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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    09 Jul 2016
    Morning Brief - Saturday

    Morning Brief - Saturday

    Stocks that out-performed post-Brexit, first "less than $4" phones out for delivery after hype, Kerala imposes a 14.5% "fat tax" on junk food, Ola's burn rate goes up in its quest for market share


    49 stocks that ouperformed the market post Brexit ET
    Noida based Ringing Bells said that the first 2,000 odd Freedom251 phones are now out for delivery. The company claims over 7.5 crore registrations for the phone, and the first set of deliveries were decided through lots. IE
    The newly elected Kerala government has introduced a 14.5% 'fat tax' on restaurants selling burgers, pizzas and tacos. Kerala, where KFC, McDonald's and local 'crispy fried chicken' chains have made inroads, is also the state with the highest percentage of heart disease in its population. BS
    Ola introduced the Micro this year at Rs. 6/km in a quest to restore market share it had lost against Uber. However the lower cost has had Ola running through its cash at a much higher rate, and the company is hoping to raise another $400 million to combat Uber, which has raised $5.5 billion so far in recent months with an eye on the Indian market. LiveMint
    Photo of the Day:  People march across US cities to protest police violence and the recent killings of black men. Reuters
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    The Baseline
    08 Jul 2016
    Company Acquisitions this June: Bade Miyan Chote Miyan

    Company Acquisitions this June: Bade Miyan Chote Miyan

    Acquisitions this June - 2016

    The media was abuzz with the Rs 16,189 crore UltraTech Jaypee deal that was signed this June, where UltraTech had to raise the final price at the last minute to get Jaypee to sign on the dotted line.

    Two Indian companies - Centum and Tech Mahindra - acquired international firms. Centum, which is in defence and aerospace electronics, acquired France's Adetel group, giving Centel access to Adetel's international client list and European market. Tech Mahindra acquired the UK based BIO agency, with the hope of building better integrated customer service. 

    Microsoft acquired Wand Labs Inc. Wand Labs is a startup founded by IIT alumnus Vishal Sharma, that has been working on developing more intelligent chat messaging tools.

    AI in chat is becoming a big goal for companies like Microsoft, Google and Facebook, and Microsoft hopes that the acquisition will help it improve its Bing chat bot. 

    Another interesting acquisition was Tata Power's purchase of Welspun's green energy portfolio, which marks the biggest solar acquisition so far in India. This expands Tata Power's renewable energy portfolio. Welspun had been struggling to raise funds for its green energy business before resorting to this sale. Tata Power agreed to buy Welspun's solar and wind farms that were in operation, as well as those in the pipeline.

    This is a significant acquisition for Tata at a time the Indian government is encouraging renewable energy solutions to meet the commitments of the Paris climate change agreements. And Eros Entertainment acquired Pooja Films, giving it access to content Pooja owned, such as the movies Bade Miyan Chote Miyan, and Coolie No. 1. 




    Acquiring company
    Acquired company
    Date 
    Acquisition goal


    Dr. Lal PathLabs Ltd
    Delta RIA and Pathology Lab Private Limited
    Jun 1 2016
    Better health diagnostics
     


    HDFC Ergo
    L&T General Insurance
    Jun 6 2016
    Insurance acquisition - L&T exits insurance


    Prism Cement Limited
    15.23 percent stake in BLA Power Pvt Ltd
    Jun 8 2016
    Reduce cement production costs


    Tata Power
    Welspun Energy Pvt Ltd
    Jun 14 2016
    Largest solar power acquisition in India


    Gaia Smart Cities Solutions Pvt Ltd
    IoT business of Netcore
    Jun 14 2016
    Brings IoT capabilities into Gaia


    Microsoft Corporation Pvt. Ltd.
    Wand Labs Inc
    Jun 18 2016
    More intelligent messaging apps


    Centum Electronics
    51% stake of France's Adetel Group
    Jun 18 2016
    International presence in defence, aerospace 


    Eros International Media Ltd
    50 per stake in Puja Entertainment and Films Ltd
    Jun 21 2016
    Access for Eros to better quality content


    Tech Mahindra
    UK-based The BIO Agency Limited
    Jun 21 2016
    Access to customer service tools


    TPG Capital
    ICICI Home Finance Co Ltd
    Jun 23 2016
    Access to India's home lending market 
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    The Baseline
    08 Jul 2016
    Morning Brief - Friday

    Morning Brief - Friday

    EPFO to put more money in equity, plagiarism in Environment Ministry rules, Q1 corporate revenues to hit a two year high, telcos underreported income, CAG says


    Nearly 3,000 words of the 3,900 word Environment Ministry draft for rules on pollutants is a direct lift from a US Supplementary Environment Project Policy document. The new environment minister is yet to respond. IE
    Changes in the Employee Provident Fund: The EPFO is now looking to invest beyond 5% in equities, after investments last year yielded good returns. The investment might increase to around 10% of its total fund, translating into Rs. 10,000 crore annually. ET
    Ratings agency CRISIL says that corporate India's growth in Q1 is likely to hit a two year high - driven by exports from IT and overall could hit 8% in revenue. BS
    CAG says that telcos have under-reported revenues of upto Rs 46,000 crore between 2006-10. The agency will issue a Rs. 12,500 crore demand notice to these companies. LiveMint
    Picture of the Day: China's constructions in the South China sea - new islands and military bases. NYT
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    The Baseline
    07 Jul 2016
    Morning Brief - Thursday

    Morning Brief - Thursday

    Flipkart blacklists sellers, government steps up efforts to identify black money, and what exactly is the size of India's e-commerce market?


    In its efforts to improve customer experience, Flipkart is blacklisting sellers it says do not meet quality norms and customer satisfaction requirements. Sellers are charging that the company is targeting merchants that protested lower commissions, and who are part of lobby groups. BS A comparison of Flipkart and other online seller payments is here
    The government has stepped up its efforts to identify black money and tax dodgers, turning to recent international agreements signed to get the information. The disclosure scheme that ends on September 30, the government says, is a window to disclose without penalty, after which evaders will have to face the music. ET
    The bulls and bears of India's e-commerce market: LiveMint looked at various estimates of India's e-commerce market and found wide variation in expectations - there is a gap of $70 billion between the most optimistic and most conservative numbers. Morgan Stanley is the most gung-ho, and expects the market to grow to $120 billion in the next four years, while the UBS AG predicts a $48-60 billion industry. 
    The Cabinet reshuffle is politically savvy, IE writes, showing a Prime Minister and government conscious of public dissatisfactions, and making an effort to include Dalit leaders as well as prominent communities who've been demanding greater inclusion and caste quotas. 
    Photo of the Day: Oscar Pistorious, the famous double amputee sprinter who had entered the Olympics in 2012 as a celebrated athlete, receives a six year prison sentence for killing his girlfriend Reeva Steenkamp. NYT
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    The Baseline
    06 Jul 2016

    Morning Brief - Wednesday

    Wednesday Morning Brief: Mood downbeat in global markets as oil falls 5%, Moody says risk for 7.5% India GDP target, 4G expansion slow


    US markets are downbeat as oil falls 5% on sentiment towards global growth. US today has more untapped oil than Saudi Arabia, a significant shift in global oil supply CNN Money
    The ratings agency Moody points out global slowdown and weak credit as downsides for India's 7.5% GDP growth target. Lending capacity of India's public banks will be impaired due to asset issues, it pointed out. ET
    Adoption of 4G services in India is much lower than expected. One year after the launch of 4G by Bharti Airtel, there are just 6.5 million users across the country. BS
    Smriti Irani is no longer HRD minister post Cabinet rejig - she's moved from 'textbooks to textiles', as UP Minister Javedkar gets her portfolio. IE
    Photo of the Day: A ice crystal cave near Lake Baikal in Siberia. The lake is covered in ice from May to November. NatGeo
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    The Baseline
    05 Jul 2016

    Stock Market Report Roundup and Stock Pick of the Week

    Stock Market Roundup and Stock Pick of the Week: June 24 - July 5 2016


     

    Research reports roundup this week!

    Seventeen company stocks saw BUY reports from analysts

    One company stock saw a SELL report from analysts

    One stock came in as NEUTRAL.

    Pick of the week: ITC Limited - ITC, which has received seven price upgrades over the last six months from Phillip Capital, ICICI Securities Limited, Angel Broking, Motilal Oswal, ICICI Securities Limited, HDFC Securities and Prabhudas Lilladhar. However, a cautionary note - proxy advisory SES has asked ITC shareholders to vote against the re-appointment of ITC auditors Deloitte, noting that the auditor re-appointment by the company violates SEC norms.

     

     





    Date


    Stock


    Target


    Upside


    Type


    Report Date Price


    CMP


    Upgrades/downgrades - last 6 months




    2016-06-24


    Manpasand Beverages Limited - MANPASAND


    750


    26.84


    BUY


    520


    591.3

     



    2016-06-25


    ITC Limited - ITC


    375


    Pre-Bonus/

    Split


    BUY


    353.4


    244.85


    7 upgrades till date, 2 downgrades




    2016-06-27


    Ujjivan Financial Services L.. - UJJIVAN


    510


    22.21


    BUY


    378.75


    417.3


    1 upgrade till date




    2016-06-27


    Vinati Organics Limited - VINATIORGA


    656


    20.81


    BUY


    540.05


    543


    5 upgrades,1 downgrade till date




    2016-06-27


    Good Luck Steel Tubes Limited - GOODLUCK


    154


    41.09


    BUY


    102.8


    109.15


    1 upgrade till date




    2016-06-27


    Navkar Corporation Limited - NAVKARCORP


    261


    21.68


    BUY


    205.2


    214.5


    5 upgrades till date




    2016-06-29


    Larsen & Toubro Limited - LT


    1420


    -9.28


    NEUTRAL


    1481.8


    1565.2


    6 upgrades,2 downgrades till date




    2016-06-29


    KEC International Limited - KEC


    170


    17.61


    BUY


    143.85


    144.55


    2 upgrades, 2 downgrades till date




    2016-06-29


    Tata Communications Limited - TATACOMM


    543


    11.27


    BUY


    472


    488


    2 upgrades, 2 downgrades till date




    2016-06-30


    POLARIS CONSULTING & SERVICE.. - POLARIS


    280


    44.18


    BUY


    194.95


    194.2


    1 upgrade till date




    2016-06-30


    Astra Microwave Products Lim.. - ASTRAMICRO


    154


    20.08


    BUY


    123.15


    128.25


    1 upgrade till date




    2016-06-30


    DLF Limited - DLF


    181


    14.12


    BUY


    150


    158.6


    1 upgrade,1 downgrade till date




    2016-07-01


    Minda Industries Limited - MINDAIND


    1355


    16.31


    BUY


    1152.8


    1165


    6 upgrades, 1 downgrade till date




    2016-07-01


    Finolex Cables Limited - FINCABLES


    412


    11.53


    BUY


    360


    369.4


    5 upgrades, 1 downgrade till date




    2016-07-01


    Prestige Estates Projects Li.. - PRESTIGE


    264


    41.1


    BUY


    182.6


    187.1


    2 upgrades till date




    2016-07-01


    Steel Strips Wheels Limited - SSWL


    578


    18.93


    BUY


    471.95


    486


    1 upgrade till date




    2016-07-01


    Aarti Industries Limited - AARTIIND


    620


    15.46


    BUY


    525


    537


    5 upgrades till date




    2016-07-01


    Godrej Properties Limited - GODREJPROP


    415


    12.76


    BUY


    361.5


    368.05


    2 upgrades till date




    2016-07-01


    KPIT Technologies Limited - KPIT


    125


    19.15


    SELL


    157.5


    154.6


    5 upgrades, 4 downgrades till date





     
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    The Baseline
    05 Jul 2016
    Morning Brief - Tuesday

    Morning Brief - Tuesday

    Ultratech seals Jaypee Group deal with last minute price increase, Narendra Modi interview, markets await announcement of Cabinet expansion, Swiggy working to cut costs through partnerships


    UltraTech withdrew its legal notice it served Jaypee last week and signed a revised deal with the company, increasing its acquisition price by Rs 289 crore. The deal had grown tenuous in the last minutes as UltraTech had written letters to the lenders Jaypee, saying talks with rival buyers was illegal. ET
    In an interview with IE, Narendra Modi said that his biggest challenge has been in winning over sceptics, and says that under the BJP government the economy has seen a turnaround from high inflation and market turmoil to higher growth. 
    After gains over the last few days Indian markets have opened low, with investors cautious and awaiting news of the Cabinet expansion. Investors are hoping for appointments that signal an aggressive reform agenda. BS
    Swiggy has been shifting away from its own delivery fleet and instead partnering with logistics companies in an effort to cut costs and reduce its burn rate. LiveMint
    Photo of the Day: NASA's spacecraft Juno nears Jupiter, prepares for orbit insertion. NASA
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    The Baseline
    04 Jul 2016
    India's growing thirst: water shortages threaten GDP growth

    India's growing thirst: water shortages threaten GDP growth

    An emerging water crisis is hurting India's growth numbers

    India's water crisis is showing up in different parts of the country as droughts, crop failure, unclean water, widespread water contamination. The Economic Times writes today that water shortages are affecting factory production across India, threatening Make In India and the country's growth plans. 

    But it is not just factories that are reeling: every urban Indian resident who is buying an RO system or water filter knows that the struggle for clean, easily available water is now everywhere. It is affecting Indians across demographics, cities and income classes, and is set to worsen - the Water Resources Institute predicts that in ten years, India's available water will be 50% below demand.

    Areas like Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan and Punjab are already deeply stressed - affecting crop production and poverty levels. In the south, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu are scrambling for water. In Bangalore, the water shortage has resulted in predictions that the city will become 'unlivable' in five years, due to droughts.

    The fight for water today is between India's farms, factories, and ordinary people. It is a thirst that is becoming harder to quench every year as monsoons have grown unreliable. The dependence on groundwater is drying up wells - over half of these are now severely stressed.

    Water shortages of the kind India is facing cannot be addressed by short-term solutions: we are at the point  where it impacts GDP growth, and incumbent politicians are paying the price during re-elections due to droughts and farmer suicides - the issue of drought now hits news headlines every week. Local bandaids and river linking projects do not address the basic issue of shortage and contaminated supply. Governments will have to put in systems that halt the abuse of groundwater, water wastage, and the dumping of sewage in rivers and lakes: something that has been ongoing for the last few decades. 

     

    Image source: Water Resources Institute
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    The Baseline
    04 Jul 2016
    Morning Brief - Monday

    Morning Brief - Monday

    Best companies to work for survey, Taxi apps set for big growth in 2016, India's GDP is 'overstated', Facebook betting on streaming video for global growth


    The best companies to work for survey is out. Google India scores number 1 - employees evidently love both the massage chairs and quality of work. American Express comes in second, and Ujjivan Financial Services scores third place. ET
    The online taxi aggregator space, where Uber and Ola are lugging it out, is set to cross Rs 11,400 crores in booking value in 2016. Competition and lower prices are encouraging customers, and spurring growth across cities. BS
    Morgan Stanley's chief global strategist, Ruchir Sharma says that India's GDP growth of 7.9% looks overstated, and said private investment needs to improve. Inflation needs to be lower and below 5% for sustained growth, he added. IE
    Facebook is betting on live streaming videos for growth, and has signed up big content publishers including Buzzfeed and Huffington Post to stream videos exclusively on Facebook. This strategy will be replicated globally. SeekingAlpha 


    Photo of the day: France ends Iceland's dream run IE

     

     
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    The Baseline
    03 Jul 2016
    Morning Brief - Sunday

    Morning Brief - Sunday

    Bangladesh minister says Dhaka attack was not ISIS, foreign investor money rides high on hopes for a good monsoon, RBI governor tenure lowest among central banks, China dominating Bitcoin


    Bangladeshi Home Minister says that the attackers in the Dhaka restaurant were not ISIS but a homegrown group called the Jameytul Mujahdeen, which has no connections with ISIS. The group has been banned in the country for over a decade. IE
    The RBI governor's term is the lowest of all central bank governors globally. In the US, the central bank governors have served consecutive renewable terms, with Alan Greenspan serving for over 20 years. BS
    Foreign investors have brought in over Rs 3700 crore into the stock markets, riding on hopes of a good monsoon. ET
    The digital currency Bitcoin has become a multibillion dollar industry, one that is increasingly dominated by China. Chinese exchanges account for 42% of worldwide Bitcoin transactions, and Baidu has invested alongside Chinese banks in the Bitcoin company Circle. NYT


    Photo: A Nepali youth plays in a paddy field during National Paddy Day . Source: Atlantic
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