Trendlyne Analysis
In July, Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation eased to 1.6%, while Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation fell further into the negative zone, reaching a two-year low of -0.6% in July. The sequential drop in CPI inflation was mainly due to a favourable base effect and a strong monsoon that kept food inflation in check.

The RBI said the inflation outlook for FY26 had become more benign than expected, supported by healthy autumn crop sowing and strong food grain buffer stocks. Nuvama expects food inflation to stay low, with core inflation kept in check. Meanwhile, Nomura sees inflation bottoming out now and hovering around 2% until November before rising again.
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