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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    18 Jun 2018
    Screener: Among stocks whose share price is crossing above SMA20 today, multiple oil&gas firms

    Screener: Among stocks whose share price is crossing above SMA20 today, multiple oil&gas firms

    This screener features stocks whose share price is currently above their 5 day SMA and today crossed above their 20 day SMA, and contains around 140 stocks as of this writing. Among these, major oil retailers are in the list today, as global crude oil prices fall. Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL) and Indian Oil (IOCL) are both in the screener as they gained today on investor enthusiasm. For the full screener, click here.

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    The Baseline
    14 Jun 2018
    Screeners: Does the Piotroski Score help identify good stocks?

    Screeners: Does the Piotroski Score help identify good stocks?

    There are two popular Piotroski score screeners on the website - one that looks at only the Piotroski Score to select stocks, and the second that looks at a combination of Piotroski Score, ROCE, ROE and Earnings per Share.

    This well-known Piotroski Score rates a stock between 0 and 9 (zero being worst, and nine the best) based on a company's financials. The score awards points to a company based on profits, revenues, net assets, cash flow, debt and margins. The High Piotroski ScoreScreener looks at stocks with a score greater than 7. As of today, this screener has five stocks in its list. It also tends to hold on to stocks for longer - the strategy picked up Dilip Buildcon in August 2017 for example, and sold it in May 2018 at a 44%+ gain. For longer-term investors, this is a good strategy since it cycles through fewer stocks, and selects financial high-performers. 

    The second screener, theHigh Piotroski Score with ROCE, ROE and EPS picked equal number of winner and loser stocks, making it a riskier strategy, but had higher returns overall. As markets turn choppy this screener doesn't have as much luck. 

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    The Baseline
    14 Jun 2018
    Delivery Screener: Stocks seeing rising delivery percentage over the past week include Gujarat Gas, Pi Industries

    Delivery Screener: Stocks seeing rising delivery percentage over the past week include Gujarat Gas, Pi Industries

    Some stocks seeing more than 20% increase in delivery percentage over the week (compared to the month average) include Gujarat Gas, Pi Industries, Thomas Cook and others. While Gujarat Gas' most recent buy call came from ICICI Securities in mid-May, Pi Industries received a neutral rating from HDFC Securities. Thomas Cook received a buy call earlier in June from Nirmal Bang, with an aggressive 20%+ upside in target price. 

    For the full screener, click here. 

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    The Baseline
    11 Jun 2018
    In the March quarter, road highway companies, as well as breweries came out on top

    In the March quarter, road highway companies, as well as breweries came out on top

    A growing country needs its roads, and for Indian infrastructure firms, the increased government spending to boost highway and road connectivity was a substantial boost to growth in the March quarter. As a sector, this was among the top performers in the result dashboard.  PNC Infratech, Ashoka Buildcon, IL&FS Transportation reported good results, with companies in the sector reporting both net profit and revenue growth. 

    Breweries and Distillaries is another sector that has been seeing a good quarter, with falling costs in sugar reducing prices of raw material for this industry. Improving margins have resulted in a strong quarter, and multiple superstar investors including Dolly Khanna have invested in this sector - Khanna put in approximately Rs. 7 crore in Som Distillaries. 

    Among other sectors, plastics and auto performed well. For the full dashboard, click here. 

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    The Baseline
    08 Jun 2018
    The best superstar investor over the last year is not the biggest name

    The best superstar investor over the last year is not the biggest name

    We took a look at three large superstar investors - Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, Dolly Khanna, and Ashish Kacholia. And this was the question we set out to answer: when it comes to stocks with the largest share of their respective portfolios, who was the top performer in stock picks that delivered returns?

    The answer was a bit of a surprise, despite the investor's reputation as "the new smart kid in town". Ashish Kacholia is well past his thirties and has no hair, but he is considered young by superstar investor standards. He is also proving to be an excellent judge of investments. 

    Rakesh Jhunjhunwala (Public Portfolio Size approx Rs 13,777 crore)

    Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and Rekha Jhunjhunwala have by far, the largest sized public stock portfolio among superstar investors. But 55%+ of Jhunjhunwala's public portfolio investment is across just two stocks, TitanandEscorts, with Titan taking the lion's share of that. And it is these two stocks that have helped Jhunjhunwala see decent portfolio returns over the last year. Titan delivered a strong gain, and Escorts also performed respectably. It was Jhunjhunwala's favorite pharma stock, Lupin, that has dragged returns down this year.

    Stocks such as NCC Limited and Dewan Housing Finance, old standbys in his portfolio, have smaller shares of his investment but have performed well.

    StockPercentage share of portfolioPortfolio investment in stock (Rs Crore)Gains/Loss over the year
    Titan48.8%6,718.468.15%
    Escorts6.7%919.422.3%
    Crisil5.3%740.6-1.06%
    Lupin5%707.2-34.37%

    Dolly Khanna (Public Portfolio Size approx Rs. 724 crore)

    Rain Industries has been to Dolly Khanna what Titan is to Rakesh Jhunjhunwala: the golden stock that has helped drive up her overall portfolio returns. Rain proved to be a steady multibagger for Khanna - this is a stock she has had in her portfolio at least since June 2016, and her investment has paid off in bumper gains. Another stock that delivered strong returns was Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers, which Khanna has held in her portfolio since March 2017. 

    73% of Dolly Khanna's portfolio investments are spread across her top six stocks. Among these, Radico Khaitan has been a double-multibagger over the last 12 months but not applicable for evaluating Khanna's portfolio, since this is a stock she has newly invested in. 

    StockPercentage share of portfolioPortfolio investment in stock (Rs Crore)Gains/Loss over the Year
    Rain Industries28.8% 207.9126.17%
    Manappuram Finance14.5%105.2613.86%
    Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizer10%74.4760.18%
    NOCIL7.8%56.662.25%
    Radico Khaitan7.8%56.3235.12% (NA)
    Nilkamal5.3%38.8-15.19%

    Ashish Kacholia (Public Portfolio Size approx Rs. 872 crore)

    If there is a contest for the most green-fingered investor, Ashish Kacholia might qualify. Kacholia has not only not overweighted his portfolio with any single stock (56% of his portfolio investments are spread across his top 6 stocks), he has also managed to get significant returns for the stocks with the largest share of his portfolio. A Dolly Khanna stock, NOCIL, happens to be a Kacholia favorite as well, and he has invested double Khanna's amount into this particular company. 

    APL Apollo Tubes is perhaps the sole exception among the Kacholia stocks with more than 5% portfolio share. While it is still in the green, it hasn't delivered significant returns in the last twelve months. Kacholia's stocks have also largely held their gains as markets turned choppy, with share prices stabilizing or gaining in the last few days. 

    StockPercentage share of portfolioPortfolio investment in stock (Rs. Crore)Gains/Loss over the year
    NOCIL13.4%117.1362.25%
    KEI12.3%108.196.49%
    KPIT Tech11.1%96.36131.1%
    APL Apollo Tubes8.3%71.77.2%
    Shaily Engineering6.9%60.489.2%
    Parag Milk Foods5.2%45.7637.55%

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    The Baseline
    07 Jun 2018
    Delivery Screener: Linde India, Time Technoplast, EIH Limited seeing rising delivery this week

    Delivery Screener: Linde India, Time Technoplast, EIH Limited seeing rising delivery this week

    Looking at weekly averages in delivery, some stocks are seeing a significant jump in their weekly delivery percentages, compared to the overall month. For Nifty500 stocks, these include industrial company Linde India, consumer company HUL, hotel company EIH Limited and packaging firm Time Technoplast. These companies are also seeing high weekly volume averages. For the full list, see the screener.

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    The Baseline
    06 Jun 2018
    Volume Shockers today: TVS Srichakra, EID Parry, Rashtriya Chemicals, Avanti Feeds

    Volume Shockers today: TVS Srichakra, EID Parry, Rashtriya Chemicals, Avanti Feeds

    As markets swerved back up today, some stocks saw large volumes traded in the markets. The Volume Shockers screener saw TVS Srichakra and Rashtriya Chemicals topped the volume shockers, both gaining on volumes today. Polaris Consulting was one of the stocks that fell on high volumes. Shrimp food manufacturer Avanti Feeds also saw a big surge today, after the company's stock had fallen by over 7% in the last few days. For the full screener, click here.   

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    The Baseline
    05 Jun 2018
    The worst and best performing largecap MFs prove once again, that past performance doesn't predict future results

    The worst and best performing largecap MFs prove once again, that past performance doesn't predict future results

    When markets are good, mutual fund managers feel invincible - many bets deliver, and stocks rise as expected on strong quarterly results. When markets are falling however, like now, all bets are off - a stock strong in fundamentals turns red on FII exits, seling pressure, or simply rumors on audits, as happened to Diip Buildcon last week. There are no guarantees. 

    The largecap mutual fund performance in the past six months proves this. Once high performing funds like Escorts Leading Sector Fund - Growth and Escorts Leading Sector Fund - Growth Direct delivered 9%+ returns in one year, but have taken a beating in the last six months with negative returns. The Reliance Top 200 Fund is similarly struggling and in the red. 

    That's not to say there aren't outperformers. Edelweiss' Diversified Edge Fund has been a top performer, as has the Kotak Classic Equity Scheme. Both of these funds saw 6.5%+ returns in the past six months. For the full MF screener, click here.  

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    The Baseline
    05 Jun 2018
    Screener: In the latest results, stocks that saw rising operating profit margins, net profits AND revenue growth

    Screener: In the latest results, stocks that saw rising operating profit margins, net profits AND revenue growth

    As results season comes to an end, there were a few companies with significant revenues that saw growth across the board - sharply rising operating profit margins, net profits as well as revenue growth. Some of these companies, like Nava Bharat Ventures, also have attractive valuations, although in the current market, momentum for the stock is middle of the road. 

    In all, only around 135 stocks with quarter revenues over Rs. 200 crore qualified for this criteria. The screener for these stocks is here.  Some well known names also feature in the list, including Graphite India and Indiabulls Real Estate. Other lesser known stocks such as Sarda Energy also feature in the list.  

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    The Baseline
    31 May 2018
    Volume Shockers today: Orient Cement, BGR Energy, Dilip Buildcon

    Volume Shockers today: Orient Cement, BGR Energy, Dilip Buildcon

    As markets turn green ahead of F&O expiry, some stocks are gaining on high volumes today. The Volume Shockers screener places at the top of the list Orient Cement, BGR Energy and Sundram Fasteners. Bhopal based construction company Dilip Buildcon is also in the list, falling like a stone despite company clarifications that rumors of their auditors resigning are false. 

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