Analyze undervaluation/ overvaluation of Sierra Bancorp with current and 1 Year Forward PE

INSIGHT

Sierra Bancorp is overvalued at current PE, but fairly valued on future earnings estimates

Right Now : Current PE vs 5 year Average PE

Overvalued

Fair price

Based on 5Yr Average PE

25.8

Upside

Current PE versus 5Yr Average PE

-17.58 %

1 Year Forward : 5 Yr Average PE & Projected 1Yr Forward EPS*

Overvalued

Fair price

Based on 1Yr Forward EPS

26.0

Upside

5 Yr Average PE & 1Yr Forward EPS

-16.98 %

Info: The Sierra Bancorp's current PE is 10.71 ,while its 5 year PE average is 8.8. Its forward PE based on analyst estimates is 10.6

Note: The forward P/E ratio (or forward price-to-earnings ratio) is calculated by dividing the current share price of a company by the estimated(1Yr) future (“forward”) earnings per share (EPS) of that company.

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Furthest date for non subscribers is 14-07-2023

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generated report

Analyze undervaluation/ overvaluation of Sierra Bancorp with historical PE and PBV ratios

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from 14 Jul, 2023 to 13 Jul, 2025

Restated P/E

Sell Zone

76.9% into P/E buy sell zone

% time spent below current P/E

0 20 40 60 80 100

Strong upside potential

Gains already realized

Out of 654 days, Sierra Bancorp traded 503 (76.9%) days below the current P/E of on Restated basis.

Originally Reported P/E

Sell Zone

78.6% into P/E buy sell zone

% time spent below current P/E

0 20 40 60 80 100

Strong upside potential

Gains already realized

Out of 654 days, Sierra Bancorp traded 514 (78.6%) days below the current P/E of on Originally Reported basis.

Note: This is a reverse percentile score. Values close to 100% are bad while values close to 0% are good. Days when PE is negative are not considered in the analysis

Restated Data
Originally Reported Data

78.6%

Sell Zone

% Days traded below current P/E

10.7

Current P/E

8.9

Average P/E

8.5

Median P/E

26.0

Forward 1Y Price

10.6

Forward PE

2.9

Forward EPS

P/E range	Days traded in range	% Days traded in range	Days traded within & below range	% Days traded within & below range
6-8	249	38.1%	249	38.1%
8-9	168	25.7%	417	63.8%
9-10	68	10.4%	485	74.2%
10-11 Current P/E is 10.7 Forward PE is 10.63	59	9.0%	544	83.2%
11-12	96	14.7%	640	97.9%
12-14	14	2.1%	654	100.0%
Total	654		654

76.9%

Sell Zone

% Days traded below current P/E

10.7

Current P/E

9.1

Average P/E

8.7

Median P/E

26.0

Forward 1Y Price

10.6

Forward PE

2.9

Forward EPS

P/E range	Days traded in range	% Days traded in range	Days traded within & below range	% Days traded within & below range
7-8	196	30.0%	196	30.0%
8-9	203	31.0%	399	61.0%
9-10	84	12.8%	483	73.9%
10-11 Current P/E is 10.7 Forward PE is 10.63	48	7.3%	531	81.2%
11-12	103	15.7%	634	96.9%
12-14	20	3.1%	654	100.0%
Total	654		654

FAQ

What is the PE ratio?

In its simplest definition, the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) represents the price an investor pays per dollar of a company's earnings.

For example, if a company has a P/E ratio of 25, investors are willing to pay USD 25 for each dollar of the company's current earnings. This indicates that investors value the stock at 25 times its current earnings, with an expectation of future earnings growth.

The P/E ratio fluctuates based on investor sentiment towards a company. Positive sentiment drives the stock price higher, resulting in a higher P/E ratio (investors pay more for each dollar of earnings). Conversely, negative sentiment lowers the P/E ratio (investors pay less for each dollar of earnings).
What is the PE buy/sell zone?

The PE buy/sell zone is calculated based on how many days a stock has traded at its current PE level.

To do this, we compare the current PE to the stock’s historical PE performance, to find out how often (for how many days in the past) the stock has traded at its current PE value.

If the stock has usually traded above its current PE level (it’s at a higher PE for the majority of trading days), then the stock is cheaper than usual and in the PE buy zone.

If the stock has usually traded below its current PE level (it’s at a lower PE for the majority of trading days), then the stock is more expensive than usual and in the PE sell zone.
How is the PE buy sell zone useful?

The PE buy sell zone tells you if a stock’s current PE level is unusually high or low, and if a stock doesn’t typically trade at that level. It helps investors identify stocks that are undervalued or overvalued in terms of their typical PE trading behavior.

Investors should keep in mind that the buy zone/sell zone is not a foolproof buy or sell signal. For example, the PE of a stock may have fallen substantially due to adverse events or negative news. Or the PE may have risen sharply after the company has won new orders, made an acquisition, announced a buyback, or some other positive event. PE Buy/Sell Zone signals should be looked at in conjunction with other information.
Why are the number of days different for Restated and Originally Reported data?

This can be because of any of the 2 following reasons:
1. Days when PE is negative are not considered in the analysis. So if only 1 of the Restated or Originally Reported PE is negative and the other is not, then the days will be different

2. Companies have reported Originally Reported data for limited period.

39.43% Gain from 52W Low

Analyze undervaluation/ overvaluation of Sierra Bancorp with current and 1 Year Forward PE

Analyze undervaluation/ overvaluation of Sierra Bancorp with historical PE and PBV ratios

Restated P/E

Out of 654 days, Sierra Bancorp traded 503 (76.9%) days below the current P/E of on Restated basis.

Originally Reported P/E

Out of 654 days, Sierra Bancorp traded 514 (78.6%) days below the current P/E of on Originally Reported basis.

FAQ

What is the PE ratio?

What is the PE buy/sell zone?

How is the PE buy sell zone useful?

Why are the number of days different for Restated and Originally Reported data?

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