Ashika Research
Sequentially weak profitability as compliance issues pile up Pharma sector is most likely to witness sequentially tepid quarter. We expect domestic business of our coverage universe to grow 11% yoy but decline 2.1% qoq. US revenue is estimated to grow 7% yoy and 4% qoq. Overall we expect our universe to see 6% yoy growth in revenue while combined PAT is expected to remain flat yoy. Combined EBITDA margins are expected to see ~140bps contraction yoy. Sun Pharma is expected to report 7.8% yoy revenue growth due to Cequa launch however PAT is likely to decline 17.5% yoy due to higher R&D;/marketing spend in the US specialty products. Lupin's PAT is expected to grow 8.6% yoy due to the domestic business and gradual ramp-up in Levothyroxine market share. Aurobindo's revenue is expected to grow 9.8% yoy but PAT is expected to decline 6.1% yoy due to competition and higher R&D; spending. Dr. Reddy's is expected to see 11.9% yoy revenue growth while PAT is likely to remain flat yoy. Biocon is also expected to benefit from Mylan's launch of...
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