Analyze undervaluation/ overvaluation of Assured Guaranty Ltd with current and 1 Year Forward PE

INSIGHT

Assured Guaranty Ltd is undervalued at current PE, but fairly valued on future earnings estimates

Right Now : Current PE vs 5 year Average PE

Undervalued

Fair price

Based on 5Yr Average PE

96.5

Upside

Current PE versus 5Yr Average PE

15.26 %

1 Year Forward : 5 Yr Average PE & Projected 1Yr Forward EPS*

Fairly Valued

Fair price

Based on 1Yr Forward EPS

87.2

Upside

5 Yr Average PE & 1Yr Forward EPS

4.16 %

Info: The Assured Guaranty Ltd's current PE is 9.26 ,while its 5 year PE average is 10.7. Its forward PE based on analyst estimates is 10.2

Note: The forward P/E ratio (or forward price-to-earnings ratio) is calculated by dividing the current share price of a company by the estimated(1Yr) future (“forward”) earnings per share (EPS) of that company.

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Furthest date for non subscribers is 31-07-2023

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generated report

Analyze undervaluation/ overvaluation of Assured Guaranty Ltd with historical PE and PBV ratios

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from 31 Jul, 2023 to 30 Jul, 2025

Restated P/E

Sell Zone

66.5% into P/E buy sell zone

% time spent below current P/E

0 20 40 60 80 100

Strong upside potential

Gains already realized

Out of 501 days, Assured Guaranty Ltd traded 333 (66.5%) days below the current P/E of on Restated basis.

Originally Reported P/E

Sell Zone

70.5% into P/E buy sell zone

% time spent below current P/E

0 20 40 60 80 100

Strong upside potential

Gains already realized

Out of 501 days, Assured Guaranty Ltd traded 353 (70.5%) days below the current P/E of on Originally Reported basis.

Note: This is a reverse percentile score. Values close to 100% are bad while values close to 0% are good. Days when PE is negative are not considered in the analysis

Restated Data
Originally Reported Data

70.5%

Sell Zone

% Days traded below current P/E

9.3

Current P/E

7.2

Average P/E

6.2

Median P/E

87.2

Forward 1Y Price

10.2

Forward PE

8.2

Forward EPS

P/E range	Days traded in range	% Days traded in range	Days traded within & below range	% Days traded within & below range
4-5	46	9.2%	46	9.2%
5-6	161	32.1%	207	41.3%
6-7	86	17.2%	293	58.5%
7-8	33	6.6%	326	65.1%
8-10 Current P/E is 9.3	123	24.6%	449	89.6%
10-11 Forward PE is 10.24	19	3.8%	468	93.4%
11-13	33	6.6%	501	100.0%
Total	501		501

66.5%

Sell Zone

% Days traded below current P/E

9.3

Current P/E

7.8

Average P/E

6.5

Median P/E

87.2

Forward 1Y Price

10.2

Forward PE

8.2

Forward EPS

P/E range	Days traded in range	% Days traded in range	Days traded within & below range	% Days traded within & below range
4-6	159	31.7%	159	31.7%
6-7	92	18.4%	251	50.1%
7-10 Current P/E is 9.3	186	37.1%	437	87.2%
10-11 Forward PE is 10.24	19	3.8%	456	91.0%
11-23	45	9.0%	501	100.0%
Total	501		501

FAQ

What is the PE ratio?

In its simplest definition, the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) represents the price an investor pays per dollar of a company's earnings.

For example, if a company has a P/E ratio of 25, investors are willing to pay USD 25 for each dollar of the company's current earnings. This indicates that investors value the stock at 25 times its current earnings, with an expectation of future earnings growth.

The P/E ratio fluctuates based on investor sentiment towards a company. Positive sentiment drives the stock price higher, resulting in a higher P/E ratio (investors pay more for each dollar of earnings). Conversely, negative sentiment lowers the P/E ratio (investors pay less for each dollar of earnings).
What is the PE buy/sell zone?

The PE buy/sell zone is calculated based on how many days a stock has traded at its current PE level.

To do this, we compare the current PE to the stock’s historical PE performance, to find out how often (for how many days in the past) the stock has traded at its current PE value.

If the stock has usually traded above its current PE level (it’s at a higher PE for the majority of trading days), then the stock is cheaper than usual and in the PE buy zone.

If the stock has usually traded below its current PE level (it’s at a lower PE for the majority of trading days), then the stock is more expensive than usual and in the PE sell zone.
How is the PE buy sell zone useful?

The PE buy sell zone tells you if a stock’s current PE level is unusually high or low, and if a stock doesn’t typically trade at that level. It helps investors identify stocks that are undervalued or overvalued in terms of their typical PE trading behavior.

Investors should keep in mind that the buy zone/sell zone is not a foolproof buy or sell signal. For example, the PE of a stock may have fallen substantially due to adverse events or negative news. Or the PE may have risen sharply after the company has won new orders, made an acquisition, announced a buyback, or some other positive event. PE Buy/Sell Zone signals should be looked at in conjunction with other information.
Why are the number of days different for Restated and Originally Reported data?

This can be because of any of the 2 following reasons:
1. Days when PE is negative are not considered in the analysis. So if only 1 of the Restated or Originally Reported PE is negative and the other is not, then the days will be different

2. Companies have reported Originally Reported data for limited period.

Analyze undervaluation/ overvaluation of Assured Guaranty Ltd with current and 1 Year Forward PE

Analyze undervaluation/ overvaluation of Assured Guaranty Ltd with historical PE and PBV ratios

Restated P/E

Out of 501 days, Assured Guaranty Ltd traded 333 (66.5%) days below the current P/E of on Restated basis.

Originally Reported P/E

Out of 501 days, Assured Guaranty Ltd traded 353 (70.5%) days below the current P/E of on Originally Reported basis.

FAQ

What is the PE ratio?

What is the PE buy/sell zone?

How is the PE buy sell zone useful?

Why are the number of days different for Restated and Originally Reported data?

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