However, we rating given the attractive valuation (5x FY22E EV/EBITDA) and ~75% EBITDA contribution from the non-LME business (Novelis and Aleris), which provides more stability to earnings. While beverage can demand remains resilient in North America and Europe due to strong in-house consumption trend, it could get impacted in Asia and South America due to trade restrictions, lower tourism and decline in consumer spending. Reduced tourism, public events and consumer spending should impact demand Due to Auto customer shutdowns in Europe and North America from late- Mar20, Novelis auto facilities remain shut. We have also reduced volume estimates by 9% in FY21E and expect normalized We have factored in EBITDA of USD210m/USD250m from Aleris operations for FY21/FY22E. With ~75% EBITDA contribution from non-LME business i.e. the conversion business (Novelis + Aleris), we see stability in Hindalcos earnings.