Sharekhan Broker Research reports

Q4FY25 earnings were a mixed bag. Net interest income (NII), at Rs. 13,811 crore (in line), grew by ~6% y-o-y/2%q-o-q. NIMs marginally improved by 4 bps q-o-q to 3.97% led by better asset quality and income tax refund.

Revenue stood at $375.2 million, up 4.5% q-o-q in constant currency (CC), beating our estimates of 4% q-o-q growth in CC terms. Revenue in rupee terms stood at Rs. 3,242 crore, up 5.9% q-o-q/25.2 % y-o-y. EBIT margin improved ~70 bps q-o-q to 15.6% % but missed our estimate of 15.9%.

Reported revenues stood at $1,131 million, down 0.6% q-o-q/ 6.3% y-o-y in CC missing our estimates of 0.2% q-o-q growth in CC. Rupee revenues stood at Rs 9,772 crore, up 1.1% q-o-q/9.9% y-o-y.

TCPL’s Q4FY25 numbers were good with consolidated revenue growing by 17.3% y-o-y to Rs. 4,608 crore (12% y-o-y organic revenue growth), with India beverage business revenues growing by 17% y-o-y (9% y-o-y organic growth), India foods business improving 27% y-o-y (organic growth at 17%), international business growing by 5% y-o-y and non-branded business reporting a 25% y-o-y growth.

HCLTech reported revenue of $3,498 million, down 1% q-o-q/ up 2% y-o-y missing our estimates of $3,502 million in constant currency (CC) terms. Revenue in rupee terms stood at Rs. 30,246 crore, up 1.2% q-o-q/6.1% y-o-y.

FY25 has been weak for the bank marked by elevated stress in unsecured retail loans resulting in a sharp increase in credit costs, higher interest rates and tight liquidity. Q4 earnings missed estimates led by accelerated provisioning on account of the stress in unsecured loans, yet PCR improved.

APE grew by 9% y-o-y in Q4FY25, while VNB grew by 12% y-o-y. For FY25, APE grew 16% y-o-y, Individual APE grew by 18% and value of new business (VNB) grew by 13% y-o-y.

Reported revenues stood at $104.6 million, up 2.9% q-o-q in constant currency (CC) terms, beating our estimates of 1.8% q-o-q growth in CC driven by core business in UK and Europe.

Q4FY25 numbers were decent with slight beat on earnings led by NIM expansion. NII at Rs. 32,066 crore (up 10% y-o-y/5% q-o-q) above estimates, led by higher NIMs. NIMs improved by 11 bps q-o-q to 3.54%, however excluding the impact of an ITR refund, core margins rose by 3 bps q-o-q.

ICICI Bank reported yet another steady quarter with strong return ratio amid a challenging environment. Net interest income (NII) at Rs. 21,193 crore (above estimates) grew by 11 y-o-y/4% q-o-q. Net interest margins (NIMs) improved by 16 bps q-o-q to 4.41% vs expectation of 2-5 bps decline however given the repo rate cut of 50 bps so far.