Downgrades

Kumiai Chemical Industry (Kumiai) has revised up its H1FY25 revenue guidance by ~9% to JPY96bn from JPY88bn, citing that net sales are expected to exceed the forecast due to advanced shipment to overseas markets in its Agchem business.

For Q4FY2025, Finolex reported lower-than-estimated performance on the revenue front. Revenue grew by 13.8% y-o-y to Rs. 1,595 crore.

We recommend a BUY on the stock with a target price of Rs 520, implying a 10% upside from the current market price.

Lower our Rs819m estimate due to less-than-expected revenues, MM Forgings’ Q4 EBITDA slipped 4% y/y to Rs724m. Growth would be supported by the domestic M&H CV volume upswing, which would come at a 5% CAGR over FY25-27 on economic activity and replacement demand.

Vodafone Idea’s (VIL) Q4FY25 ARPU rose 0.6% QoQ (Bharti down 0.1%, RJio +1.4%), on expected lines. However, VIL lost higher-than-expected subs, and data subs dipped marginally by 0.1mn despite initial 4G network expansion.

Sharda Cropchem Limited (SCL) reported solid growth in 4Q FY25 as revenues increased by 39.4% y-o-y to Rs 1,828.5 crore. This robust quarterly growth was mirrored by a strong overall top-line performance for the entirety of FY25.

Century Plyboards' Q4FY25 profitability missed our expectations. Revenue grew by 13% YoY to Rs12bn, driven by strong Plywood (+8% YoY) and MDF (+37% YoY), despite decline in Particle boards (-25% YoY). EBITDA margins contracted by 275bps YoY to 11.2% due to margin pressure across all segments except for plywood. Century plans an 50,000 CBM plywood facility at Hoshiarpur within a year, along with an additional 50,000CBM capacity through brownfield expansions and de-bottlenecking. Century expects its continuous process plant for particle board at Chennai facility to commence operation in Q1FY26,...

With a 1% downside from the CMP, we maintain our HOLD rating on the stock.

We downgrade our rating on the stock from BUY to HOLD and roll over our estimate to FY27.

Bata India (BATA) delivered yet another weak quarter with 1% YoY revenue decline (5% miss) and ~230bp YoY gross margin contraction. The weak performance was attributed to the company’s deliberate shift toward valuedriven offerings to boost volume amid subdued demand.

Vodafone Idea’s (Vi) reported EBITDA declined 1% QoQ (vs.+2% QoQ for RJio/Bharti India wireless), which was above our estimates due to lower network opex (-2% QoQ, energy efficiencies) and SG&A costs (-1% QoQ).

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

We maintain our HOLD recommendation on the stock and rollover our estimates to FY27.

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 1,330/share, implying an upside of 10% from the CMP.

Misses EBITDA estimate by 7.7% on sharp sequential margin contraction across segments (except plywood)

Puravankara (PL)’s pre-sales in FY25 were weak, as expected, as approvals were delayed (sector-wide impact). However, despite only 3.6msf new launches, sustenance sales remained strong (up 14% YoY) which was a respite.

TCI Express (TCIE)’s 4QFY25 revenue decreased 3% YoY to INR3.1b (+4% QoQ), in line with our estimate. Volumes declined 1% YoY in 4QFY25. Volumes were hit by slower growth in the SME segment.

Spandana Sphoorty’s (SPANDANA) 4QFY25 loss stood at ~INR4.3b (vs. MOFSLe loss of INR4.1b). FY25 loss stood at INR10.3b (vs. PAT of INR5b in FY24).

Sun TV Network (SUNTV) reported another weak result, with revenue declining ~2% YoY, primarily due to persistent weakness in ad revenue (down 13% YoY). EBITDA declined 16% YoY, impacted by the continued weakness in ad revenue and higher production costs.

Orders from the renewables segment rose a sharp 386% YoY, followed by the transmission segment (91% YoY) and railways and metro (24% YoY). However, orders from data center and industry fell 56% and 33% YoY, respectively, with the management mentioning that this was seasonal. Hitachi Energy has delivered strong financial results, with notable growth in both revenue and profitability. The momentum is expected to continue, driven by the *over or under performance to benchmark index company's strategic positioning in high-growth areas such as HVDC projects, data...