Buy

We recently attended Hindalco’s Investor Day 2025 where management unveiled ~$10bn expansion plan for Novelis and India, along with multiple strategic initiatives, which would help strengthen its market leadership.

Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) has clocked revenue of INR 304bn in FY25 (vs INR 303.8bn in FY24).
Revenue was ~6% below our estimate of INR 322.4bn, mainly because of shortfall in delivery of ALH-Dhruv and other manufacturing revenue.

We attended Hindalco Industries’ (HNDL) Investor Day. Long-term capacity growth aspirations in India, focus on value-added products dovetailing with domestic requirements.

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock

HNDL and its subsidiary, Novelis, are investing ~USD10b in growth projects to significantly boost capacities. In India, HNDL is expanding its aluminum upstream (Aditya smelter 180 KT, alumina refinery 850 KT), downstream (FRP-170 KT, battery enclosures etc), and copper capacities (smelter 300 KT and recycling 50KT), with a total of USD5.2b currently under execution.

Power Grid has won 11 TBCB projects after the Q3FY25 results and the company maintains a strong win ratio (>50%) in its projects. The company is on track for a large capex of Rs. ~3.3 lakh crore till FY32 because of the strong renewable energy capacity addition in India.

Aeroalloy Technologies (ATL), a wholly-owned subsidiary of PTC Industries (PTCIL), has received a significant longterm order from Safran Aircraft Engines, entailing supply of seven cast aero-engine components, utilising both titanium (Ti) and superalloys for CFM’s advanced LEAP-1A and LEAP-1B engines.

We recently met Karur Vysya Bank (KVB)’s top brass, including business heads, at Karur. Our confidence in the quality/longevity of growth and earnings is emboldened. KVB has been furnishing steady loan growth and will likely have at its disposal healthy optionality, as and when liquidity eases/lending to unsecured turns conducive.

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 213/share, implying an upside of 10% from the CMP.

The cement sector is increasingly consolidating, enabling companies to expand geographically, secure vital limestone reserves, and achieve economies of scale. Acquisitions are allowing market leaders to scale up quickly and strengthen their competitive positions.

GAIL’s Q3FY25 result disappointed the street, with multiple one-offs dragging trading segment earnings and reigniting the long-held apprehension on the unpredictability of trading segment.

A frontrunner in a growing industry

Rising share of diversified and secured portfolio with MFI mix likely to decline further; scaling up granular deposit franchise

We recently organized an underground mine visit in Gumgaon for our clients and thereafter interacted with Mr Ajit Kumar Saxena (Chairman and Managing Director), Mr Rakesh Tumane (Director- Finance), Mr M.M. Abdulla (Director- Production & Planning) and other Board of Directors.

Consistent performer in a growing industry

We recently interacted with senior management and select business heads of City Union Bank (CUBK). The bank reiterated its growth guidance of 12–14% YoY for FY25 and acceleration to 15–16% YoY for FY26.

The bank is reasonably confident to deliver loan growth of 1.5-2.0x the nominal GDP growth and sustain RoA over ~2% in the near to medium term.

Management expects over 20% growth in FY25 and is confident of sustaining this momentum, driven by strong 9MFY25 performance, favourable industry trends, and broad-based growth across verticals and markets.