It made its  52 week low  on Oct 11, 2018 and  52 week high  on Apr 26, 2019. It has fallen 28.4% from 52 week low of 29.9.

    Chennai Petroleum Corporationreported an increase in  total revenue  by 6.7% on a yearly basis at Rs 10,162.2 Cr against Rs 9,529 Cr in June 2018 quarter. The  net profit  declined by 250% YoY at a loss of Rs 233.4 Cr against 156 Cr in the year ago.  Basic EPS  also declined by the same rate at negative of Rs 15.7 in the quarter against Rs 10.5 in the year ago. 

    The  operating loss  in the quarter was Rs 120.4 Cr compared to a profit of Rs 447.2 Cr in June 2018 quarter.  

    Number of  FIIs/FPIs  holding stock fell by 7 to 127 in Jun 2019 quarter. Number of  Mutual Funds  holding stock fell by 2 to 9 in the quarter. 

    Chennai Petroleum made  52 week high  on Aug 13, 2018 and  52 week low  on July 11, 2019. It has fallen 40.2% from 52 week high of 344.95.

    EID Parryreported  total revenue  decline by 6.4% YoY at Rs 3,153.4 Cr against Rs 3370.5 Cr in the year ago.  Net loss  decreased by 98.5% YoY at Rs 2.5 Cr in the june quarter against Rs 159.1 Cr but the company’s net profit decreased by 101.2% from Rs 201.3 Cr when compared to march 2019 quarter.  Basic EPS  increased by 85.8% YoY at a negative amount of Rs 2.5. 

    Operating expenses  declined by 9.8% YoY at Rs 2,965.8 Cr against Rs 3,287.6 Cr in the year ago.  Operating profit  declined significantly by 65.8% on a quarterly basis at Rs 160.7 Cr against Rs 470.3 Cr in March 2019 quarter.

    Promoters  pledge remained at 0.08% of holdings in Jun 2019 quarter. Number of  FIIs/FPIs  holding stock fell by 1 to 98 in the quarter.

    It made its  52 week high  on Nov 12, 2018 and a new  52 week low  today (July 29, 2019). It has fallen 36.4% from 52 week high of Rs 247.9. It is trading below all available  SMAs. 

    Kansai Nerolac Paintsreported  net profit  growth of 5.8% YoY at Rs 147.9 Cr. The growth on a quarterly basis was 59.3% against Rs 92.8 Cr in the previous quarter.  Basic EPS  increased with the rate rate on a yearly basis at Rs 2.7. 

    Total revenue  also increased by 5.8% YoY at Rs 1470 Cr against Rs 1389.5 Cr in the year ago. It increased by 25.9% on a quarterly basis from Rs 1,167.6 Cr in the March 2019 quarter.

    Operating profit  increased by 13% YoY at Rs 249 Cr against Rs 220.4 Cr in the year ago. 

    Number of  FIIs/FPIs  holding stock rose by 2 to 139 in Jun 2019 quarter. Number of  Mutual Funds  holding stock rose by 1 to 20 in the quarter.

    It made its  52 week low  on Oct 23, 2018 and  52 week high  on Aug 13, 2018. It has gained 25.3% from 52 week low of 343. 

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    The Baseline
    25 Jul 2019
    Screener: Companies with upcoming results and share price declines in past week

    Screener: Companies with upcoming results and share price declines in past week

    As results season goes into full swing, live result screeners keep a track of ongoing results on the platform. This upcoming results screener tracks companies whose share price has been declining ahead of forthcoming results. Such companies include ABB India, Bajaj Auto, Vodafone Idea, Jubiliant Life Sciences and more. For the full screener click here. 

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    The Baseline
    22 Jul 2019
    Result Analyzer: Seven companies today saw profit and revenue growth, both YoY and QoQ

    Result Analyzer: Seven companies today saw profit and revenue growth, both YoY and QoQ

    Of the 30+ companies that announced results today, just seven firms - including Avanti Feeds, AllSec Tech and Can Fin Homes - announced results that showed both revenue and net profit growth, for both YoY and QoQ. The results screener (subscription, but screenshot above) tracks these companies in real time, and updates as results keep coming in. The full dashboard is here.

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    The Baseline
    18 Jul 2019
    Results Screener: Rising operating profit margin in recent results

    Results Screener: Rising operating profit margin in recent results

    The Live Results Screener (subscription required, but screenshot above) tracks companies that announced rising operating profit margin growth, which declared results over the past one week. Currently, only a small number of companies qualify from the 70+ companies that have announced results. Among the stocks meeting the criteria of rising operating profit margin and RSI > 40 are HDFC Asset Management, CCL Products and 5Paisa. 

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    The Baseline
    10 Jul 2019
    Upcoming Results Screener: Companies with at least 10% profit growth in previous quarter

    Upcoming Results Screener: Companies with at least 10% profit growth in previous quarter

    The upcoming results stock screener looks at stocks with upcoming results, that saw at least 10% net profit growth both QoQ and YoY in the previous quarter. There are 33 qualifying Nifty500 stocks in this list with upcoming results, and include Timken India, DCM Shriram and Federal Bank. 

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    The Baseline
    09 Jul 2019
    Red Flag Screener: Stocks with recent credit downgrades

    Red Flag Screener: Stocks with recent credit downgrades

    By Rushali Srivastava

    The Red Flag stock screener lists out the stocks whose debt was given a recent downward rating by credit rating agencies. Some companies that have reported downward rating to default  are DHFL, McLeod Russel India, Cox and Kings. Here's a look at some of the companies in the screener which received recent downgrades:

    Cox and Kings

    Cox and Kings defaulted on another Commercial paper on July 1, 2019 after failing the debt repayment obligation towards maturity of unsecured commercial papers on June 26, 2019 which resulted in credit rating downgrade.

    Brickworks and Care ratings downgraded various instruments of the company. It has cut ratings from ‘A1+’ to ‘D’ of company’s Rs 375 Cr CPs and Rs 1685 Cr CPs. The working capital situation of the company is not very good due to its inability to replace short term loans with long term loans. 

    The company is taking measures to resolve the cash flow mismatch and working towards increasing the operational performance. 

    It made a new 52 week low on July 5, 2019 at 28.6 and has fallen by 87.7% from its 52 week high of 232.4. 

    McLeod Russel

    McLeod Russel India reported that ICRA downgraded the long term ratings from ‘B-’ to ‘D’ and the short term rating from ‘A4’ to ‘D’ due to delay in meeting the debt obligations. The default was on the borrowing worth Rs 1031.1 Cr. 

    The ratings will continue to remain on “Issuer not Cooperating” category as the company is not sharing enough information to analyse its financials. The company suffered a loss as it did not make provisions for advances to promoters. It missed repayment of debt on June 1, 2019. 

    Its share fell by 5% on July 4, 2019 after the downgrade. 

    Reliance Capital

    Reliance Capital Bonds’ rating has been downgraded by CARE from ‘A’ to ‘BBB’ due to defaults by two of its subsidiaries- Reliance Home Finance and Reliance Commercial Finance. There is a depletion of liquidity and high dependance on planned disinvestments for repaying the debts. 

    Both companies are seeking to raise funds through issue of fresh equity as the holding company Reliance capital is looking forward to give ownership to investors at the right price. 

    Reliance Capital is further looking forward to sell its holding in several assets to raise funds including all its stake in Reliance Nippon Life Asset management. The stock made 52 week low on June 19, 2019 at 54.2 after the downgrade. 

    Dewan Housing Finance

    Commercial papers issued by Dewan Housing Finance Corp (DHFL) was downgraded by CRISIL to default category from A4+ after the company missed the interest payment on its non convertible debentures on June 4, 2019. ICRA, Care Ratings and Brickworks Ratings has also downgraded the credit rating of DHFL to ‘D’.  

    DHFL’s weak liquidity is the main reason for the downgrade. CRISIL said, “The downgrade is driven by more-than-expected reduction in the company's liquidity because of further delays in fundraising from sell down of project finance loans and lower inflows from securitisation of non-housing loans”. 

    DHFL made its 52 week low on June 19, 2019 at 63 after the downgrade. 

    Yes Bank

    ICRA and India ratings have downgraded the credit rating of Yes Bank in May 2019. They have lowered the lender’s long term rating due to some of its loan exposure that turned into bad loans. 

    ICRA observed weakening in the bank’s capital and the bank also reported a loss of Rs 1506 Cr in March 2019 quarter led by increased credit cost and decline in non interest income. ICRA downgraded Tier-I bonds from ‘AA-’ to ‘A’ and Tier-II bonds from ‘AA’ to ‘AA-’. 

    India Ratings downgraded three instruments including Rs 11,000 Cr Tier II bonds and additional Tier I bonds worth Rs 11,000 Cr.

    The share price of the company fell to double digits for the first time in five years, hit the 5 year low after the downgrade in June, 2019. Yes Bank plans to raise capital by public and private share sales. It made a new 52 week low on July 5, 2019 at 90.65. In recent days share price has been rising after the Bank said the operational performance was healthy, and that reported weakness was 'malicious rumour'.

    Tata Motors

    S&P Global Ratings has downgraded the credit rating of Tata Motors and its wholly owned subsidiary Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) majorly due to weak profitability of JLR in March 2019. It has cut its rating on senior unsecured notes of JLR and Tata Motors from ‘B+’ to ‘BB-’. 

    On June 20, 2019 Moody’s also downgraded its credit rating for Tata Motors to Ba3 from Ba2. JLR did not perform well and its cash flow is under pressure mainly due to rising competition, ongoing weakness in diesel car sales in Europe and the UK and adoption of electric and hybrid vehicle technology. In addition to this Tata Motor’s downgrade was also due to demand slowdown in India and tightening liquidity. 

    It has fallen 41.52% from its 52 week high of 282. 

    Canara Bank

    Canara Bank reported on 29th June, 2019 that ICRA has downgraded the credit rating of the bank. The additional Tier-I bonds worth Rs 1500 crore has been downgraded from ‘AA’ to ‘AA-’ with a stable outlook. Tier-II bonds worth Rs 7900 crore has been downgraded from ‘AAA’ to ‘AA+’. 

    An improvement in the bank’s performance in asset quality and solvency is expected therefore it has been kept in the ‘stable’ category. 

    The stock is performing well and has gained 40% from its 52 week low of 204.8 and is bullish w.r.t. market. 

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    The Baseline
    06 Jul 2019
    Screener: Companies where promoters may have to sell over Rs. 100 crore worth of shares

    Screener: Companies where promoters may have to sell over Rs. 100 crore worth of shares

    One of the biggest effects of the Budget yesterday was news that public shareholding for listed companies need to be at 35% instead of 25%. While this may arguably be good from a corporate governance perspective, some of the biggest names in the stock market, including TCS, Wipro, Avenue Supermarts and others are impacted.

    This stock screener identifies the 200 companies with the highest marketcap, where promoters would have to sell at least Rs. 100 crore worth of shares. 

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