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In August, Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose to 2.1%, while Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation reached a four-month high of 0.5%. Food-driven pressures surfaced even as core inflation remained stable, and most of the CPI basket stayed below 4%.

CLSA highlights that inflation in over 70% of the CPI basket has fallen below 4%, marking a record low. The brokerage expects vegetable deflation to persist through November, keeping headline inflation in the 1–2% range before it edges up toward 4% by early 2026. It anticipates the RBI will hold rates in October but may leave room for a cut in December.

Trendlyne Analysis released a Economy Update report for Indian Economy on 16 Sep, 2025.

Indian Economy

TREND | 15 Sep 2025

US tariff: Export Promotion Mission Scheme to be placed before Cabinet soon

Business Standard

The inter-ministerial consultations for the Export Promotion Mission have concluded and the proposal will soon be sent to the Union Cabinet seeking its approval, sources said. The government is considering support measures worth about Rs 25,000 crore for exporters under the Export Promotion Mission, announced in the Budget, for six financial years (2025-2031), PTI had reported citing sources last month. The mission, if approved, can help insulate domestic exporters from global trade uncertainties arising from Trump tariffs. The US has imposed a hefty 50 per cent tariff on Indian goods, starting August 27. "So export promotion mission, you know, the inter-ministerial consultations have happened, and soon we will be going to cabinet. Already in the Budget, there was an announcement, and it would be a kind of a scheme which would be fungible," sources said.

Trendlyne Analysis released a Economy Update report for Indian Economy on 16 Sep, 2025.

Indian Economy

TREND | 15 Sep 2025

RBI steps up NDF activity to counter tariff impact on flows, bankers say

Business Line

Exporters have been holding back dollar sales, while importers are ramping up hedging in response to US tariffs risks, contributing to rupee weakness, bankers said

Trendlyne Analysis released a Economy Update report for Indian Economy on 16 Sep, 2025.

Indian Economy

TREND | 15 Sep 2025

NPCI proposes UPI-based cash withdrawals with 10,000 cap at BC outlets

Business Standard

NPCI has sought RBI approval to enable UPI-based cash withdrawals of up to 10,000 at business correspondent outlets, expanding beyond ATMs and select merchants

Trendlyne Analysis released a Economy Update report for Indian Economy on 16 Sep, 2025.

Indian Economy

TREND | 14 Sep 2025

CII seeks framework to position India as hub for innovation-led GCCs

Business Standard

The Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) on Sunday suggested a framework for a National Global Capability Centres (GCC) Policy, that can position the country as the global headquarters for innovation-driven GCCs, generate 20-25 million jobs and contribute up to USD 600 billion in economic impact. The framework for National GCC Policy, encompasses the setting up Digital Economic Zones, deepening industry-academia partnerships and establishing a GCC Council for inter-ministerial coordination and centre-state alignment. The implementation of the National GCC Policy framework, alongside the Model State Policy, can double India's GCC footprint by 2030, and make India the world's premier architect of enterprise innovation, the industry lobby argued. It has been proposed in the Union Budget 2025-26 that a National Framework will be formulated as guidance to states for promoting Global Capability Centres in emerging tier II cities. The framework suggested by CII calls for clear performan

Trendlyne Analysis released a Economy Update report for Indian Economy on 16 Sep, 2025.

Indian Economy

TREND | 13 Sep 2025

Crisil projects 3.2% headline inflation for 2025-26, sees room for rate cut

Business Standard

Research and ratings firm Crisil said that the headline inflation during 2025-26 is projected to be 3.2 per cent, lower than its earlier estimate of 3.5 per cent. In its latest report, Crisil said that the moderation implies a decline of 140 basis points in CPI inflation during this financial year, which is likely to give space for monetary easing. It said the RBI may cut rates by another 25 basis points this year. According to Crisil, lower inflation and reduced interest rates should increase domestic demand in the economy as global headwinds mount. The report also said that the excessive rains during the kharif season is a risk as it could cause disruptions in key horticulture and foodgrain-growing regions like Punjab which is facing its worst floods in four decades. CPI inflation inched up to 2.1 per cent in August 2025, from 1.6 per cent in July, moving above the RBI tolerance threshold of two per cent. Food inflation has started to move up from low levels but trails the head

Trendlyne Analysis released a Economy Update report for Indian Economy on 16 Sep, 2025.

Indian Economy

TREND | 13 Sep 2025

Money Wise: Be Wary Of Your Overseas Equity Investments

NDTV Profit

In any case, the Reserve Bank of India's and by extension, the SEBI's, limits on overseas equity investment by mutual funds have curtailed options for the Indian investor.

Trendlyne Analysis released a Economy Update report for Indian Economy on 16 Sep, 2025.