We retain our BUY rating with a revised PT of Rs. 18,800, factoring in a strong revenue/PAT CAGR of 53%/69% over FY2024-FY2027E. The stock currently trades at 82x/62x its FY2026E/FY2027E earnings, respectively.
We maintain a Buy rating on M&M with an SOTP-based revised PT of Rs. 3,600 on healthy traction in its PV segment, market leadership in tractors space, opportunity to grow in farm machinery segment, and a strong EV roadmap.
We re-iterate a Buy rating on HUL and keep PT unchanged at Rs. 3,079. Stock has corrected 18% form recent highs and trades at 56x/51x/46x its FY25E/FY26E/FY27E EPS, respectively.
Q2FY25 Revenue/EBITDA of Rs. 292 crore/Rs. 79 crore fell 16%/18% y-o-y and was lagging our estimates as the decline in sales volume (down 18% y-o-y and 34% q-o-q) affected the performance.
Revenue of Rs. 4,807 crore (+19.7%/-10.6% y-o-y/q-o-q) was inline with estimates. Iron ore sales of 9.7 mt grew by only +1.8%/-3.3% y-o-y/q-o-q. Realization of Rs. Rs. 4,935/tonne grew +17.7%/-7.6% y-o-y/q-o-q.
Q2 numbers were a mixed bag with revenues rising 10.5%, but OPM declining to 8.1% from 12.3%. The margins were impacted by lower and volatile copper prices, high-cost inventory and channel destocking.
Consolidated revenues are set to grow by 2x to Rs. 1,5000 crore by 2030; Like-for-like (LFL) RevPar to grow at CAGR of 8%, management income to clock a 15% CAGR and Re-imagined businesses contribution to increase to 25% growing at 30% CAGR over the next five years.