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  2. SECTOR : PHARMA & BIOTECH
  3. INDUSTRY : MAJOR PHARMACEUTICALS
  4. NOVARTIS AG - ADR
Novartis AG - ADR XNYS: NVS
Mid-range Performer
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127.70 1.15 (0.91%)
New 52W High in past week
906.4K
XNYS Volume

XNYS 11 Sep, 2025 5:30 PM (EDT)

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Acquisition
Novartis to acquire Tourmaline Bio for $1.4 billion to expand its cardiovascular pipeline See details

Analyze undervaluation/ overvaluation of Novartis AG - ADR with current and 1 Year Forward PE

INSIGHT
Novartis AG - ADR is fairly valued at current PE, but undervalued on future earnings estimates
Right Now : Current PE vs 5 year Average PE
Fairly Valued
Fair price

Based on 5Yr Average PE

122.1
Upside

Current PE versus 5Yr Average PE

-4.40 %
1 Year Forward : 5 Yr Average PE & Projected 1Yr Forward EPS*
Undervalued
Fair price

Based on 1Yr Forward EPS

155.8
Upside

5 Yr Average PE & 1Yr Forward EPS

21.98 %
Info: The Novartis AG - ADR's current PE is 18.11 ,while its 5 year PE average is 17.3. Its forward PE based on analyst estimates is 14.2
Note: The forward PE ratio (or forward price-to-earnings ratio) is calculated by dividing the current share price of a company by the estimated(1Yr) future (“forward”) earnings per share (EPS) of that company.

Analyze undervaluation/ overvaluation of Novartis AG - ADR with historical PE and PBV ratios

from 12 Sep, 2023 to 11 Sep, 2025

Restated PE

Sell Zone

71.5% into PE buy sell zone

% time spent below current PE
0 20 40 60 80 100
Strong upside potential
Gains already realized

Out of 502 days, Novartis AG - ADR traded 359 (71.5%) days below the current PE of on Restated basis.

Originally Reported PE

Sell Zone

77.5% into PE buy sell zone

% time spent below current PE
0 20 40 60 80 100
Strong upside potential
Gains already realized

Out of 502 days, Novartis AG - ADR traded 389 (77.5%) days below the current PE of on Originally Reported basis.

Note: This is a reverse percentile score. Values close to 100% are bad while values close to 0% are good. Days when PE is negative are not considered in the analysis
77.5%

Sell Zone

% Days traded below current PE

18.1
 

Current PE

16.4
 

Average PE

14.3
 

Median PE

155.8
 

Forward 1Y Price

14.2
 

Forward PE

9.0
 

Forward EPS

PE range Days traded in range % Days traded in range Days traded within & below range % Days traded within & below range
10-11
 27 5.4% 27 5.4%
11-12
 36 7.2% 63 12.5%
12-13
 52 10.4% 115 22.9%
13-14
 120 23.9% 235 46.8%
14-15
Forward PE is 14.19
27 5.4% 262 52.2%
15-18
 116 23.1% 378 75.3%
18-19
Current PE is 18.1
37 7.4% 415 82.7%
19-25
 51 10.2% 466 92.8%
25-28
 36 7.2% 502 100.0%
Total 502 502
71.5%

Sell Zone

% Days traded below current PE

18.1
 

Current PE

16.8
 

Average PE

15.3
 

Median PE

155.8
 

Forward 1Y Price

14.2
 

Forward PE

9.0
 

Forward EPS

PE range Days traded in range % Days traded in range Days traded within & below range % Days traded within & below range
10-12
 55 11.0% 55 11.0%
12-13
 52 10.4% 107 21.3%
13-14
 97 19.3% 204 40.6%
14-15
Forward PE is 14.19
48 9.6% 252 50.2%
15-18
 97 19.3% 349 69.5%
18-19
Current PE is 18.1
54 10.8% 403 80.3%
19-25
 52 10.4% 455 90.6%
25-28
 47 9.4% 502 100.0%
Total 502 502

FAQ

  • What is the PE ratio?

    In its simplest definition, the price-to-earnings ratio (PE ratio) represents the price an investor pays per dollar of a company's earnings.
    For example, if a company has a PE ratio of 25, investors are willing to pay USD 25 for each dollar of the company's current earnings. This indicates that investors value the stock at 25 times its current earnings, with an expectation of future earnings growth.
    The PE ratio fluctuates based on investor sentiment towards a company. Positive sentiment drives the stock price higher, resulting in a higher PE ratio (investors pay more for each dollar of earnings). Conversely, negative sentiment lowers the PE ratio (investors pay less for each dollar of earnings).

  • What is the PE buy/sell zone?

    The PE buy/sell zone is calculated based on how many days a stock has traded at its current PE level.
    To do this, we compare the current PE to the stock’s historical PE performance, to find out how often (for how many days in the past) the stock has traded at its current PE value.
    If the stock has usually traded above its current PE level (it’s at a higher PE for the majority of trading days), then the stock is cheaper than usual and in the PE buy zone.
    If the stock has usually traded below its current PE level (it’s at a lower PE for the majority of trading days), then the stock is more expensive than usual and in the PE sell zone.

  • How is the PE buy sell zone useful?

    The PE buy sell zone tells you if a stock’s current PE level is unusually high or low, and if a stock doesn’t typically trade at that level. It helps investors identify stocks that are undervalued or overvalued in terms of their typical PE trading behavior.
    Investors should keep in mind that the buy zone/sell zone is not a foolproof buy or sell signal. For example, the PE of a stock may have fallen substantially due to adverse events or negative news. Or the PE may have risen sharply after the company has won new orders, made an acquisition, announced a buyback, or some other positive event. PE Buy/Sell Zone signals should be looked at in conjunction with other information.

  • Why are the number of days different for Restated and Originally Reported data?

    This can be because of any of the 2 following reasons:
    1. Days when PE is negative are not considered in the analysis. So if only 1 of the Restated or Originally Reported PE is negative and the other is not, then the days will be different
    2. Companies have reported Originally Reported data for limited period.
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